Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 12

by KFFL Staff on February 15, 2011 @ 11:15:00 PDT


1) Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets

Team: Ryan Lester, Lester's Legends | Roster

Bay was limited to 95 games last year, but averaged 100.6 runs, 31 HRs, 102.8 RBI, and 11.8 SBs in the five previous seasons. I felt like he was a good risk at this point in the draft. I'm expecting a .280-90-25-90-10 season from him.

2) Brett Gardner, OF, New York Yankees

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

Many of my outfielders went sooner than expected. Breaking more of my rules: SB-first commodities without much power. But at this stage, his added R potential outweighed his likely BA drop. Some platoon risk here, but not enough to prevent me from addressing swipes.

3) Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets

Team: Doug Anderson, RotoExperts | Roster

Like Lee I was impressed by his work late in 2010. He's probably not a 20 steal threat anymore, but if he can stay on the field, he's going to produce good power numbers. I mean even on the Mets somebody has to drive in runs. He's also playing for maybe the last decent contract of his career.

Jason Bay OF New York Mets
Bay was a headache last year

4) Yunel Escobar, SS, Atlanta Braves

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

I liked his HR potential while with the Braves and hope that he will do even better with Toronto - I mean, for a SS.

5) Chad Billingsley, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys | Roster

I wanted to take Pablo Sandoval in the 10th and 11th rounds, and told myself I would take him here if he was still available. He was, but I went with the consistency of Chad instead.

6) Michael Bourn, OF, Houston Astros

Team: Joe Hamrahi, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

Michael Bourn is my obligatory stolen base pick. Bourn isn't going to get on base a whole lot, but he'll rack up 500-600 plate appearances, allowing him to accumulate some nice counting stats.

7) Brett Anderson, SP, Oakland Athletics

Team: Eriq Gardner, Fantasy Ball Junkie | Roster

My second pitcher and a much younger version of my first (Carpenter). Gaining confidence by the round that waiting, waiting, waiting on starting pitching was the smart move. Anderson has the makeup, skills, and pitching environment to be just as good as anybody else in the league this season.

8) Rajai Davis, OF, Toronto Blue Jays

Team: Harold Nichols, Baseball HQ | Roster

Needed speed, and he produces at rate of one SB per ten AB. Some BA downside with tiny walk rate, but he had most OF speed still available.

9) Vernon Wells, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

Wells won't match last year, but I think he brings good value at this point in the draft. I was looking to add some home runs, and Wells gave me the most potential for that with this pick.

10) Pablo Sandoval, 3B, San Francisco Giants

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

I'm a sucker for a BSOML plot. Don't all the stories - and pictures! - make you a believer? I waited on 3B, so I wanted a couple of serious bounce-back or breakout players at it.

11) Wandy Rodriguez, SP, Houston Astros

Team: Steve Gardner, USA Today | Roster

Similar to my last pick Max Scherzer, Rodriguez was excellent over the second half of last season with a 2.11 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Plus, he averaged over a strikeout per inning. Sign him up as my No. 3.

12) David Ortiz, DH, Boston Red Sox

Team: Collin Hager, | Roster

If you can get past the fact he will likely tank April, Ortiz here is straight-up production. He had 28 HRs and 99 RBI in 2009 followed by 32 and 102 in 2010. I think he keeps it up and that production and power at this spot is good to find.

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Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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