Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball rip-offs

by KFFL Staff on March 12, 2010 @ 18:00:00 PDT

 


KFFL's managing editors choose their favorite fantasy baseball rip-offs - inflated commodities that won't match their draft values.


Tim Heaney

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Troy Tulowitzki
SS
COL
He must carry ridic 2H performance for full 2010 to match top-25 ADP. I recognize the power, but it isn't stable enough to be my foundation.
Josh Hamilton
OF
TEX
Becoming injury prone. Love the talent. But a top-60 pick? Much more OF stability available around him. Let someone else gamble that early.
Chris Carpenter
SP
STL
IP spike, yes. Soon 35, Carp's IP spikes are multiplied by 8 million. As a No. 2, he'd make me more comfy. My ace? Hope he's eating his Wheaties.
Billy Butler
1B
KC
A great CI. As a starting 1B? No HR baseline. If 1B go quickly, a slight reach is tolerable. The upside is unquestioned, but have a Plan B.
Josh M. Johnson
SP
FLA
Innings, innings, innings. He showed fatigue at the end of '09 even as FLA tried to conserve him. I don't consider these SP as my No. 1.

 

Cory J. Bonini

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Josh Hamilton
OF
TEX
Shouldn't be drafted ahead of B.J. Upton; may not be the best fantasy OF on his own team; too much risk for me in the fifth round, per his ADP.
Matt Kemp
OF
LAD
Still developing, which is good and bad; don't pay for last year's production. How will offsesason celebrity affect him?
Tim Lincecum
SP
SF
It's not that Lincecum hasn't earned fantasy owners' trust, but no pitcher would ever be drafted in the first round if I had my way.
Jorge Posada
C
NYY
Earned too much confidence of fantasy owners - ADP 10th round. Too high with likes of Miguel Montero and Kurt Suzuki going two rounds later.
Aroldis Chapman
P
CIN
Over-emphasizing fastball; still has to adjust to MLB talent - Dusty Baker has history of running pitchers into the ground; late, late flier at best.

 

Bryce McRae

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Josh Hamilton
OF
TEX
Few signs of BA rebound. Power has regressed two years running, though injuries were part of story in '09. Big injury risk as a No. 1 OF.
Ben Zobrist
2B/OF
TB
Top-100 pick? Yes. Top-60? No. Speed regressed in second half. 28-year-old's power has blossomed but value still too high after career year.
Roy Halladay
SP
PHI
No one's a bigger fan of Doc than me. Pitching in a new market with completely new pressures? He's going a couple of rounds too early.
Michael Cuddyer
1B/OF
MIN
Career year at age 30? I'm suspicious. HR/FB made huge leap. Has only average contact and an OK batting eye. Slip back to '07 levels probable.
Brian Roberts
2B
BAL
Injury only adds to overvaluation. His speed was on two-year decline. He's not as patient. Power peaked, yes, but he's 32. Can only go downhill.

 

Nicholas Minnix

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Adrian Gonzalez
1B
SD
Iím sorry, did the Friars' offense get a lot better this offseason? Outstanding hitter is seeking to become first 50-HR, 75-RBI, 150-BB player.
Nick Markakis
OF
BAL
You're 26. Your FB% rebounded in a big way, and it resulted in even fewer HR. And you ran even less. You're not headed in right direction.
Cliff Lee
SP
SEA
Good pitcher? Yes. Elite pitcher? No. Small burnout risk hard to make up for when reliant more on efficient BB/9 than overpowering K/9.
Michael Bourn
OF
HOU
Two-category producer largely dependent on BA success. Last year's BA success was a little faulty. As Tim Heaney says: Don't pay for this type.
Jair Jurrjens
SP
ATL
How does he do it? Even he's not sure. Still walks 'em, still doesn't strike 'em out. ERA correction overdue. Not a bad No. 4 SP, but not a good No. 3 SP.

 

Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball sleepers
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Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball rip-offs
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Catch more prime selections in Editor's Choice every Friday!

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