2010 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics
Pros: His sabbatical from football might have kept his legs fresh enough to stave off age. It showed last year: Williams, 33, netted 11 ground scores and 1,121 rushing yards, along with 264 yards and two touchdowns on 35 catches. Williams' average yards per tote spiked to 4.7. He's still a dual threat, and Miami's system favors its running backs.
Cons: Ronnie Brown (foot), though coming back from injury, should assume the touches Williams ate last year; Williams is the No. 2 when Brown is on the field. Williams is 33, so it's hard to say he could repeat last year's fortune and hold up for the entire campaign even with fresher legs. He topped 75 ground yards in the four weeks (100-plus thrice) after Brown was hurt, but Williams fumbled more later in the season. Fatigue?
Fantasy tip: Williams' placement as a midrange No. 3 back is proper, but his sixth-round price is heavily influenced by last year's stats. Even in split duty, though, his place in this offense is stable enough for that tier. If Brown's prognosis for a return worsens as the draft season wears on, Williams' draft price could spike due to the opportunity for increased work. If that happens, there's enough downside risk that he might become overvalued, if he isn't a smidge already.
About Tim Heaney
Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum, who competes in the prestigious LABR and Tout Wars, has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.
He appears frequently, including every Sunday, on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, as well as every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore.
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