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Fantasy baseball player profiles: MLB - Third Basemen

Fantasy baseball player profiles: MLB - Third Basemen

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Quick Jump: Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles

1 Evan Longoria, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays
2 Alex Rodriguez, 3B, New York Yankees
3 David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
4 Kevin Youkilis, 3B, Boston Red Sox
5 Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
6 Jose Bautista, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
7 Adrian Beltre, 3B, Texas Rangers
8 Aramis Ramirez, 3B, Chicago Cubs
9 Mark Reynolds, 3B, Baltimore Orioles
10 Michael Young, 3B, Texas Rangers
11 Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates
12 Pablo Sandoval, 3B, San Francisco Giants
13 Casey McGehee, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
14 Ian Stewart, 3B, Colorado Rockies
15 Chase Headley, 3B, San Diego Padres
16 Scott Rolen, 3B, Cincinnati Reds
17 Chris D. Johnson, 3B, Houston Astros
18 Placido Polanco, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
19 Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, Oakland Athletics
20 Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
21 Brandon Inge, 3B, Detroit Tigers
22 Danny Valencia, 3B, Minnesota Twins
23 David Freese, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
24 Mike Moustakas, 3B, Kansas City Royals
25 Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves
26 Casey Blake, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
27 Ty Wigginton, 3B, Colorado Rockies
28 Wilson Betemit, 3B, Kansas City Royals
29 Jorge Cantu, 3B, San Diego Padres
30 Mat Gamel, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers

Evan Longoria, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5778516030842.277.356.508.864

Evan Longoria 3B Tampa Bay Rays

Many are worried about Evan Longoria's lack of a studly supporting cast. Reminder: Start with the actual player. This isn't football. Rising BB/K, CT% along with 30-HR power give him a sparkling profile. Complain about his lack of HR last year to drive down his price, then jump on him immediately. He'll be the top 3B taken in most mixed drafts - for five categories of reasons.


Alex Rodriguez, 3B, New York Yankees
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Alex Rodriguez 3B New York Yankees

Alex Rodriguez's lineup placement will keep his RBI potential high, but his power is less certain. The bad: GB increase, shaky BB/K and notably erratic performance vs. LHPs. The good: His 19 post-June homers last year; his non-reliance on Yankee Stadium; groin and calf injuries earning most of his 2010 slump blame; and the fact that he still mashes RHPs. Reaching double-digit steals would be a bonus, but with his clean bill of hip health, it's more possible than it was recently. In this risky positional class, A-Rod, even in decline, remains a top option and might be a value in a biased or scared mixed draft room.


David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
55785165229319.296.382.496.878

David Wright 3B New York Mets

David Wright regained his power and looked healthy after concussion-filled '09, but his LD rate, CT%, and BB/K took a hit, the last two continuing their drops. OBP better bet for 2011 recovery than BA. Concerning for a former clip standy, but settling for a ..280 instead of a .300 isn't so bad considering his stability elsewhere. It's still one of the most balanced lines in the league.


Kevin Youkilis, 3B, Boston Red Sox
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Kevin Youkilis 3B Boston Red Sox

Susceptible to stretches of dings, day-to-days, but Kevin Youkilis' thumb has healed on schedule. Continues to mix OBP dominance with power surge, which has come at expense of oppo-field BA and might knock a few points off his clip. A mild concern, though. His numbers play better at a shallower third base pool, once he becomes eligible. Draft him with this in mind and fill his gap in the meantime.


Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5538815827726.286.353.488.841

Ryan Zimmerman 3B Washington Nationals

Ryan Zimmerman's BA foundation is strengthening - BB%, BB/K grew again. But it might come down because of a high BABIP. FB remained at high level, but his GB came back. 30 HR still in his range, but not much more - be thankful for his balance line outside of SB.


Jose Bautista, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4879212935907.265.376.530.906

Jose Bautista OF Toronto Blue Jays

Expecting Jose Bautista to club 54 HR again well, his HR/FB jump isn't likely to be repeated. But don't go writing off all his power. TOR changed his swing and encouraged him to go yard - it's their style. This didn't fully come out of nowhere; he was a part-timer who hinted at big pop and finally got the chance. Mark him as a stronger investment in OBP leagues, but you can plan around drafting his spotty BA. 30-plus HR not a reach.


Adrian Beltre, 3B, Texas Rangers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5838518230971.312.357.521.878

Adrian Beltre 3B Texas Rangers

Adrian Beltre moves to an even bigger hitter's paradise, which will play for him, coming off jumps in FB and CT rates. Latter might keep his BA near .300, but he's likelier to lose points there than in power. Healthy for most of year but was dinged up; that reminds you of his risk.


Aramis Ramirez, 3B, Chicago Cubs
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4917514020894.285.368.487.855

Aramis Ramirez 3B Chicago Cubs

After return from thumb injury, Aramis Ramirez clubbed 19 HR over the final three months. His bat is slowing, but he also fixed his swing a little. BA at risk - can he regain CT% and BB/K? Has room to rebound, though. Massive FB jump unrealistic but merely an exaggeration of an established skill. Could be a bargain.


Mark Reynolds, 3B, Baltimore Orioles
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
373508318572.223.316.416.732

Mark Reynolds 3B Baltimore Orioles

It's not going to be any easier in the AL East than it was in the NL West. Mark Reynolds won't endear himself in Baltimore if he plays more subpar defense and strikes out 40 percent of the time again, both safe bets. He moves from a good hitting environment to a great one, but will that be enough? The severe decline in his liner rate was alarming. The frustrating thing about handicapping Reynolds: He could hit .200 with 30 home runs, but he could easily bat .250 with 45 ding dongs. At what price are you OK with getting the former to take a shot that he'll reach the latter?


Michael Young, 3B, Texas Rangers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Michael Young 3B Texas Rangers

DH AB can preserve Michael Young's skills in an already favorable park. Third year of FB climb justifies HR surge late in career. His home-road splits are becoming more pronounced, though, which spells continued risk of age-related decline and being defined by a new park if he's traded. He'll play regardless of uni, though, and will make a useful fallback at mixed 3B.


Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5526913332892.241.308.466.774

Pedro Alvarez 3B Pittsburgh Pirates

In a volatile mixed 3B class, Pedro Alvarez is C-4. His low CT%, issues vs. LHP, BB/K will keep his clip low. But you buy the HR - and maybe as a bonus him re-igniting his .306-6-27 post-August fuse. Alvarez's 30-HR upside helps him stand out among middle-tier third basemen. Good luck seeing him fall into CI territory.


Pablo Sandoval, 3B, San Francisco Giants
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5186015021801.290.353.475.828

Pablo Sandoval 3B San Francisco Giants

Pablo Sandoval lost punch in his swing, had trouble working around his plate flaws and saw fewer hittable pitches (but didn't stop swinging). He probably isn't a 25-homer bat, but luckily, he isn't a 13-homer guy, either. Positives: He has shed nearly 20 pounds. August blowup, improved second-half liner rate offer optimism. If he attacks fastballs more frequently, he can turn things around. It'll be hard to find a midrange 3B with his BA potential for his price, even if his crash factor resembles his belt size. There's still some pop hidden in that stick.


Casey McGehee, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Casey McGehee 3B Milwaukee Brewers

Casey McGehee's loss of 2B eligibility hurts his fantasy value, but moving into full-time duty didn't. Bad: High GB rate and low FB rate, which limit his HR promise. Good: Stable CT%, RBI opportunities in middle of order.


Ian Stewart, 3B, Colorado Rockies
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Ian Stewart 3B Colorado Rockies

Ian Stewart had a positive Aug. before losing a month to injury, but he won't be a BA help anytime soon. BB/K, CT% improvements say it might come in the future, but lack of punch vs. LHP remains an issue. Stick with banking on his power as a low-end mixed 3B.


Chase Headley, 3B, San Diego Padres
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
3764610410562.277.339.426.765

Chase Headley 3B San Diego Padres

Chase Headley's power has shown up more away from PETCO, but overall, his dipping FB% isn't helping HR potential. Though his early-season SB tapered off, another SBA% increase could come if SD remains aggressive. Headley's CT% drop and struggles vs. LHP (platoon) endanger his BA, but SD probably will give him enough rope for this season. Don't overbid for SB; they're shaky.


Scott Rolen, 3B, Cincinnati Reds
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Scott Rolen 3B Cincinnati Reds

Scott Rolen hit just 3 HR after June, making it look like his power was inflated. He'll still have some, but It won't be that much. He also battled back issues throughout last year. Many might invest in him as a mixed CI. Don't; he's a settle option with spotty health and performance.


Chris D. Johnson, 3B, Houston Astros
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4834813611662.282.322.422.744

Chris D. Johnson 3B Houston Astros

In a full season, Chris D. Johnson, 26, can approach 20 HR, and at least he's hitting in the middle of HOU order. But despite his 24.0 LD%, it's hard to think he'll sustain a .387 BABIP. His atrocious BB/K, GB rate continued his farm profile and predict BA regression.


Placido Polanco, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Placido Polanco 3B Philadelphia Phillies

Placido Polanco's empty BA isn't as healthy as it used to be; at least he bumped his LD% back up. Don't overlook CT% dip, since it fuels his value, but it's still top-notch. R, BA his best assets at his now dirt-cheap mixed price. Probably best left for post-draft waiver wiress there. Age could make him an NL-only bargain for what he gives you.


Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, Oakland Athletics
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
59514280.237.281.390.671

Kevin Kouzmanoff 3B Oakland Athletics

We know Kevin Kouzmanoff's flaws: weak BB/K, pitcher-friendly home park, untapped potential that was strongest in '08. But FB% and CT% rebounds remind us of his 20-ish HR, 70-plus-RBI, 550 AB profile. That last part, which should remain high thanks to limited (none?) OAK alternatives, shouldn't be taken for granted by ALers.


Edwin Encarnacion, 3B, Toronto Blue Jays
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
52487142341007.271.370.523.893

Edwin Encarnacion 3B Toronto Blue Jays

Edwin Encarnacion has an inside track at playing every day. Wrist and forearm issues hindered 2010, but his fly-ball and HR profile shone through anyway. Hits enough liners, and his decent CT% improvement leaves hope for BA rebound (temper yourself there, though), and he's on the right team to nurture his power and meet the 30 HR upside many touted for him several years ago.


Brandon Inge, 3B, Detroit Tigers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Brandon Inge 3B Detroit Tigers

Brandon Inge has little comp at 3B. AB meaningful in AL-only. BA won't help, thanks to shaky CT% and LD%, along with BABIP fortune that should regress. But after return from broken hand last year, he hit 7 HR in 202 AB. '09 isn't a complete outlier, even if he won't reach that level again. A HR total near 20 HR from hot corner can serve its purpose. For what it's worth, previously repaired knees aren't bothering him anymore. Don't ignore.


Danny Valencia, 3B, Minnesota Twins
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
16617404210.241.278.380.658

Danny Valencia 3B Minnesota Twins

A .310-7-40 clip in limited action in Danny Valencia's rookie year indicates the upside is there, but how much? His BABIP has never dipped lower than .300 in all his stops in the minors, so a respectable batting average could continue. Positive fly-ball trends could pave the way for more power down the road. However, brief action in the bigs hasn't convinced us that he can become a top-end 3B prospect. It's hard to put much value into a 3B without developed power, but Valencia could serve as a mixed CI at points in 2011.


David Freese, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4776213514722.283.358.428.786

David Freese 3B St. Louis Cardinals

David Freese doesn't hit enough FB to warrant HR optimism. He has overcome low BB/K for big BA before, thanks to LD and BABIP. That'd be his bigest contribution, but his injury leaves him unsettled. Risky.


Mike Moustakas, 3B, Kansas City Royals
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5296613519684.255.307.429.736

Mike Moustakas is on the minds of many fantasy owners. Top prospect finally met his potential - attitude change helped. Don't ignore flaws: Hardly walks, possibly K-prone in bigs. LHPs have stymied him. HR biggest reason to take 2011 mixed chance if you can stash and carry him.


Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Chipper Jones 3B Atlanta Braves

Will Chipper Jones start the season on time? When you finally do get him on your team, you'll get declining power. Your best hope from him is his lineup placement and still solid BA skills. There's a little upside to him - it's all tied to AB, unfortunately.


Casey Blake, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Casey Blake 3B Los Angeles Dodgers

Casey Blake is boring - 20 HR upside with an RBI- and BABIP-based profile. FB increased but not impressively, still hits too many GB, and LD dip justifies BABIP drop. BB/K crash marks beginning of end. Though power vs. RHP still there, not much else is. PT in jeopardy?


Ty Wigginton, 3B, Colorado Rockies
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
741115170.203.282.270.552

Ty Wigginton 3B Colorado Rockies

Drop-off for two straight years vs. LHPs is disturbing. PT likely again, but still in flux. Placeholder. Difference in COL is that the Rockies have a number of young players who could easily warrant PT as well. Wasn't the case in BAL. Ian Stewart, Todd Helton .... Jose Lopez, Seth Smith ... Eric Young Jr., Chris Nelson, Hector Gomez down the line. HR worth speculating on in NLs if your league values such versatile bench options.


Wilson Betemit, 3B, Kansas City Royals
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
17320445190.254.311.399.710

Wilson Betemit 3B Kansas City Royals

Wilson Betemit, once intriguing, saw an opp for a bad team. The power is supported, a high BABIP is the norm, his K/BB has slowly improved, and the contact rate is acceptable. Betemit looks like a safe low-end buy. Except for two things: (1) Betemit, 29, has so rarely combined these attributes for a significant stretch; and (2) the PT is drying up. KC has no commitment to Betemit beyond this year. PT is an issue, and Mike Moustakas will debut before the summer solstice. It's not that you shouldn't dig some part-time power contribution. But are you paying for the possibility of more of it? Not smart.


Jorge Cantu, 3B, San Diego Padres
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
3764610410562.277.339.426.765

Jorge Cantu 3B San Diego Padres

Jorge Cantu will probably see platoon work at 1B, and maybe 2B and 3B. CT%, BB/K dips jeopardize BA recovery, and HR dip backed up by continued FB drop.


Mat Gamel, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
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2011 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Mat Gamel 3B Milwaukee Brewers

Though he regained some of his fire and showed BB/K improvement at AAA, Mat Gamel has no PT outlet. Power potential still there for this DH stuck in the NL. Don't lose track, but don't get your hopes up for 2011.