KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their thoughts and analysis as to why they chose the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft, as this league will be played out during the course of the 2010 fantasy football season, so each participant is drafting to win this year.
How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area at the bottom of the page. If you disagree with a pick, let your thoughts be known.
Reason: He was the best receiver on the board, and I think he will be a flex starter most weeks. Moss should thrive as a high-catch player in Mike Shanahan's new offense in Washington. Moss is virtually the team's only reliable receiver and should be a cinch to pile up catches. I also thought about Pierre Garcon (Colts) but am unsure about his role on the team and would rather have a true No. 1 receiver.
Standards Set: I think Moss gets back to 1,000 yards and seven TDs on 70 catches.
Reason: Brandon Jacobs may be first on the depth chart, but Bradshaw is the better fit on offense both running and catching the ball out of the backfield. Bradshaw touched the ball 58 fewer times than Jacobs last year, but outgained him by just 34 total yards. Expect the usage to shift toward Bradshaw's direction this season.
Standards Set: I am expecting him to see 60 percent of the touches out of this backfield, so look for roughly 1,250 total yards and seven touchdowns.
Reason: Cutler is not a great NFL quarterback, but he is a good fantasy QB, especially in leagues where interceptions don't count against you as much. Even with 26 interceptions a year ago, he was a top-10 rated QB in most leagues. The addition of Mike Martz as offensive coordinator and a wide receiver corps that is starting to come together will provide Cutler a chance to improve on his 2009 numbers. I took him as the seventh quarterback, which is right where I have him ranked.
Standards Set: I think Cutler pushes back over the 4,000 yard mark and could easily eclipse 30 touchdowns for the first time in his career.
Reason: Every player reaches a point in a draft where they're a value pick. In a point-per-reception league, Jacobs is not the best fantasy option in most cases. However, with an average draft position in the fifth round, I felt at this point, it was great value to grab – as my fourth running back – quality depth for someone who could be used as a No. 2 fantasy running back. Ahmad Bradshaw is playing with the first team because he has not had much in practice time, and Jacobs knows the offense very well. Many have misconstrued that to believe Bradshaw is the starter. Both players will see time, and supposedly Jacobs is back to health and has focused on his running style and being more flexible. While this sounds silly, you can't underestimate the importance of flexibility and how it affects us. It's good to see Jacobs finally realize this, and I believe it will pay off with stronger and longer runs as he won't be as easy to knock off his feet like he was before. Everyone talks about how he's injury prone but it's not like Bradshaw has been a picture of health either!
Standards Set: I would not be shocked to see Jacobs with over 1,000 yards and 10-12 touchdowns if healthy. Now receiving, well, if I see 20 receptions, I'll be happy though it's not acceptable in a PPR league. Here's KFFL's expectations.
Reason: Either you're a perennial Clinton Portis believer - like me - or you aren't. It's a love-hate relationship with Portis across fantasyland but for me, I like him later on in drafts along with all the other cagey veteran RBs around here. Portis is still younger than most think, still runs with passion and power and is on a team with a head coach he has run for before. Injuries have plagued him but I say the talent is still there.
Others Considered: Portis was in a pool of players for me. The Miami Dolphins' Ricky Williams, the Kansas City Chiefs' Thomas Jones and the Cincinnati Bengals' Terrell Owens were the only others I considered. It came down to Portis or T.O., and I liked Portis' chances a bit better.
Standards Set: I'm not asking for a lot out of my seventh-round RB, but he needs to produce. We'll call it even at 950 yards with 8-9 TDs.
Reason: I waited until the seventh round to get my WR2, and naturally there are not a lot of superstars left. But this was all by design since I will draft four or five more wideouts and with those picks take a mix of big-upside and big-risk players with some very safe ones. There are always wideouts to take with some fantasy value and in a 16-round draft, there will be a few decent ones left on the waiver wire anyway. Therefore, I used my WR2 slot for Bryant, who has major upside and could be a nice surprise. Or he could just be another rookie wideout who needs a year or two to season. You have to have at least one swing for the fence in your draft.
Standards Set: I can see Bryant getting 45 catches for around 700 yards and five scores which makes him a marginal start. But he has upside!
Reason: Harrison figures to be the feature back, at least initially as Montario Hardesty (knee) gets up to speed. Even if it turns into an RBBC, as most expect, Harrison should be the guy in passing situations, which plays into the league's PPR format.
Reason: I'm not a fan of pulling the trigger in early rounds on a quarterback, instead I prefer to stock up on depth at running back and wide receiver. And with that mission accomplished, this round is when I target high-upside quarterbacks with consecutive picks. Does Kolb have potential in a pass-happy offense? Of course, but owners need to be careful expecting Kolb to join the ranks of the elite quarterbacks. Former Eagles starter Donovan McNabb never reached 4,000 yards passing, the accepted standard of excellence, and McNabb's career-high in passing touchdowns is 31. Still, McNabb averaged 3,597 yards passing the last three seasons, and that's a reasonable expectation for Kolb, especially considering the young nucleus of weapons at his disposal.
Standards Set: Expect 3,500 yards passing with 24 touchdown passes.
Reason: After passing on the WR position for so long, I needed a WR3 desperately. I was surprised to see Garcon still on the board.
Standards Set: Garcon ended the season on a hot streak. I am expecting 60-70 catches for 1,000 yards and a few big TDs.
Reason: Flacco is my top sleeper this year and is poised for a monster season. He made huge leaps in his second year and has improved talent around him. I am happy Herbie drafted Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Kevin Kolb a few picks before me, because it made my decision a lot easier. I still probably would have chosen Flacco.
Others Considered: None
Standards Set: I am counting on at least 3,850 yards and 26 touchdowns from Flacco.
Reason: Despite the suspension and contract issues, he's still legit. He's a big-play bona fide No. 1 threat wherever he ends up. He will play in 2010, and the end of Round 7 makes him an amazing value and less of a risk.
Standards Set: After he returns, V-Jax is a good bet for 3-5 catches, 70-80 receiving and a score each week.
Reason: Is it too much to ask for a Ronnie Brown injury? If Brown goes down again, Williams will be back on top, and I will be coasting through the league. But again, it's not always the best thing to rely on injuries. I think he was the best RB left and will get more touches than anyone else I could have drafted.
Standards Set: I'm looking for 800 rushing yards, 30 receptions, 250 receiving yards and eight total touchdowns. Brown may be back, but Brandon Marshall will be a huge addition to the passing game that should open holes for anyone getting the ball, and Williams should have another decent year. Obviously, not as good as 2009, though.
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