KFFL's managing editors choose their favorite fantasy baseball rip-offs -
inflated commodities that won't match their draft values.
Tim Heaney
| Player |
POS
|
TM
|
The what for |
| Troy Tulowitzki |
SS
|
COL
|
He must carry ridic 2H performance for full 2010 to match top-25
ADP. I recognize the power, but it isn't stable enough to be my foundation. |
| Josh Hamilton |
OF
|
TEX
|
Becoming injury prone. Love the talent. But a top-60 pick? Much more OF
stability available around him. Let someone else gamble that early. |
| Chris Carpenter |
SP
|
STL
|
IP spike, yes. Soon 35, Carp's IP spikes are multiplied by 8 million.
As a No. 2, he'd make me more comfy. My ace? Hope he's eating his Wheaties. |
| Billy Butler |
1B
|
KC
|
A great CI. As a starting 1B? No HR baseline. If 1B go quickly, a slight
reach is tolerable. The upside is unquestioned, but have a Plan B. |
| Josh M. Johnson |
SP
|
FLA
|
Innings, innings, innings. He showed fatigue at the end of '09 even as
FLA tried to conserve him. I don't consider these SP as my No. 1. |
Cory J. Bonini
| Player |
POS
|
TM
|
The what for |
| Josh Hamilton |
OF
|
TEX
|
Shouldn't be drafted ahead of B.J. Upton;
may not be the best fantasy OF on his own team; too much risk for me in
the fifth round, per his ADP. |
| Matt Kemp |
OF
|
LAD
|
Still developing, which is good and bad; don't pay for last year's production.
How will offsesason celebrity affect him? |
| Tim Lincecum |
SP
|
SF
|
It's not that Lincecum hasn't earned fantasy owners' trust, but no pitcher
would ever be drafted in the first round if I had my way. |
| Jorge Posada |
C
|
NYY
|
Earned too much confidence of fantasy owners - ADP 10th round. Too high
with likes of Miguel Montero and Kurt
Suzuki going two rounds later. |
| Aroldis Chapman |
P
|
CIN
|
Over-emphasizing fastball; still has to adjust to MLB talent - Dusty
Baker has history of running pitchers into the ground; late, late flier
at best. |
Bryce McRae
| Player |
POS
|
TM
|
The what for |
| Josh Hamilton |
OF
|
TEX
|
Few signs of BA rebound. Power has regressed two years running, though
injuries were part of story in '09. Big injury risk as a No. 1 OF. |
| Ben Zobrist |
2B/OF
|
TB
|
Top-100 pick? Yes. Top-60? No. Speed regressed in second half. 28-year-old's
power has blossomed but value still too high after career year. |
| Roy Halladay |
SP
|
PHI
|
No one's a bigger fan of Doc than me. Pitching in a new market with completely
new pressures? He's going a couple of rounds too early. |
| Michael Cuddyer |
1B/OF
|
MIN
|
Career year at age 30? I'm suspicious. HR/FB made huge leap. Has only
average contact and an OK batting eye. Slip back to '07 levels probable. |
| Brian Roberts |
2B
|
BAL
|
Injury only adds to overvaluation. His speed was on two-year decline.
He's not as patient. Power peaked, yes, but he's 32. Can only go downhill. |
Nicholas Minnix
| Player |
POS
|
TM
|
The what for |
| Adrian Gonzalez |
1B
|
SD
|
I’m sorry, did the Friars' offense get a lot better this offseason? Outstanding
hitter is seeking to become first 50-HR, 75-RBI, 150-BB player. |
| Nick Markakis |
OF
|
BAL
|
You're 26. Your FB% rebounded in a big way, and it resulted in even fewer
HR. And you ran even less. You're not headed in right direction. |
| Cliff Lee |
SP
|
SEA
|
Good pitcher? Yes. Elite pitcher? No. Small burnout risk hard to make
up for when reliant more on efficient BB/9 than overpowering K/9. |
| Michael Bourn |
OF
|
HOU
|
Two-category producer largely dependent on BA success. Last year's BA
success was a little faulty. As Tim
Heaney says: Don't pay for this type. |
| Jair Jurrjens |
SP
|
ATL
|
How does he do it? Even he's not sure. Still walks 'em, still doesn't
strike 'em out. ERA correction overdue. Not a bad No. 4 SP, but not a good
No. 3 SP. |
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