Fantasy Football Analysis Draft I - Round 13

by KFFL Staff on June 25, 2009 @ 01:00:01 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
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1) Mike Walker, wide receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars

Team: Ilan Mochari | Team Roster

Reason: Walker, 24, flashed PPR brilliance (11 catches, 153 yards) in Weeks 4-5 last season until he hurt his knee and missed eight of the next nine games. Statistically speaking, Carolina Panthers wide receiver Muhsin Muhammad and San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Isaac Bruce were safer choices. For me, though, Round 13 is no time to play it safe. Walker's upside and opportunity - as the No. 2 receiver and top deep threat in the Jaguars' offense - were too good to pass up.

2) Baltimore Ravens defensive team

Team: Mike Egnak | Team Roster

Reason: I don't think the loss of Rex Ryan at defensive coordinator will hurt too much, and I fully expect them to remain a top-tier fantasy defense. I'm expecting to see 40 sacks, around 23 turnovers and a couple defensive scores from the Ravens.


Will Charles chip into LJ's time enough?

3) Jamaal Charles, running back, Kansas City Chiefs

Team: John Kotch Jr. | Team Roster

Reason: I thought Charles was a solid late-round pick here. In all likelihood he'll play behind running back Larry Johnson again, but you never know what could happen with Johnson. Johnson is almost 30 and nearing the point of decline. He could struggle this year or get hurt again due to his age. In addition to spelling Johnson, Charles has been designated as the Chiefs' third-down back. Last year, he averaged 5.3 yards on the ground and was an effective receiver out of the backfield. I consider him a solid reserve with upside.

4) Tashard Choice, running back, Dallas Cowboys

Team: Bryce McRae | Team Roster

Reason: I'm not entirely sold on Choice ... but he does have some upside in the Cowboys' offense. Dallas wants to involve all three of their running backs, and Choice has been seen taking snaps in the wildcat formation. Starter Marion Barber III hasn't been the epitome of good health before, and running back Felix Jones (calf, toe) is more of a home run threat rather than a grind-it-out back like Choice. He fits the better profile to replace Barber's carries should the vet go down. As my No. 5 back, I was able to take a flier on a back with more upside.

5) New York Giants defensive team

Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster

Reason: The Giants' D figures to be on the rise in 2009. Defensive ends Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora have to be two of the top sack specialists in the NFL. The Giants also added talented defenders in Rocky Bernard, Michael Boley (hip) and Chris Canty.

6) Philadelphia Eagles, defensive team

Team: Matt Wilson | Team Roster

Reason: I wanted to round out my team with one of the perennially best fantasy team defenses available, and the Eagles fit the bill as an every-week starting unit. Philadelphia tallied a league-leading 9.9 fantasy points per game last season. The Eagles also ranked No. 3 in sacks (48) and only eight teams forced more turnovers (29). Although Philadelphia will have two new faces of note - free safety Sean Jones and cornerback Ellis Hobbes - this unit should rack up the fantasy points again this year. Defensive coordinator Jim Johnson has been away from the team receiving treatment for cancer. Even if he does not return, the Eagles should continue philosophy of blitzing, blitzing and more blitzing.  


Does a TO addition mean better numbers for Edwards?

7) Trent Edwards, quarterback, Buffalo Bills

Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster

Reason: Edwards had a decent 2008 season and should play better with another in the team's offense. It also does not hurt to throw to wide receivers Lee Evans and Terrell Owens each week. I would like to see around 3,250 yards and close to 20 touchdowns.

8) Kevin Curtis, wide receiver, Philadelphia Eagles

Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: I'm not worried ... "free agent" will read "Minnesota Vikings" soon enough. I was hoping Jason Campbell would make it back to me - oh, the joys of drafting with co-workers that know who are your sleepers! Favre (shoulder) gives me the security of a capable backup and an iron man, even if his shoulder isn't quite 100 percent all year. I think he can throw for 3,500 yards and 21-23 touchdowns.

9) Andre Brown, running back, New York Giants

Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster

Reason: Brown enters a fantastic situation for rookie-year contribution, presumably becoming the new Derrick Ward in the Giants' three-headed attack. The 6-foot, 224-pound back offers a happy medium between Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw; Brown profiles as the best replacement for Jacobs' workload, making him an ideal handcuff.

10) T.J. Duckett, running back, Seattle Seahawks

Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster

Reason: See my write-up on Julius Jones: The Seahawks will have one of the best rushing attacks in the league, and they'll face some pretty subpar run defenses. Duckett is the rumbling short-yardage and goal line man in this setup. He'll have an opportunity to carve out a role much like he had with the Atlanta Falcons.

11) Joey Galloway, wide receiver, New England Patriots

Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: This is my third consecutive receiver selection. As I said in the analysis on selecting Fred Taylor: In Belichick I trust. The aging Galloway will lineup with Randy Moss and Wes Welker, putting him in single coverage at all times. If his wheels have any tread left, he will be a pleasant surprise. I'm looking for around 45 receptions with 750 yards and a handful of touchdowns.

12) San Diego Chargers, defensive team

Team: Kostas Bolos | Team Roster

Reason: The Chargers' defense should be primed for a bounce-back campaign in 2009. Linebacker Shawne Merriman (knee), who is entering a contract year, is expected to be ready for the start of the season, while cornerback Antonio Cromartie is healthy again after playing with a fractured hip in 2008. The team is also used a first-round draft pick linebacker on Larry English.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
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