Editor's choice: Fantasy baseball busts

by KFFL Staff on February 25, 2011 @ 16:49:22 PDT

 


KFFL's staffers choose their favorite 2011 fantasy baseball busts.

Tim Heaney

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Justin Morneau
1B
MIN
Not putting myself in position to rely on him. Concussion history frightens me, not to mention his clockwork 2H fades
Elvis Andrus
SS
TEX
How much does he stand out from, say, Rafael Furcal? It's an upside, faith pick; 'til Andrus shows me some power and BA, he ain't in my top 7 SS
Trevor Cahill
SP
OAK
Isn't this a tired lesson? Sure, GB nice, but few K's. BABIP- and LOB-fueled success typically comes back to normal. He'll have growing pains, too
Pedro Alvarez
3B
PIT
HATE to be this drastic, especially w/ his upside. At the right point, sure, I'd take him. But work ethic, BA issues keeping me from overspending
Matt Garza
SP
CHC
Move out of AL East not an instant cure for FB, K/9 woes. BB/9 is his calling card, but HR/9 climbing. Now he's at Wrigley Field? Pass

 

Keith Hernandez

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Jose Bautista
OF
TOR
Likely on most people's lists, but we all know he won't repeat the 54 dingers. Thirty is possible, but weak BA to go with isn't worth the price.
Matt Garza
SP
CHC
Guy is overvalued. Period. Forget about the no-hitter; his high FB% and HR/9 make the move to Wrigley scarier. No thanks.
Adrian Beltre
3B
TEX
Is he really only 31? Already injured in ST. Contract year responsible for great '10 numbers? High BABIP last year will make him a huge BA disappointment.
Rickie Weeks
2B
MIL
One healthy year shouldn't mask injury risk. No more updside now. Poor CT% and high K% make him a BA enigma. Doubt he will approach 30 homers again.
Jered Weaver
SP
LAA
Dominance spiked last year; pay for a regression, not a repeat. Fly-ball allowance will raise his ERA to something closer to 3.50.

 

Cory J. Bonini

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Grady Sizemore
OF
CLE
Lingering concerns (even from Sizemore himself) about his knee; power in question, and SBs may not be there with a bum knee.
Derek Jeter
SS
NYY
Dropped off in a major way in 2010; could be even worse entering an age-37 season; the risk isn't worth a potential minimal uptick in stats.
Trevor Cahill
SP
OAK
Could make the overvalued argument, but a low K rate (5.31/9), a little bit of 2010 luck, a poor offense (again) and more tape on him have me worried.
Jorge Posada
C
NYY
Expecting Russell Martin to outshine him; age, a decline in PA and injury concerns should be enough to scare you.
Jonathan Papelbon
CL
BOS
Statistical trends in the wrong direction, could be traded during the season (may not be all bad); has Daniel Bard and Bobby Jenks waiting for his job.

 

Nicholas Minnix

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Justin Morneau 1B MIN Love the hitter, feel for the human being, but have little interest in a player drafted so highly who has to sit if a teammate pats him on the head after a HR.
Adrian Beltre 3B TEX Something smells funny in Texas. Beltre is a rotten commodity on his own, when $ isn't on the line. Fear is that new location may only add to this lie.
Colby Rasmus OF STL Quality player, but have concerns about BA correction and repeat of HR rate, coupled with possible effects of turmoil in STL, poor relationship with skip.
Grady Sizemore OF CLE It's too soon to expect much more than tepid production in first action after microfracture surgery. Will be a target in 2012, maybe after the 2011 break.
Trevor Cahill SP OAK Can't knock the GB prompter who earns Brandon Webb comparisons, but Webb struck a few people out, didn't walk too many and posted realistic ERAs.

 

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