by Ryan Dodson
on March 2, 2007 @ 16:00:00
Welcome to the 2007 MLB Draft Guide Fantasy Grapevine. In this feature, we'll detail what has gone on over the last week to cause our projections to change. Whether it's an injury, a platoon circumstance or a breakout performance, we'll keep you "in the know" in this report.
Situation: Strained Oblique
Analysis: Abreu suffered a strained right oblique muscle early in spring training. He is only supposed to miss three weeks and be ready for the season. However, this is an injury that lingers throughout a season and can occur at any time. Due to this, we have reduced Abreu's projections slightly across the board.
Fantasy Tip: Abreu should not be avoided. In fact, you can probably acquire him at a reduced price now.
Situation: Will begin season on DL
Analysis: The Big Unit will begin the season on the 15-day disabled list as he recovers from offseason back surgery. He is only supposed to miss a couple of starts due to the off-days early in the season. This injury could creep up and rob him of a few innings later. However, we still feel he will pitch 190 innings. We have reduced his innings total to this mark but kept his performance consistent with the rate of innings.
Fantasy Tip: Johnson is still a big name, and it's very unlikely you can get him as a steal. Beware of this situation, and if you expect the Unit of old to return, it's unlikely your expectations will be met.
Situation: Strained Oblique
Analysis: Eckstein injured the same side that he missed nearly a month nursing last season early in spring training. The team doesn't know how long he will be out, but it's likely he'll be out most of spring training. The team will make sure he gives the injury ample time to heal, so it's not unforeseen that he could start the season on the disabled list. That inclined us to reduce his at-bats and tweak his projections down to the lesser total.
Fantasy Tip: Eckstein has very little value in fantasy baseball. Avoid him altogether.
Situation: Torn meniscus
Analysis: Kielty had surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee and will be out three to six weeks. He could have played with it, but the team decided it would be best if he had surgery now while there was time before the season. He shouldn't miss much time during the season. We have reduced his at-bats total significantly because he's injury-prone. If he gets off to a slow start, he could see a diminished role on the team.
Fantasy Tip: Kielty has no fantasy value and should be avoided.
About Ryan Dodson
Dodson is a KFFL Contributor and has been with KFFL since 2002.
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