Fantasy Football Analysis Draft II - Round 7

by KFFL Staff on August 17, 2010 @ 17:44:00 PDT

 


KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their thoughts and analysis as to why they chose the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft, as this league will be played out during the course of the 2010 fantasy football season, so each participant is drafting to win this year.

This is our second Fantasy Analysis Draft of the summer. Click here to check out the first one and see how players are changing in value!

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area at the bottom of the page. If you disagree with a pick, let your thoughts be known.

1) Santana Moss, wide receiver, Washington Redskins
Team: Matt Pitzer, USA Today | Team Roster

Reason: He was the best receiver on the board, and I think he will be a flex starter most weeks. Moss should thrive as a high-catch player in Mike Shanahan's new offense in Washington. Moss is virtually the team's only reliable receiver and should be a cinch to pile up catches. I also thought about Pierre Garcon (Colts) but am unsure about his role on the team and would rather have a true No. 1 receiver.

Others Considered: Indianapolis Colts WR Pierre Garcon

Standards Set: I think Moss gets back to 1,000 yards and seven TDs on 70 catches.

2) Ahmad Bradshaw, running back, New York Giants
Team: Ian Riley, OpenSports.com | Team Roster

New York Giants RB Ahmad Bradshaw
New York's best back?

Reason: Brandon Jacobs may be first on the depth chart, but Bradshaw is the better fit on offense both running and catching the ball out of the backfield. Bradshaw touched the ball 58 fewer times than Jacobs last year, but outgained him by just 34 total yards. Expect the usage to shift toward Bradshaw's direction this season.

Others Considered: Dallas Cowboys WR Dez Bryant

Standards Set: I am expecting him to see 60 percent of the touches out of this backfield, so look for roughly 1,250 total yards and seven touchdowns.

3) Jay Cutler, quarterback, Chicago Bears
Team: Jim Day, FantasyPros911.com | Team Roster

Reason: Cutler is not a great NFL quarterback, but he is a good fantasy QB, especially in leagues where interceptions don't count against you as much. Even with 26 interceptions a year ago, he was a top-10 rated QB in most leagues. The addition of Mike Martz as offensive coordinator and a wide receiver corps that is starting to come together will provide Cutler a chance to improve on his 2009 numbers. I took him as the seventh quarterback, which is right where I have him ranked.

Others Considered:Minnesota Vikings QB Brett Favre, New York Giants QB Eli Manning

Standards Set: I think Cutler pushes back over the 4,000 yard mark and could easily eclipse 30 touchdowns for the first time in his career.

4) Brandon Jacobs, running back, New York Giants
Team: William Del Pilar, KFFL.com | Team Roster

Reason: Every player reaches a point in a draft where they're a value pick. In a point-per-reception league, Jacobs is not the best fantasy option in most cases. However, with an average draft position in the fifth round, I felt at this point, it was great value to grab as my fourth running back quality depth for someone who could be used as a No. 2 fantasy running back. Ahmad Bradshaw is playing with the first team because he has not had much in practice time, and Jacobs knows the offense very well. Many have misconstrued that to believe Bradshaw is the starter. Both players will see time, and supposedly Jacobs is back to health and has focused on his running style and being more flexible. While this sounds silly, you can't underestimate the importance of flexibility and how it affects us. It's good to see Jacobs finally realize this, and I believe it will pay off with stronger and longer runs as he won't be as easy to knock off his feet like he was before. Everyone talks about how he's injury prone but it's not like Bradshaw has been a picture of health either!

Others Considered: I was going to take San Diego Chargers WR Vincent Jackson here but could not pass up the value of Jacobs at a position that is next to impossible to replace on the waiver wire.

Standards Set: I would not be shocked to see Jacobs with over 1,000 yards and 10-12 touchdowns if healthy. Now receiving, well, if I see 20 receptions, I'll be happy though it's not acceptable in a PPR league. Here's KFFL's expectations.

5) Clinton Portis, running back, Washington Redskins
Team: Tony Holm, FantasySharks.com | Team Roster

Reason: Either you're a perennial Clinton Portis believer - like me - or you aren't. It's a love-hate relationship with Portis across fantasyland but for me, I like him later on in drafts along with all the other cagey veteran RBs around here. Portis is still younger than most think, still runs with passion and power and is on a team with a head coach he has run for before. Injuries have plagued him but I say the talent is still there.

Others Considered: Portis was in a pool of players for me. The Miami Dolphins' Ricky Williams, the Kansas City Chiefs' Thomas Jones and the Cincinnati Bengals' Terrell Owens were the only others I considered. It came down to Portis or T.O., and I liked Portis' chances a bit better.

Standards Set: I'm not asking for a lot out of my seventh-round RB, but he needs to produce. We'll call it even at 950 yards with 8-9 TDs.

6) Dez Bryant, wide receiver, Dallas Cowboys
Team: David Dorey, The Huddle | Team Roster

Washington Redskins RB Clinton Portis
Anything left in the tank?

Reason: I waited until the seventh round to get my WR2, and naturally there are not a lot of superstars left. But this was all by design since I will draft four or five more wideouts and with those picks take a mix of big-upside and big-risk players with some very safe ones. There are always wideouts to take with some fantasy value and in a 16-round draft, there will be a few decent ones left on the waiver wire anyway. Therefore, I used my WR2 slot for Bryant, who has major upside and could be a nice surprise. Or he could just be another rookie wideout who needs a year or two to season. You have to have at least one swing for the fence in your draft.

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals WR Terrell Owens, Denver Broncos WR Demaryius Thomas

Standards Set: I can see Bryant getting 45 catches for around 700 yards and five scores which makes him a marginal start. But he has upside!

7) Jerome Harrison, running back, Cleveland Browns
Team: Ryan Lester, Lester's Legends | Team Roster

Reason: Harrison figures to be the feature back, at least initially as Montario Hardesty (knee) gets up to speed. Even if it turns into an RBBC, as most expect, Harrison should be the guy in passing situations, which plays into the league's PPR format.

Others Considered: Miami Dolphins RB Ricky Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Cadillac Williams

Standards Set: 1,000 total yards, 35 catches, six TDs.

8) Kevin Kolb, quarterback, Philadelphia Eagles
Team: Herbie Teope, Time Warner Cable | Team Roster

Reason: I'm not a fan of pulling the trigger in early rounds on a quarterback, instead I prefer to stock up on depth at running back and wide receiver. And with that mission accomplished, this round is when I target high-upside quarterbacks with consecutive picks. Does Kolb have potential in a pass-happy offense? Of course, but owners need to be careful expecting Kolb to join the ranks of the elite quarterbacks. Former Eagles starter Donovan McNabb never reached 4,000 yards passing, the accepted standard of excellence, and McNabb's career-high in passing touchdowns is 31. Still, McNabb averaged 3,597 yards passing the last three seasons, and that's a reasonable expectation for Kolb, especially considering the young nucleus of weapons at his disposal.

Others considered: Baltimore Ravens QB Joe Flacco 

Standards Set: Expect 3,500 yards passing with 24 touchdown passes.

9) Pierre Garcon, wide receiver, Indianapolis Colts
Team: Jeff Tefertiller, FootballGuys.com | Team Roster

Reason: After passing on the WR position for so long, I needed a WR3 desperately. I was surprised to see Garcon still on the board. 

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals WR Terrell Owens and Miami Dolphins RB Ricky Williams were the other two I considered. 

Standards Set: Garcon ended the season on a hot streak. I am expecting 60-70 catches for 1,000 yards and a few big TDs. 

10) Joe Flacco, quarterback, Baltimore Ravens
Team: Cory J. Bonini, KFFL.com | Team Roster

Baltimore Ravens QB Joe Flacco
Flacco primed for big year

Reason: Flacco is my top sleeper this year and is poised for a monster season. He made huge leaps in his second year and has improved talent around him. I am happy Herbie drafted Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Kevin Kolb a few picks before me, because it made my decision a lot easier. I still probably would have chosen Flacco. 

Others Considered: None

Standards Set: I am counting on at least 3,850 yards and 26 touchdowns from Flacco.  

11) Vincent Jackson, wide receiver, San Diego Chargers
Team: Paul Hickey, No-Offseason.com | Team Roster

Reason: Despite the suspension and contract issues, he's still legit. He's a big-play bona fide No. 1 threat wherever he ends up. He will play in 2010, and the end of Round 7 makes him an amazing value and less of a risk.

Others Considered: Cincinnati Bengals WR Terrell Owens

Standards Set: After he returns, V-Jax is a good bet for 3-5 catches, 70-80 receiving and a score each week.

12) Ricky Williams, running back, Miami Dolphins
Team: Adam Zdroik, RotoExperts.com | Team Roster

Reason: Is it too much to ask for a Ronnie Brown injury? If Brown goes down again, Williams will be back on top, and I will be coasting through the league. But again, it's not always the best thing to rely on injuries. I think he was the best RB left and will get more touches than anyone else I could have drafted.

Others Considered: New England Patriots RB Laurence Maroney, Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Cadillac Williams

Standards Set: I'm looking for 800 rushing yards, 30 receptions, 250 receiving yards and eight total touchdowns. Brown may be back, but Brandon Marshall will be a huge addition to the passing game that should open holes for anyone getting the ball, and Williams should have another decent year. Obviously, not as good as 2009, though.

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Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16
Fantasy Football Analysis Draft II | Scoring Rules | Team Rosters

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