Fantasy Football Analysis Draft I - Round 6

by KFFL Staff on June 22, 2009 @ 01:00:01 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
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Gates continues as a top fantasy tight end

1) Antonio Gates, tight end, San Diego Chargers

Team: Kostas Bolos | Team Roster

Reason: I debated between selecting a quarterback or a tight end with this pick and opted for Gates, which could come back to haunt me. However, with Gates expected to be healthy this season, he should post exceptional numbers. He was able to record 60 receptions for 704 yards and eight touchdowns while battling multiple ailments in 2008. Gates has never scored less than eight touchdowns as a full-time starter in his career.

Others Considered: San Diego Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers

Standards Set: I'm looking for 70-plus receptions, 900-plus yards and eight to 10 touchdowns.

2) Chris Wells, running back, Arizona Cardinals

Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: My running backs (Frank Gore and Ryan Grant) aren't sure things, so I felt the need to add some upside. Wells, a first-round pick, wasn't brought in to ride the pine. The Cardinals were not happy with their running game last year, and the oft-injured - yet highly talented - back should carry the lion's share of the load in his rookie campaign. With Kurt Warner slinging the pigskin to Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, defenses will be willing to give up underneath yards to Wells before being beat deep through the air.

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals running back Cedric Benson, Buffalo Bills wide receiver Lee Evans

Standards Set: Wells will need to hold off Tim Hightower and stay healthy to start off with. If he's able to do both, the sky could be the limit. I'll be content with 1,100 total yards and six scores out of him as my third back.

3) Philip Rivers, quarterback, San Diego Chargers

Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster

Reason: I wasn't looking for the QB-receiver combo, but Rivers makes most sense. As I said, I believe the Chargers offense is evolving. Rivers leads the way, and he has much less downside (he's younger and can play through injuries) than my other options. Quarterbacks fell, so I waited and still landed a quality producer.

Others Considered: Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kurt Warner

Standards Set: As long as Rivers passes for about 3,800 yards and 25-plus touchdowns, I won't complain. I expect more.

4) Kurt Warner, quarterback, Arizona Cardinals

Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster

Reason: I'm not saying I think he'll stay healthy for the whole season. With Ken Whisenhunt calling the offensive plays, though, I'm not too worried about Todd Haley's exit, either. Warner still has Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin and Steve Breaston at his disposal. I would rather have waited to address this position, but my gap between picks was too long and the pickings were slim.

Others Considered: Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo, Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb

Standards Set: My conservative expectation for Warner: 25 touchdowns and 3,500 yards.

5) Lee Evans, wide receiver, Buffalo Bills

Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster

Reason: Frankly, I wasn't looking for a wide receiver with this pick until Philip Rivers and Kurt Warner were selected just ahead of me. Evans was sliding down the board a tad; I liked the idea of rounding out my top three running backs and receivers within the first six rounds. I am taking a chance that I will be able to land a respectable quarterback in the next round by picking Evans. The addition of wideout Terrell Owens should permit Evans to see more single coverage, which has me intrigued.

Others Considered: Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo, Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb, Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Santonio Holmes

Standards Set: I'll be very pleased should Evans catch 55-60 passes for 900-1,000 yards and score five or six times. 


Does McNabb have a long leash this year?

6) Donovan McNabb, quarterback, Philadelphia Eagles

Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster

Reason: With my running backs and wide receivers set for the time being, I decided to fill the quarterback position and focused on two quarterbacks from the NFC East. I chose McNabb because I like his backs and receivers a little more than Romo's; also a factor for me was McNabb's ability to pick up a few rushing yards and add the odd rushing touchdown during a season. Romo's struggles in December were another factor in my decision.

Others Considered: Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo, Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan

Standards Set: I would be happy with around 3,800 yards passing, 20-25 touchdowns and 11 or fewer interceptions. I would consider it a bonus if he could rush for around 150 yards and one or two touchdowns.

7) Cedric Benson, running back, Cincinnati Bengals

Team: Matt Wilson | Team Roster

Reason: I was looking for the best available runner who could produce solid No. 3 back/flex numbers, and Benson should fit the bill based on the sheer volume of touches that he is expected to receive as Cincinnati's presumed starter. Last season, Benson compiled 932 total yards and scored twice in 12 games played for Cincinnati while averaging a robust 19.5 touches per contest. Granted, Benson's 3.5 yards-per-carry average and two total scores were disappointing. Keep in mind that the Bengals will have a healthy quarterback Carson Palmer stretching the field, so the Benson should more running room this season.

Others Considered: Indianapolis Colts running back Donald Brown (probably should have taken him instead), Tennessee Titans running back LenDale White and Baltimore Ravens running back Ray Rice (he should drop at least another round).   

Standards Set: Facing close to a 50/50 split of favorable and unfavorable matchups in 2008, I think Benson should amass 1,100 total yards and score 10 total touchdowns. 

8) Lance Moore, wide receiver, New Orleans Saints

Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster

Reason: With the Saints' explosive passing offense, Moore seemed like the right choice as my No. 3 wideout. I like his Wes Welker-type role in a PPR format, and once again, he is playing for the pass-happy offense led by Drew Brees. Another positive for Moore in 2009: He is in a contract year and likely to see a heavy workload.

Others Considered: Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Santonio Holmes

Standards Set: Moore grabbed 79 passes for 923 yards and 10 touchdowns in his third season with consistent playing time in 2008. I'm expecting around 70 catches and seven to 10 touchdowns this year.


Can Romo be a strong fantasy QB without TO?

9) Tony Romo, quarterback, Dallas Cowboys

Team: Bryce McRae | Team Roster

Reason: I'm getting decent value on Romo at this spot in the draft. He was on pace to throw for another 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns if he didn't get hurt last year. He's tweaking his delivery to make it even quicker, which should make him even more dangerous. Plus, TO won't be chirping in his ear all season long. I think that'll help Romo's focus.

Others Considered: None

Standards Set: I think Romo can throw for at least 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns. I also think he cuts down the INTs to a manageable 14 or 15.

10) Hines Ward, wide receiver, Pittsburgh Steelers

Team: John Kotch Jr. | Team Roster

Reason: Ward hasn't shown any signs of physical decline, despite the fact the he's 33 years old. He returns healthy from a knee-injury he suffered last year, as well as offseason shoulder surgery. Many believe that Ward's numbers could drop in 2009 due to the emergence of wide receivers Santonio Holmes and Limas Sweed. However, I believe Ward will remain Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger's main target this season.

Others Considered: Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Bernard Berrian

Standards Set: Ward posted a team-leading 81 receptions for 1,043 yards with seven touchdowns, his best season in five years. I expect him to duplicate those numbers in 2009.

11) Dallas Clark, Tight End, Indianapolis Colts

Team: Mike Egnak | Team Roster

Reason: With Marvin Harrison declining the past two years, Clark has seen extra throws go his way. Last year, Clark finished with career highs in receptions (77) and receiving yards (848). With Harrison now gone from the team, Clark should see similar looks in the upcoming season.

Others Considered: Houston Texans tight end Owen Daniels, Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Kellen Winslow

Standards Set: Clark should be able to grab around 75 passes, 750 receiving yards and six or seven touchdowns on the year.


Can Ryan be a No. 1 QB for fantasy teams?

12) Matt Ryan, quarterback, Atlanta Falcons

Team: Ilan Mochari | Team Roster

Reason: After ignoring signal callers for five rounds, it was time to plunge. I would have drafted Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler if I had not already selected his teammate, running back Matt Forte. To diversify, I opted for Ryan. The arrival of tight end Tony Gonzalez to complement wide receiver Roddy White makes me believe that Ryan can top his rookie numbers.

Others Considered: Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler

Standards Set: Ryan's stats will not be astronomical as long as running back Michael Turner is racking up yards and touchdowns. However, merely a marginal improvement would put Ryan at 3,700 passing yards and 21 touchdowns. I think those are reasonable expectations.

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