Marlins and Blue Jays' blockbuster swap includes Jose Reyes, Josh Johnson
November 13, 2012 @ 18:24:26 PDT
The Miami Marlins agreed to send SS Jose Reyes, SPs Josh Johnson and Mark Buehrle, OF Emilio Bonifacio and C John Buck to the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday, Nov. 13, in exchange for SS Yunel Escobar, 2B Adeiny Hechavarria, SP Henderson Alvarez, SP Justin Nicolino, OF Jake Marisnick, C Jeff Mathis and RP Anthony DeSclafini. However, the trade isn't yet official.
That won't stop me from assessing it. First, Toronto's haul: Reyes and Johnson's typical health risks loom over their elite skills. The move to a hitter-friendly environment helps Reyes and hurts Johnson. He may wind up as a decent mixed value because of the stigma caused by the AL move, but there's palpable justification to knock down his expectations a little. Expecting something close to his 2012 K/9 of 7.76 and ERA of 3.81 ERA is a good start.
Bonifacio's swipes-fueled value moves to the Junior Circuit, with a smidge of added offensive potential. Buehrle's innings-eating style survived U.S. Cellular Field as his home park for all but one season in his career, so he's adept at maneuvering around such ambiences. Still, he's a boring run-support-dependent, mixed back-end commodity with little upside. Though Buck will leave the yard a few more times, his combo of pop and crippling clip keeps him as a sometimes-helpful second mixed backstop.
The Marlins didn't get much back in terms of 2013 fantasy allure. Escobar's middling across-the-board offerings and Hechavarria's glove-first profile shouldn't be pursued in dual-universe drafts, maybe Escobar more so if cavernous players are desperate. Alvarez boasts interesting components and makes the favorable league switch that might add some mono-league worth, but he's a contact-first hurler. Until he extracts more K's from his stuff - a 2013 possibility - he's a wait-and-see type in mixed setups.
Miami's new pair of touted 21-year-old prospects will probably debut in 2014, with a miniscule chance at 2013. Marisnick, a notable five-tool prospect, and Nicolino, a grounder- and K-friendly southpaw, can be tucked away in NL-only redrafts but are better suited as attractive dynasty fodder.
There's no reason to tuck DeSclafani away right now, and Mathis remains a scrub that takes up space in two-catcher NL-only setups.
We'll let you know if this puzzle adds another piece over at Hot off the Wire.
About Tim Heaney
Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous publications, and recognized as a finalist in FSWA's awards. The Boston University alum competes in Tout Wars and LABR and has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.
During baseball and football season, he's on The Reality Check with Glenn Clark every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore. He hits the airwaves every Thursday at 9:30 a.m. ET on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, where he often crashes other shows, as well.
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