Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 5

by KFFL Staff on February 19, 2010 @ 12:10:00 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
League Home Page | Scoring Rules | Rosters | Free Baseball Draft Guide

1) Dan Haren, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Team: Joe Hamrahi, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

I had my eye on Zack Greinke the last two rounds, and as I was about to announce his name, Ryan Lester swoops in a pick before my turn. Plan B? Not too shabby I suppose. With Justin Verlander available, I opted to select Haren instead. I love Haren's consistency, WHIP and strikeout totals. He may only reach the mid teens in wins with a less than stellar offense behind him, but it doesn't matter.

2) Justin Verlander, SP, Detroit Tigers

Team: Ryan Lester, Lester's Legends | Roster

Detroit Tigers SP Justin Verlander
Power pitchers flying off the board

I couldn't resist going back-to-back power pitchers. Verlander led the majors last year with 269 strikeouts. He also tied for the league lead with 19 wins and posted a respectable 3.45 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. I like that the Tigers locked him up to a long-term deal so he doesn't have that distraction to deal with. I'm looking for a 18-8 season with a 3.30 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and 250 K.

3) B.J. Upton, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Team: Doug Anderson, RotoExperts | Roster

Decided that uniting the Upton brothers on my team might get B.J. a little more inspired. A lot of people were disappointed with him last year, but I like the fact that even if he repeats last year's atrocities, he'll still give me 40-plus steals. His ceiling is outrageous and his speed means the floor is not too far down. Besides, big breakouts usually come the year after a player gets mega-hype.

4) Nick Markakis, OF, Baltimore Orioles

Team: Collin Hager, FantasyPros911.com | Roster

Plenty are down on Markakis. Even seen him called the most overrated fantasy player for this season. Know this, though. Markakis' lows for his career go .293-94-18-87. Not outstanding until you consider that only Holliday and Pujols have reached those numbers or better in each of the last three seasons. Only two others, David Wright and some guy named A-Rod, have done it twice. And, by the way, he is only 26.

5) Kendry Morales, 1B, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

Might have taken Morales a round or two early, but I love his upside for the coming season. He had a monster second half last year and can build on that. He hits in the middle of a good lineup, which should get him plenty of RBI chances. He can be a top-five fantasy first baseman this season. Plus, I couldn't wait much longer on the first base spot with many of the top guys gone.

6) Josh Beckett, SP, Boston Red Sox

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

I took a calculated reach for my fantasy ace. Beckett isn't the most stable hurler, but he's considerably more so than the names right ahead of him. Johan Santana: Bone chip cleanup in elbow, No. 2. Adam Wainwright: Big IP jump, a little luck. Jon Lester: Will he sustain the large jump in K/9? Beckett reported in outstanding physical condition in a walk year. He wins. Check, please.

7) Nelson Cruz, OF, Texas Rangers

Team: Steve Gardner, USA Today | Roster

I may like Cruz a little more than some people, but I'm a sucker for guys who can hit homers and steal bases. He's 29 and in the prime of his career, and he's coming off a 33-homer, 20-steal season. You just don't find a lot of outfielders with those numbers outside of Matt Kemp and Ryan Braun - and they went in the first round. I was also considering Chone Figgins here, but I was hoping he'd fall.

8) Howie Kendrick, 2B, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Harold Nichols, Baseball HQ | Roster

Projecting his part-time line to full-time play, we would have seen 14 HR, 85 RBI and a .291 BA. Won't repeat his .351 2nd half BA, but he appears to have figured something out. A consistent .300 hitter at every level, he has the speed to swipe 25 bases and should hit double-digit HR in a full-time role.

9) Lance Berkman, 1B, Houston Astros

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys | Roster

Texas Rangers OF Nelson Cruz
Pop-speed combo led to Cruz pick

I had to decide: Did I want to add the more valuable Shane Victorino, or Berkman? Why did I go with Lance? Position scarcity. First basemen go quick this year, and third base isn't deep, so I wanted to get Berkman to fill my CI spot so that I wouldn't end up with some flunky there. Plus, I think Berkman rebounds and reaches his three-year averages of .289-29-96 with 94 runs.

10) Adam Dunn, 1B/OF, Washington Nationals

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

I'm one of the biggest Dunn fans in roto. Guaranteed. I considered him last round. I know about the batting average luck that helped him last year, chiefly a favorable BABIP against lefties. Still, Dunn sustaining a slice of his improvement versus southpaws would be gravy for the foundation he offers. Grabbing a multipositional lock for 35-plus homers opens up numerous avenues for me going forward.

11) Ben Zobrist, 2B/OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

Is Zobrist a one-year wonder? Most experts are high on him. If he continues where he stopped last year, the production other than the batting average from my 2B taken in the fifth round will be close to that of first-round 2B. I hope for close to 30 HR, close to 100 runs and RBI and an average of around .265.

12) Andre Ethier, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Eriq Gardner, The Hardball Times | Roster

Last year, Ethier had a somewhat overlooked 30-plus HR, 100-plus RBI season. He also showed something one likes to see in an emerging power hitter - a growing tendency to put the ball in the air instead of on the ground. Combine that with a pretty good batting eye and we're looking at the potential for a 40 HR, .300 BA season. The only thing holding him back is struggles versus southpaws.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
League Home Page | Scoring Rules | Rosters | Free Baseball Draft Guide

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