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Fantasy Football Busts and Overvalued PicksFantasy football busts: Quarterbacks
By Cory J. Bonini and Tim Heaney KFFL.com's analysis of fantasy football busts for the 2010 season will be updated weekly throughout the offseason. We have separated our busts and overvalued players this year, so be sure not to confuse the two. Busts are also overvalued players in some cases. Even the most surefire pick can end up busting due to injury, but there is no way to accurately project for that. Instead, we will primarily focus on the players' situations that could lead to down years. No one likes doing the dirty work, so let KFFL.com do it for you! Be sure to check for weekly updates. Note: All average draft position (ADP) figures are based on 12-team, non-PPR leagues unless specified otherwise. QuarterbacksEli Manning | New York Giants | ADP: 7th round
No doubt Eli has grown as a quarterback: In '09, career bests in completion percentage (62.3), passing yards (4,021), yards per attempt (7.9) and touchdown throws (27) highlighted his best statistical season. Steve E. Smith became his BFF, and Hakeem Nicks posted an optimistic rookie campaign. What's the problem, then? The G-men will probably look to bring the focus back to Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw; both encountered injuries and ineptitude last year, and the Giants suffered for it. When all is right, Manning works off the ground game, not the other way around, so there probably isn't much upward movement for his statistical output. If they don't have to go downfield as much and his yards per attempt go down, the 4,000-yard plateau will probably elude him. Fantasy value: We probably saw Eli's statistical apex last year, and the Giants' typically run-first philosophy means you shouldn't bank on this line again. Maybe he can pass as a low-end No. 1, but you'll need to grab a backup soon after if you're forced to draft Manning in that role. He remains a top-flight No. 2, but don't overpay in fantasy for his real-life maturation. Also See:
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Author Bio
Cory J. Bonini Cory J. Bonini is a senior editor at KFFL. In late 2002, Bonini joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst. He vaulted himself into one of the industry's leading fantasy analysts. Bonini has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, he has been featured in print, on the radio and is also a published writer on scores of sites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012. Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors. Follow him on Twitter @CoryKFFL Author Bio
Tim Heaney Since the Boston University alum joined KFFL in 2006, his work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly and Yahoo! Sports, among numerous publications. Tim competes in Tout Wars and LABR and appears every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore, as well as frequently on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio. Featured LinksTalk Sports 24/7! Recent articles:
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