Waiver Wire - Week 4 - Updated

by Matthew Wilson and Ryan Dodson on September 28, 2006 @ 16:00:00 PDT

 


WAIVER WIRE LEGEND

Acquire - Look to pick up immediately.

Look To Acquire - If you're hurting at the position, this player is worth picking up.

Watch List - This player has upside potential, but keep an eye on him for now.

QUARTERBACKS

David Carr, Houston Texans - We have seen enough steady play out of Carr to bump him up from our watch list. He has been flying under the radar of some fantasy owners, averaging 212 passing yards, two touchdowns and just 0.33 interceptions per game since Week 1. He also has averaged three rushes for 13 yards per contest. We expect Carr to keep throwing a lot, because the Texans are usually playing from behind. Carr's offensive line is a concern - he has been sacked an average of 3.33 times per outing. Carr currently is owned in 61 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: LOOK TO ACQUIRE

Jon Kitna, Detroit Lions - After going two straight weeks without tossing a touchdown pass, Detroit's new starting signal-caller threw for two scores and 342 yards with just one interception during his team's home loss to the Green Bay Packers. On the season, Kitna has averaged 267 passing yards, 0.67 touchdowns and just 0.33 interceptions per game. He also notched one rushing touchdown in Week 2 against the Chicago Bears. Kitna is still learning new offensive coordinator Mike Martz's pass-oriented scheme. However, since Kitna is a 10-year veteran, we think he will pick it up quickly. Detroit's defense has struggled the last two weeks, so we expect Kitna to throw often. He is available in 39 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: LOOK TO ACQUIRE

PLAYERS TO KEEP AN EYE ON... QB WATCH LIST

Charlie Frye, Cleveland Browns - The second-year pro has shown some steady improvement so far this year. Facing a ferocious Baltimore Ravens' defense that sacked him seven times this past Sunday, Frye went 21-for-33 for 298 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Since Week 1, Frye has averaged 225 passing yards, 0.67 touchdowns and 1.67 interceptions per contest. He also has averaged four rushes for 20 yards and one rushing touchdown per game. Frye is developing a nice rapport with second-year wide receiver Braylon Edwards. The Browns' running game continues to sputter, which obviously puts pressure on Frye to carry the offense.

NEW - J.P. Losman, Buffalo Bills - He has played much better during his second year in the league and is starting to look comfortable in new offensive coordinator Steve Fairchild's conservative knockoff of the "Greatest Show On Turf" offense. Losman has averaged 192 passing yards, 0.66 touchdowns and just 0.33 interceptions per game this season. He also has notched a rushing touchdown. Losman has cut down on his mistakes, and he is not so quick to scramble out of the pocket - unlike last year. If Losman can continue to show improvement, he could post some solid numbers. He currently is owned in 14 percent of all leagues polled.

RUNNING BACKS

KFFL NOTE: Since running backs are extremely valuable, you should not waste time debating whether one should be acquired or just watched. We strongly suggest grabbing a particular back immediately before somebody else does.

Maurice Jones-Drew, Jacksonville Jaguars - The second-round pick out of the University of California-Los Angeles exploded in Week 3, shredding a soft Indianapolis Colts' defense for 103 rushing yards on 13 carries and four catches for 32 yards and one touchdown. During the first three weeks of the season, Jones-Drew has averaged 38 rushing yards, two receptions, 13 receiving yards and 0.33 receiving touchdowns per contest. He has been utilized an average of nine times per game (12 percent) overall, which includes an average of one utilization per outing (6 percent) inside the red zone. Although running back Fred Taylor is Jacksonville's primary ball carrier, the explosive Jones-Drew should continue to receive regular touches to help save some wear and tear on the injury-prone Taylor. Jones-Drew currently is owned in 13 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Ron Dayne, Houston Texans - He has supplanted rookie running back Wali Lundy as the team's starter - at least for now. During the Texans' Week 3 home loss to the Washington Redskins, Dayne rushed 14 times for 58 yards and caught one pass for 13 yards, while Lundy did not receive a carry nor catch a pass. Dayne, who did not play in Week 1, has averaged 13 carries for 48 rushing yards per contest. He has been utilized an average of 14 times per game (17 percent) overall with no utilizations inside the red zone. As long as Dayne produces, he likely will keep the starting gig. By the way, Dayne knows head coach Gary Kubiak's system from their time together with the Denver Broncos. Houston usually is playing from behind, because its defense is terrible - this will cut into Dayne's carries. He currently is available in 52 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE 

Kevan Barlow, New York Jets - Barlow has started to emerge as the team's main ball carrier - we figured he would at some point - averaging 12 rushes for 36 yards and 0.67 rushing touchdowns per contest. The team has utilized him an average of 13 times per game (21 percent) overall. This includes an average of three utilizations per outing (29 percent) inside the red zone and an average of two utilizations per contest inside the 5-yard line. With quarterback Chad Pennington playing well, the Jets' offense looks solid. Barlow currently is owned in 80 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE 

Michael Robinson, San Francisco 49ers - He rushed five times for 29 yards and scored two touchdowns against the Philadelphia Eagles this past Sunday while playing in relief of injured starting running back Frank Gore (abdomen). During the first three weeks of the season, Robinson has been utilized an average of four times per game (6 percent) overall. This includes an average of one utilization per contest inside the 5-yard line. Robinson is just a short-term solution to your running back problems, because Gore, who is questionable to play in Week 4, obviously is expected to return at some point. Robinson is available in 98 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Maurice Morris, Seattle Seahawks - The Madden Curse has claimed another victim - stud running back Shaun Alexander (foot). According to the superstition, any player who appears on the cover of the popular John Madden National Football League home video game - Alexander is featured on the cover of the newest edition - usually has a bad season for one reason or another. Alexander has been ruled out for Sunday and is expected to miss at least three games; Morris likely will start in his place. Since Week 1, Morris has averaged 22 rushing yards, 0.33 rushing touchdowns and 11 receiving yards per outing. He has been utilized an average of eight times per game (12 percent) overall with no utilizations inside the red zone. The Alexander owner in your league probably scooped Morris up during your draft; however, if you desperately need some short-term help at running back, check to see whether Morris is available. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE  

WIDE RECEIVERS

Greg Jennings, Green Bay Packers - The rookie second-round pick out of Western Michigan has been a pleasant surprise and likely will keep the starting job that he won in training camp. In three contests played this season, Jennings has averaged three catches for 58 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per outing. If you take away the bad game that he had against the tough Chicago Bears' defense in Week 1 (one reception for five yards), Jennings' averages are more impressive. He has been targeted an average of eight times per contest (12 percent) overall, which includes an average of one target per game (9 percent) inside the red zone. Jennings currently is available in 68 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Bernard Berrian, Chicago Bears - We left him on our watch list last week, because we wanted to see if he could produce against a tougher defense. He came through, notching six receptions for 70 yards to help his team pull out a tough road win against the Minnesota Vikings. Since Week 1, Berrian has averaged four receptions for 69 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per contest. He has been targeted an average of seven times per game (11 percent) overall with no targets inside the red zone. Berrian currently is owned in 68 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Reggie Brown, Philadelphia Eagles - Wide receiver Donte' Stallworth is the new go-to guy in the Eagles' passing game, but the talented Brown is a solid second-year pro who should benefit from the increased attention that Stallworth likely will receive. During the first three games of the season, Brown has averaged three catches for 50 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per outing. He has been targeted an average of seven times per contest (11 percent) overall, which includes an average of one target per game (19 percent) inside the red zone. Brown currently is owned in 73 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Chris Henry, Cincinnati Bengals - He is receiving extra targets in the passing game lately, because opposing defenses are having some success in shutting down starting wide receiver Chad Johnson. In three games played (mainly filling in for injured starting wide receiver T.J. Houshmanzadeh), Henry has averaged four receptions for 59 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per outing. The team has targeted him an average of eight times per game (13 percent). This includes an average of two targets per contest (26 percent) inside the red zone with one target coming inside the 5-yard line. Henry likely will not post big numbers each week. He currently is available in 76 percent of all leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: LOOK TO ACQUIRE

PLAYERS TO KEEP AN EYE ON... WRWATCH LIST

NEW - Mike Furrey, Detroit Lions - Furrey, who has experience in offensive coordinator Mike Martz's system from St. Louis, has contributed some respectable numbers and has become a favorite receiver of quarterback Jon Kitna. Furrey has averaged five receptions for 53 yards per game since Week 1 but has not scored. The team has targeted him an average of seven times per contest (13 percent of the offense) overall with no red zone targets. We are wondering whether Furrey can hold off wide receiver Az-Zahir Hakim. Furrey is available in 91 percent of all leagues polled.

NEW - Roscoe Parrish, Buffalo Bills - The second-year pro enjoyed a breakout performance in Week 3, catching four balls for 104 yards and one touchdown. Since Week 1, Parrish has averaged two catches for 43 yards and 0.33 touchdowns per contest. He has been targeted an average of three times per game (5 percent of the offense) overall with no red zone targets. We want to see if Parrish's performance was just a blip on the radar or the beginning of a trend. Parrish is currently owned in 1 percent of all leagues polled.

TIGHT ENDS

Owen Daniels, Houston Texans - Daniels has found a propensity to find the end zone. He had four receptions for 45 yards and a score in Week 2 after being shut out in Week 1. Last week, he caught one pass for a two-yard touchdown. He faces one of the worst defenses against the position in the early going, as the Texans battle the Miami Dolphins. They have allowed 198 yards and two scores in the three games this year. He is available in 79 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Eric Johnson, San Francisco 49ers - Johnson resurfaces in fantasy ranks after having a great 2004 season and subsequently missing 2005 with a foot injury. After starting tight end Vernon Davis (leg) suffered a cracked leg in Week 3, Johnson is set to take over as the starter. He had a big game in Week 3 with seven catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. This could be a sign of things to come, so he is definitely a player to acquire. He is available in 98 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Chris Baker, New York Jets - Baker served our high ranking well last week when he caught his second touchdown of the season. He has eight receptions for 54 yards to go with his two scores. Baker should be seeing more action as he continues to increase his comfort level with the offense. He has a great matchup against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 4. The Colts have allowed 146 yards and three touchdowns in the three games this season to the tight end position. Baker is worth the look this week as a one-week play. He is available in 85 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ONE-WEEK PLAY

PLAYERS TO KEEP AN EYE ON... TE WATCH LIST

George Wrighster, Jacksonville Jaguars - Wrighster has been active early on in 2006. He has caught 10 passes for 75 yards but has yet to score. His production has steadily increased each week, which is a sign quarterback Byron Leftwich has found a comfort zone throwing to him. Wrighster's production hasn't been anything special, but his growing statline is a good sign. He will eventually lose out to Marcedes Lewis when the rookie first-round pick gets acclimated to the NFL game. Wrighster is available in 94 percent of leagues polled.

Bo Scaife, Tennessee Titans - Scaife has improved his output each week this season and caught his first touchdown in Week 3. He has seven catches for 118 yards and that solo score. Scaife also dropped an easy touchdown in Week 3 play after making an insane, diving catch. With quarterback Vince Young possibly taking over in the coming weeks, he will need his tight ends. Rookies predominately struggle reading coverages and rely on checkdown receivers such as tight ends. With Scaife's increased production, and the shift to Young likely upcoming, Scaife is a player to watch. Scaife is available in 99 percent of leagues polled.

PLACE KICKERS

Robbie Gould, Chicago Bears - Gould worked hard in the offseason to improve his accuracy and distance, hard work that has paid off thus far in 2006. In three contests, he has been no Fool's Gould, averaging 3.33 field goal attempts (making each attempt) and 2.33 extra point attempts (good on each try). This averages to 12.33 actual kicking points per game for the young season. He is currently owned in 77 percent of leagues polled, so you will want to make haste to grab him as soon as possible. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

Nate Kaeding, San Diego Chargers - The Bolts had enough confidence in Kaeding to secure him through 2012 as their place kicker, and you should have equal confidence in him for the 2006 fantasy season. Rush to your wire to acquire Kaeding, who has averaged three field goal attempts, connecting on each, and 3.5 extra point attempts, also good on each, per game through two weeks. This equates to 12.5 actual kicking points per game. He is currently owned in 62 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ACQUIRE

DEFENSIVE TEAMS

St. Louis Rams - The Rams have been a feisty bunch on defense this year, averaging 1.67 sacks, two interceptions and 1.33 fumbles recovered per game in three outings. This week they have the luxury of facing the Detroit Lions, who have surrendered an average of four sacks, 0.33 interceptions and 1.33 fumbles lost per game. Pick up the Rams as a one-week play against a struggling Lions' offense. The Rams' defensive unit is available in 30 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ONE-WEEK PLAY

Houston Texans - You may be thinking we're crazy or calling us nasty names that revolve around four-letter curse words, but we have some method to our madness here. The Texans, who have been abysmal on defense for the most part, host the Miami Dolphins in Week 4. The Dolphins have yielded an average of one interception thrown, 1.33 fumbles lost and a whopping five sacks per game through three contests. If the Texans want to get their pass rush going, this should be the week for it come. The Texans have averaged 0.33 interceptions, 0.67 fumble recoveries and one sack per game this season in three contests. Houston is available in 97 percent of leagues polled. KFFL Recommendation: ONE-WEEK PLAY

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About Matthew Wilson

Matt Wilson is a lifelong college and pro football fan who proudly touts the Michigan Wolverines and the Chicago Bears as his two favorite teams. Matt discovered fantasy football in 1999 and has been addicted to it ever since. His professional background includes a four-year stint as a news reporter for a Chicago-area radio station. Matt was sports director for his college television station at Northern Illinois. Seeking a new challenge, Matt joined KFFL in 2004.

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