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Fantasy baseball player profiles: NL - Third basemen

Fantasy baseball player profiles: NL - Third basemen

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Quick Jump: Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles

1 David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
2 Pablo Sandoval, 1B/3B, San Francisco Giants
3 Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
4 Mark Reynolds, 1B/3B, Arizona Diamondbacks
5 Aramis Ramirez, 3B, Chicago Cubs
6 Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves
7 Jorge Cantu, 1B/3B, Florida Marlins
8 Chase Headley, 3B/OF, San Diego Padres
9 Casey Blake, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
10 Scott Rolen, 3B, Cincinnati Reds
11 Ian Stewart, 2B/3B, Colorado Rockies
12 Placido Polanco, 2B/3B, Philadelphia Phillies
13 Pedro Feliz, 3B, Houston Astros
14 David Freese, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
15 Casey McGehee, 2B/3B, Milwaukee Brewers
16 Mat Gamel, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
17 Greg Dobbs, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies

David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
55785165229319.296.382.496.878

David Wright's reduction of playing time attributable to a concussion. Power outage? It's not just Citi Field, as evidenced by his road numbers. Wright's flyball rate has been slipping, and his increasingly line-drive ways don't play well in that park. The batting average looks ready to sink below .300 again, too. He's too young for this. Expect a refocusing, but not miracles, and stolen bases may suffer, too.


Pablo Sandoval, 1B/3B, San Francisco Giants
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5186015021801.290.353.475.828

Pablo Sandoval's significant improvements in plate discipline and batting eye mean more since he skipped Triple-A before '08 call-up. Homer success on flyballs likely will come down a bit - he's a better bet as a contact hitter. His BABIPs will probably remain high.


Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5538815827726.286.353.488.841

Flyball increase, healthy season prompted power breakout. Shaky - albeit improving - batting eye mean some drop-off in batting average possible, especially if Ryan Zimmerman turns even more flyball-happy; his K rate bounced back along with his walks. He's a top-30 commodity with room to grow, but also potential for a slight drop-off; consider the power real.


Mark Reynolds, 1B/3B, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
373508318572.223.316.416.732

Serious spike in HR/FB, but concerns about average remain because Mark Reynolds doesn't make a lot of contact and liner rate has gone down. Thus, in part, his career-high stolen bases garner a little too much attention. Homers support his otherwise poor average. They're what you draft him for; consider the rest only a possible bonus.


Aramis Ramirez, 3B, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4917514020894.285.368.487.855

A dislocated shoulder sent Aramis Ramirez to the DL in May and bothered him the rest of the way, but his power remained on a full-season pace. The four-category contributor should continue to hit around .300. Even if a longer season strips some of his power, he should easily outperform his draft stock and is one of the best profit opportunities in a spotty third-base class.


Chipper Jones, 3B, Atlanta Braves
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Chipper Jones's .264 average could bounce back near .300 because of contact rate, batting eye and batted-ball percentages. His power has steadily been declining, but last year it fell off the table. The HR/FB could bounce back a bit, but flyballs are on the way down. Count on at least one DL trip. All that, no wonder everyone is so sour. Definite profit opportunity as price comes down.


Jorge Cantu, 1B/3B, Florida Marlins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Another hitter swapping ding dongs for batting average. Jorge Cantu's knack for producing runs makes him a potentially undervalued mixed commodity in middle rounds and safe NL buy, but Cantu is type you just settle for. Rising flyball percentage combined with any rebound in HR/FB results in long-ball bounce-back, but distance ratings suggest that's unlikely.


Chase Headley, 3B/OF, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
54775143187810.261.355.433.788

Moving back to his natural position might help Chase Headley. Decreasing line-drive rate doesn't help someone who's already average-tortured. However, his walk rate and batting eye improved - so did his flyballs. Drastic splits that favor road games might make him a part-time play, but aerial increase means a few more might leave the yard. He's a decent deep flier pick who has double-digit-steals capability.


Casey Blake, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Increased walk rate gives hope for him offering something else at 36, but his flyball rate has dropped in the last two years. How much longer can his HR/FB set his 20-homer pace? Positive: makes hard contact, so clip should remain serviceable. No surprises here: Late-rounder in deep mixed to fill out your roster with somewhat stable run production.


Scott Rolen, 3B, Cincinnati Reds
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

No rhyme or reason for Scott Rolen's year-to-year fluctuation in batting average, but a repeat of 2009 is unlikely given hint of luck. Flyball and HR/FB levels are down, but move to Cincy usually a slight boon. He can serve as a low-end starter in NL formats, but in deep mixed leagues, take it or leave it.


Ian Stewart, 2B/3B, Colorado Rockies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Ian Stewart's power is climbing, and he's taking steps to focus on making more contact. He'll need to improve against lefties to bolster his clip. Those who take this detriment into account could place 30-homer potential at a corner or middle infield spot; Stewart steals enough bags to offset some of his batting average pain. Expect his multipositional eligibility to drive his middle-round price tag up.


Placido Polanco, 2B/3B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Placido Polanco's flyball rate and batting eye ratio are moving in opposite directions, but contact remains steady. Polanco may be sacrificing steady average for a barely noticeable increase in power - not exactly the reason the Phillies signed him. Eligibility and locale will be his major draws.


Pedro Feliz, 3B, Houston Astros
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Pedro Feliz: Hot glove, cold bat. Average has trouble reaching .270 thanks to thankless BB/K. Line-drive spike doesn't offer much hope on its own. Flyballs are dropping. Hope in his new ballpark, which accelerates right-handed power. Maybe that helps him reach usefulness, but you should keep your pursuit to NL-only drafts, where he's a bottom-level hot corner starter.


David Freese, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4776213514722.283.358.428.786

David Freese, 26, flashed power at Triple-A in last two seasons despite shaky batting eye. Though he looks like the front-runner, Freese will battle for the third base job. Deep mixed leaguers can watch competition unfold unless they're desperate, in which case Freese can be a flier pick. 


Casey McGehee, 2B/3B, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4455210313661.231.290.378.668

Casey McGehee has to prove he's more than a Quad-A player. He hinted at 20-homer power in the minors, but he was fortunate in the bigs. He hadn't shown farm evidence of his high flyball rate. His BABIP will be vulnerable to normalization. His hard contact gives hope he can sustain some success. Competition from Mat Gamel clouds McGehee's value, but his dual eligibility will increase urgency for an NL selection; beware the risks.


Mat Gamel, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Mat Gamel's stone glove and platoon tendency are holding him back. He didn't find a groove in spotty playing time last season. Putrid batting eye means he'll probably need luck to top .260 batting average. He'll also start the year on the sidelines and when he returns will at best platoon with Casey McGehee. Gamel is worth having for a low-end price in NL leagues as a potential corner infield solution. Note the word "potential."


Greg Dobbs, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
12411312121.250.307.347.654

Greg Dobbs hits liners but also plenty of flies. A little bounce-back in luck will make the average respectable again, but it won't approach 2008 level. Minor plus: Placido Polanco is a bit more of an injury risk at the hot corner.