Fantasy Football Analysis Draft I - Round 7

by KFFL Staff on June 22, 2009 @ 01:00:01 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
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Will Brown be able to push Addai for playing time?

1) Donald Brown, running back, Indianapolis Colts

Team: Ilan Mochari | Team Roster

Reason: With Colts running back Joseph Addai coming off surgery and a mediocrity (3.5 yards per carry), there's a chance Brown will emerge as the starter. While I was tempted to draft a goal line specialist, Brown's upside as a key cog in the Colts offense was too enticing to ignore.

Others Considered: Tennessee Titans running back LenDale White

Standards Set: As a first-round rookie in 2006, Addai was a No. 2 fantasy running back: eight touchdowns, 40 catches and 1,406 yards from scrimmage. For me, those stats represent Brown's possibilities. The 2008 numbers of Addai's previous backup, Dominic Rhodes, provide another standard: 840 yards from scrimmage, 45 receptions and nine touchdowns.

2) Santonio Holmes, Wide Receiver, Pittsburgh Steelers

Team: Mike Egnak | Team Roster

Reason: Holmes is coming off a bit of a down year, as his average yards per catch dropped from 18.1 in 2007 to 14.9 in 2008. However, he managed to set a new career high with 55 receptions last year. If he can stay out of trouble, he should be able to at least repeat his performance from last season.

Others Considered: Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Bernard Berrian

Standards Set: I'd like to see Holmes catch at least 60 passes for the upcoming year. I feel he should also be good for nearly 900 nearly receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

3) Bernard Berrian, wide receiver, Minnesota Vikings

Team: John Kotch Jr. | Team Roster

Reason: I again chose to disregard the rankings and go with my instincts. I made the pick based on the presumption of former New York Jets quarterback Brett Favre (shoulder) being under center for the Vikings. This would obviously make a profound difference in Berrian's production. If Favre were already with the team Berrian would have been ranked higher. Berrian finished the 2008 season with only 49 receptions, but his 964 yards gives him an average of 19.8 yards per catch. He scored seven touchdowns. He managed to post those numbers with Gus Frerotte and Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback.

Others Considered: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Roy Williams

Standards Set: The presence of fellow Vikings wide receivers Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin could minimize Berrian's double teams. With Favre or even Sage Rosenfels running the offense, I'm certainly expecting his catch total to dramatically increase. I expect Berrian to end the year with up to 80 catches, 1,200 yards and perhaps even 10 touchdowns.

4) Jamal Lewis, running back, Cleveland Browns

Team: Bryce McRae | Team Roster

Reason: I needed a third back; Lewis was the best available. He played through a bad ankle injury last year, which was cleaned up with some offseason surgery, and still managed 1,002 yards. He'll still be the main back in Cleveland's offense, which should feature a steady diet of the run. Lewis has eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark in all but season where he has at least one carry.

Others Considered: New York Jets running back Leon Washington, St. Louis Rams wide receiver Donnie Avery

Standards Set: I think Lewis is capable of at least 1,200 yards and 10 scores.

5) Leon Washington, running back, New York Jets

Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster

Reason: The decision to draft Washington here was fairly simple. I needed another running back and was able to handcuff Thomas Jones while giving myself a solid option at the flex spot. Last season was a prime example of how both TJ and Washington can be productive while receiving plenty of touches. Washington's ability to catch passes out of the backfield was also very enticing.

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Laveranues Coles

Standards Set: He set career highs in rushing touchdowns (six) and catches (47); he chipped in 803 total yards last year. I'm expecting around 50 receptions and more rushing attempts than last year (76).

6) Jay Cutler, quarterback, Chicago Bears

Team: Matt Wilson | Team Roster

Reason: The starting quarterback pickings are looking very slim, so I had to grab one here. Although Cutler will not throw as much as he did with the Denver Broncos in 2008, I think he will end up being somewhat undervalued. The Bears insist they will utilize the same run-first attack this season. In my opinion, however, you don't trade for an up-and-coming young quarterback like Cutler unless you want to throw more frequently. Cutler's best pass-catchers are his tight ends and running backs, but he will play one of the softest schedules in the league, so he probably will receive some modest production from wide receiver Devin Hester and Chicago's no-name receiver corps.

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer, Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub.

Standards Set: Cutler will throw for 3,700 yards, 26 touchdowns and 19 interceptions.

7) LenDale White, running back, Tennessee Titans

Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster

Reason: Even though he is part of a backfield tandem in Tennessee, White has shown that he can be very productive in the role he currently has. He likely will be the team's short-yardage and goal line this season, which will give him several opportunities to find the end zone. He could also be used to spell fellow running back Chris Johnson in series during games. He may not rack up a lot of yards, but he can score touchdowns in the Titans offense.

Others Considered: Seattle Seahawks running back Julius Jones

Standards Set: I would be happy with around 750 yards and between eight to 10 touchdowns. I do not expect much in terms of his receiving stats, so anything I get in that area would be great.

8) Matt Schaub, quarterback, Houston Texans

Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: I have some serious man love for Schaub this year. If he stays healthy, the sky is the limit! Most people don't realize he was on pace for 4,400-plus yards last year. If he jacks up his total of touchdown passes and lowers his interceptions thrown, Schaub will be a stud. He has the weapons to work with in Houston's potentially lethal offense, but the improved defense may cause his yardage total to come down a bit.

Others Considered: None

Standards Set: Schaub should approach 4,000 passing yards and 24 touchdowns. I'll be content with an interception total in the low teens.

9) Jerricho Cotchery, wide receiver, New York Jets

Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster

Reason: Cotchery has one of the biggest value divergences between PPR and non-PPR leagues, but he's a comfortable No. 3 receiver I was happy to wait on. Though the starting quarterback remains undecided and he'll probably compete with tight end Dustin Keller for targets (Plaxico Burress, too?), Cotchery remains the Jets' top possession wideout. The signal caller - whoever that may be - will trust him.

Others Considered: St. Louis Rams wide receiver Donnie Avery, Green Bay Packers wide receiver Donald Driver

Standards Set: I'm counting on 80-plus receptions from Cotchery with a yardage total similar to his 2008 total of 858.

10) Donnie Avery, wide receiver, St. Louis Rams

Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster

Reason: I opted for youthful upside with my fourth receiver. After the Rams' bye, Avery averaged nearly four receptions per game. He became a permanent starter in Week 7 and was targeted nine or more times in seven of his last 10 contests. He became the No. 1 option in a precision-passing offense after St. Louis released Torry Holt (Jacksonville Jaguars).

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Laveranues Coles

Standards Set: I think Avery can catch 70 passes for 950 yards and a handful of touchdowns.

11) Kevin Walter, wide receiver, Houston Texans

Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: I like what I'm seeing out of the growth of the Texans, and Walter has come into his own the last two years. His yards and touchdowns both increased last year, quarterback Matt Schaub is finding comfort in him and Walter is entering his third full-season as a starter. I would, however, be more comfortable with him as my No. 4 fantasy receiver than my third entering the year.

Others Considered: None, but I was saddened to see Cotchery, Berrian, Holmes and Avery go in the picks just before this one. I really wanted Berrian.

Standards Set: I'm anticipating no less than 60 receptions for 850 yards and six scores but, with Andre Johnson taking most of the attention, he could improve on all of those numbers. `


Can Palmer's elbow be relied on this year?

12) Carson Palmer, quarterback, Cincinnati Bengals

Team: Kostas Bolos | Team Roster

Reason: Palmer (elbow) could be in line for a bounce-back season. From all reports thus far, he is throwing the ball well, even though he is on a "pitch count." Palmer and wide receiver Chad Ochocinco appear to be on the same page again, which should bode well for the Bengals' offense.

Others Considered: Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Torry Holt, Green Bay Packers wide receiver Donald Driver

Standards Set: If healthy, I'm optimistic for roughly 3,500 yards passing and 24 touchdowns.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
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