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Fantasy baseball lessons: Acquiring value buys
by Nicholas Minnix
on October 27, 2010 @ 14:00:00
PDT
Follow @NicholasMinnix
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Buying opportunity abounded in fantasy baseball drafts this past March. You had some in mind. Ego drives fantasy baseball players. We like to think we see something others don't or believe something is more important than others do. We like to be right. How far are we willing to go to be right?
Fantasy baseball managers are willing to take chances on seemingly undervalued or risky players with a few of their roster spots. In one league or another, many folks owned one or more of them. At the conclusion of at least one league's auction in the vast AL-only universe, it turns out that each of the players on the above list - yes, every single stinking one of them, as well as the non-stinking ones - occupied a roster spot on the exact same team in that league. Ridiculous. That's quite a learning experience, to fall for too many what-ifs. You want to pinch pennies somewhere, but if you don't spend an additional buck or three on more players who are historically reliable, you are likelier to need cleanup in Aisle 3. On draft day, you may feel confident that your undervalued targets aren't much different from more dependable commodities. When Josh Beckett throws the first pitch of a new season, though, all bets are off. Speaking of Beckett, who had a miserable 2009 and was entering a contract year (at the time), he seemed like a nice relative value in the fantasy ace bin. Always come armed with buy-low targets. Then, remember that those players are "undervalued" for reasons that could be larger factors in their performance than you realize or care to admit. Avoid rationalizing that your assembled roster will get the job done based solely on your projections, which you should use simply to provide yourself with possible relative value. Don't forget to use the bit of predictability that is at the fantasy baseball player's disposal. And don't forget about Milton Bradley in 2011. Players making adjustments | Making waivers decisionsAcquiring value buys | Negotiating tradesAbout Nicholas Minnix
Minnix is baseball editor and a fantasy football analyst at KFFL. He plays in LABR and Tout Wars and won the FSWA Baseball Industry Insiders League in 2010. The University of Delaware alum is a regular guest on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio and Baltimore's WNST AM 1570. Follow @NicholasMinnix Don't miss these great reports....
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