KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their thoughts and analysis as to why they chose the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft, as this league will be played out during the course of the 2010 fantasy football season, so each participant is drafting to win this year.
How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area at the bottom of the page. If you disagree with a pick, let your thoughts be known.
Reason: He's not my ideal RB2, but I can't expect more after grabbing three wide receivers in the first four rounds. Barber still has goal line potential which will be huge, and I can see him easily grabbing 10 touchdowns this season. Clinton Portis (Washington Redskins) and Ahmad Bradshaw (New York Giants) were on my mind, but I like the Cowboys offense and Barber's past numbers in the system.
Standards Set: 800 rushing yards, 25 receptions, 200 receiving yards, 11 total touchdowns. Although he won't ever get over that 1,000-rushing yards hump, he still receives a decent amount of catches. His TD potential will always be his best feature.
Reason: It was just the right time. Finley is a monster with amazing playmaking ability and crazy statistical upside in the Packers offense. William Del Pillar stated he would have taken him a few picks later, which justified my choice.
Standards Set: If he stays healthy, he could be the top fantasy TE. Eighty catches, 1,000 yards and 12 TDs are not out of the question.
Reason: It was a reach, I know, but not as big of one as some people may think. Knox should be the No. 1 receiver and has chemistry with quarterback Jay Cutler. He fits the system very well; a lot of people are high on Bears wideout Devin Aromashodu, whose possession style isn't conducive to success in a Mike Martz-led offense. Knox is a gamble, but the upside of other remaining receivers didn't intrigue me very much.
Standards Set: I'm expecting 60-65 receptions for 900-1,000 yards and five to seven touchdowns.
Reason: I love Celek this season. He and Kolb have a great relationship.
Standards Set: Celek has a shot at 1,000 yards and 10 TDs this year. That may be too much to expect, but it is within reach.
Reason: Say hello to one of this year's second-year receiver breakout candidates. The former Missouri Tiger star was steady in the second half of 2009, averaging 4.2 catches for 60.7 yards per contest from Weeks 10 to 17 (he did not play in Week 15). While those aren't prolific numbers, Maclin was consistent, topping 60 yards five times. Don't worry too much about Donovan McNabb's departure, as Kevin Kolb is capable in a pass-happy offense, and Maclin is surrounded by a strong supporting cast. When it comes to addressing a No. 3 receiver in upcoming drafts, owners can either play it safe with an aging veteran or go with pure upside in a young player. I'm a firm believer that championships aren't won by playing it safe. Roll with the upside.
Others Considered: None. Maclin was on my radar the entire time.
Standards Set: Maclin caught 55 passes in his rookie season, and it's reasonable to expect 65 to 69 receptions. Moreover, look for an increase in yardage from his rookie campaign of 762 yards to 900 yards with five touchdowns.
Reason: I decided to take a little risk here by taking Harvin. He could miss a game or two to injury (migranes, specifically), but when he does play, he is explosive. He had 925 total yards and eight TDs (six rushing, two kick return) as a rookie, and I expect an expanded role in 2010 operating. He could be even more productive if Sidney Rice's hip continues to ail him.
Standards Set: 1,000 total yards and nine TDs.
Reason: This is a tough pick, and I was all set to take Percy Harvin until he went right ahead of me. There are no wideouts yelling my name right now so I can wait another round and get about the same quality as if I took one now. I figure running backs will get drained quickly enough so I gambled a bit on Bush. I have no faith in Darren McFadden anyway. With Jason Campbell on the team, the Raiders will at least look different and play better. Bush could be a surprise this year with a decent schedule and really only injury-prone and ineffective McFadden to share carries. I almost took the Washington Redskins' Clinton Portis, who has a great schedule, but he has lost a step and I think is an injury risk. I'd rather gamble on the younger one.
Standards Set: I expect around 900 rush yards from Bush with 30 catches for around 280 yards and a total of six touchdowns. That would be enough to merit being my flex player.
Reason: After Andre Johnson in the first round, I haven't paid a ton of attention to the WR position as better values kept cropping up. At this point, I'm still tempted to go RB, but sensibility slaps me with Driver. His stock took a hit with some apparent concern from the Packers organization that he wouldn't be able to last a season. Then this past week, they sign him to a two-year contract extension, which signals to me that Driver will continue to be a cog in this high-powered offense.
Others Considered: Considered a handful of players as there are a lot of closer to midlevel players available here and you know what they say, your draft is made in the middle rounds.
Standards Set: Honestly, if Driver starts 16 games this season, I'll take it and will consider this a successful draft pick.
Reason: Floyd has been going too late in many drafts, and I feel he may be a steal at this point. Vincent Jackson is holding out and may not return until at least Week 7 if he isn't traded. I wanted V-Jax as well, and felt I could come back around and grab him, thus securing myself a wideout with elite potential in V-Jax while locking up with the team's current No. 1 wideout until he returned.
Others Considered: New York Giants RB Brandon Jacobs. I can't believe he's being ignored as much as he has been so far. I was targeting WR Johnny Knox (Chicago Bears) and TE Jermichael Finley (Green Bay Packers) but they went before my pick.
Standards Set: If V-Jax is traded, I can see 800-900 yards and seven or eight touchdowns because his size, 6-5, 225 pounds, gives him a great advantage. Officially, here's KFFL's expectations.
Reason: Gonzalez had averaged 89 receptions and 1,058 yards over his last five years in Kansas City before coming to Atlanta in 2009. In his first year in Atlanta, he was only able to grab 83 receptions for 867 yards, but he scored six touchdowns. This was in what many thought was a down year for quarterback Matt Ryan. Many expect Ryan to bounce back this year, but for some reason Gonzalez is slipping in drafts. I took him as the seventh tight end taken, and I look for him to rebound nicely.
Standards Set: Gonzalez should rebound nicely in 2010, and I expect him to catch 90 balls for close to 1,000 yards and at least six touchdowns.
Reason: Wallace replaces Santonio Holmes at split end for the Steelers, a job I am anticipating the second-year man to thrive in ... once Ben Roethlisberger returns. Many are quick to point out he will face stiffer competition running with the ones, but in the four games he started last season, he averaged 75 yards per contest.
Standards Set: His first full year as a starter should bring 60 receptions for 925 yards and eight touchdowns.
Reason: Jackson has been one of my favorite players the past two seasons – a tough, hard-nosed runner who produces almost every chance he gets. He has been better than Marshawn Lynch and is the reason rookie C.J. Spiller is so far down my rankings. If Jackson and Spiller split time, I see it going 60-40 in Jackson's favor with Jackson more likely to get goal-line touches. He is my second back so I hope it works out that way.
Standards Set: I made the pick before Jackson's hand injury and obviously hope he can be back by Week 1. With Spiller around, he might be limited to 900-1,000 yards, and I'm hoping for 6-8 TDs.
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