The 2010 season was supposed to be a breakout year for Truex, but he struggled to find momentum in his first year with Michael Waltrip Racing. He finished the year ranked 22nd in the final standings, and he managed just seven top-10 finishes and one top-five finish. Unless another offseason to gel with his MWR team leads to some significant improvement, Truex is likely to finish outside the top 15 again in 2011.
That's not to say there weren't positive signs last year. An eight-race stretch of top-20 finishes heading into All-Star weekend had him 12th in points. However, he posted a 27.3 average finish in the next six races and never sniffed a Chase spot again. Needless to say, consistency remains the biggest issue for Truex.
Looking at his career numbers, it's tough to expect much more out of him. His 2007 campaign was essentially his lone productive season during his five-year career. He posted seven top-five finishes that year, and he has seven combined top-five finishes in his other four years. His average finish has been 18.2 or worse in four of his five years, as well.
As long as fantasy owners draft Truex to be a No. 3 driver on their team, they won't be disappointed. Expecting more out of him is a recipe for a disaster. He requires a little more maintenance in other fantasy formats, but he does have a few tracks where he tends to run well. Darlington, Phoenix, Homestead and New Hampshire have been kind to him throughout his career. The bigger intermediate tracks and short tracks have always been hit or miss.
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