by KFFL Staff on March 4, 2011 @ 14:20:40 PDT

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Player	POS	TM	The what for
Rickie Weeks	2B	MIL	Still a major injury risk. Recently signed a large contract and could become complacent; SBs just a bonus; let someone else assume the risk.
Alfonso Soriano	OF	CHC	Limited steals potential, major injury risk, age and a pedestrian BA all point me toward younger, potentially more explosive options.
Michael Bourn	OF	HOU	Never a fan of relying heavily on players with limited contribution ability. Bourn's bags and runs are nice, but don't overpay for the swipe category.
Jonathan Sanchez	SP	SF	Fly-ball and walk issues are a concern; high, unsustainable LOB rate last year (79.5), IP jump and late-season regression a concern.
Matt Garza	SP	CHC	Temper your expectations, that's all. Move to NL intriguing but not the be all, end all. Fly-ball rate and HR/9 three straight years of northbound travel.

Player	POS	TM	The what for
Ichiro Suzuki	OF	SEA	Very good player, just not interested in 37-YO's - safe, definitely pretty safe - .300 BA and 30-35 SB in high number of AB at cost anymore.
Jose Bautista	3B/OF	TOR	He'll play, hit bunch of HR. But 2010 value was in diff-making roto FA acquisition; 2011 price means, to break even, MUST hit the ~35 folks project.
Rickie Weeks	2B	MIL	Puts together outstanding full season; therefore, is cured of injury tendency. Wish it worked that way. Rather pay less for Ian Kinsler in MLB universe.
Stephen Drew	SS	ARI	Another good player, but I don't anticipate his stat lines matching his talent in most years. If I wait that long on SS, I'll just wait a little longer.
Jonathan Sanchez	SP	SF	Member of WS winner pitching later in year. Fairly taxing season, BB/9 issues and last year's hit percentage fortune make me less interested.

Player	POS	TM	The what for
Ichiro Suzuki	OF	SEA	Not worth building your draft around Ichiro anymore. BA less helpful. Lineup doesn't help R. This aging machine should start slowing down.
Clay Buchholz	SP	BOS	Ignoring upside isn't smart, but reaching extra for it, in this case, hides his in-play reliance and dropping K/9. BB/9 still WIP. Be careful.
Aubrey Huff	1B/OF	SF	Every-other-year vet had some HR/FB fortune. Weak park, lineup don't facilitate another strong performance. This is why you address 1B early.
Delmon Young	OF	MIN	Like Buchholz: Temper paying for upside. Many OF can give what Young can this year. 2010 value was RBI-fueled. Unlikely to repeat that.
Jonathan Sanchez	SP	SF	BB/9 and WHIP improvements reulted in shaky numbers anyway. K's will be there, but playoff IP bump and lucky LOB%, BABIP spell harsh correction.

Player	POS	TM	The what for
Elvis Andrus	SS	TEX	Thin SS class has many overpaying. Zero power and mediocre BA leave only SB potential as a reason for drafting.
Francisco Liriano	SP	MIN	Last year was nice - but for 2H fade. Violent pitching motion makes him injury waiting to happen. Becoming property of Yanks wouldn't help his value.
Alfonso Soriano	OF	CHC	A crowded outfield in Chi-Town. Also not good: Speed decline and all too frequent swings and misses. Pop still there, but only useful for OF depth.
Jonathan Sanchez	SP	SF	Playoff run makes him look better than he really is. Low BAABIP last year and uninspiring BB rates don't excite me. Fly-ball allowance is still a problem.
Michael Bourn	OF	HOU	Runs and SBs for sale here. If you're looking for more, look elsewhere. Don't expect his BA to return to '09 levels.