BaseballHQ.com: Starters' Pitch Movement

by BaseballHQ.com on January 25, 2013 @ 11:52:28 PDT

 

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Here are outliers whose pitch movement changed significantly in 2012:

Pitch Movement 2012 vs. 2011

*Min 40 IP 2011, 2012

Positive

Name League 2011 2012 Diff
Richard, Clayton NL 11.4 13.9 2.4
Hammel, Jason AL 10.5 12.4 1.9
Cook, Aaron AL 7.5 9.3 1.8
Cobb, Alex AL 11 12.8 1.8
Arrieta, Jake AL 12.5 14.2 1.6
Karstens, Jeff NL 11.4 12.9 1.5
Lester, Jon AL 12.6 11.1 1.5
Kershaw, Clayton NL 10.5 11.9 1.3
Lilly, Ted NL 14 15.3 1.3
Leake, Mike NL 8.2 9.5 1.3
Lewis, Colby AL 11.2 12.5 1.3
LeBlanc, Wade NL 11.2 12.4 1.2
Saunders, Joe FA 13.6 14.7 1.1
Hughes, Phil AL 13.8 12.8 1
Hamels, Cole NL 12.9 13.9 1
Sanchez, Jonathan FA 12.9 13.8 1

Negative

Name League 2011 2012 Diff
Chatwood, Tyler NL 13.8 9.3 -4.5
Wood, Travis NL 13.9 10.6 -3.3
Cecil, Brett AL 11 8.4 -2.6
Zambrano, Carlos NL 12 9.5 -2.4
Britton, Zach AL 14.1 12.1 -2
Price, David AL 16.5 14.5 -2
Francis, Jeff NL 13.4 11.5 -1.9
Verlander, Justin AL 15.6 13.7 -1.9
Marcum, Shaun NL 9.6 7.8 -1.8
Zito, Barry NL 12.9 11.2 -1.7
Maholm, Paul NL 11.4 9.7 -1.7
Duensing, Brian AL 14.5 12.9 -1.6
Hernandez, Felix AL 10 8.4 -1.6
Harrison, Matt AL 15.3 13.7 -1.6
McDonald, James NL 13.3 11.7 -1.6
Niese, Jon NL 12.4 10.9 -1.5
Santana, Ervin AL 9.2 7.7 -1.5

We did not find that an increase or decrease in pitch movement was correlated with a change in k/9 or bb/9.

SP whose pitch movement increased in 2012 posted an average 6.8 k/9 that season. Their average k/9 in 2011 was also 6.8.

Same goes for bb/9. Those with increased pitch movement in 2012 maintained the same bb/9 (2.7) as they had in 2011.

Guys whose pitch movement decreased in 2012 did not show significant deviations from the k/9 and bb/9 they posted in the prior season.

Does pitch type matter? Plus, notable beneficiaries....

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