Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 1

by KFFL Staff on February 17, 2010 @ 13:15:00 PDT

 


Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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1) Albert Pujols, 1B, St. Louis Cardinals

Team: Joe Hamrahi, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

Is there really another choice for the first overall pick? The 2009 season leader in homers (47), runs (124) and slugging percentage (.658) also hit .327, added 135 RBI, and stole 16 steals. There may be some concern over Albert's offseason elbow surgery, but if he put up those numbers while injured last year, imagine what he can do when healthy! Pujols is a perennial All-Star, and despite the number of quality first basemen in the draft, he's the clear-cut choice for me at the top. I briefly considered taking Hanley Ramirez due to position scarcity, but I just couldn't pass up the NL MVP.

2) Hanley Ramirez, SS, Florida Marlins

Team: Ryan Lester, Lester's Legends | Roster

With the second overall pick I chose Hanley Ramirez. He is a five-category player averaging 117.5 runs, 25.8 HR, 78.3 RBI, 41 SB and a .316 average over the past four years. I also considered Alex Rodriguez and Chase Utley, but Hanley, who is 26, offers more upside. I'm looking for Hanley to hit .330 with 115-plus runs, 30 HR, 100 RBI, and 35 SB.

3) Alex Rodriguez, 3B, New York Yankees

Team: Doug Anderson, RotoExperts | Roster

St. Louis Cardinals 1B Albert Pujols
No. 1 pick a shocker

His final numbers look like a pretty big drop from previous years, but that was mostly the result of a slow start coming off the hip surgery. In the second half he hit .313 and even stole 12 bases. The stolen bases tell me the hip ceased to be an issue. In that lineup, in that park, Rodriguez can't help but put up elite numbers at a very shallow position. I've been left out in the cold at third base in a few leagues. Wasn't going to happen here. Basically the choice came down to A-Rod or Chase Utley: two superstars at shallow positions. I feel like I can still get a solid second baseman a little later, while someone's going to hope that Chipper Jones can put together a healthy, productive year. Good luck with that.

4) Chase Utley, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies

Team: Collin Hager, FantasyPros911.com | Roster

Sitting at the four spot, I knew before the draft started that Utley and Ryan Braun would likely be available at that point. Because of the depth in the outfield, I went with Utley to secure a top-flight middle infielder. Getting .285/30/95 with the ability to score 100 runs and steal 20-25 bases is a good place to start. The positional scarcity card is not quite in play here, not in the first round anyway. When you get the chance to grab the best at a thin position, though, you take it.

5) Ryan Braun, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

Not big on taking an outfielder this early because the position is so deep. But it is tough to pass on Braun, who posts consistent numbers across the board. He'll be good for another season with .300-35-100-20. Out of the options on the board, Braun brought the most to the table at this point of the draft. Hopefully, he improves his plate discipline a little this year; that's his only real fault (128 walks in three seasons).

6) Matt Kemp, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

This choice was too easy. Kemp is a lock for across-the-board plus-sized production, and he's still improving. Everyone says bodies in the outfield are plentiful, but probable 30-30 seasons aren't. The rest of them in the first few rounds have drawbacks. Now, I can hold off on the position. I'd definitely take him ahead of everyone except Albert Pujols and Hanley Ramirez; Kemp, Alex Rodriguez and Chase Utley present a quandary.

7) Mark Teixeira, 1B, New York Yankees

Team: Steve Gardner, USA Today | Roster

After the consensus top five and Matt Kemp were taken ahead of me, I knew I'd have my choice of the top non-Pujols first basemen. It's always good to get a solid 35-40 homers and 120-plus RBI to start, and I think Teixeira's consistent production as a member of the top offense in baseball gives him the edge over Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard and Miguel Cabrera. Teixeira has a history of slow starts, but he also didn't have Alex Rodriguez hitting behind him last April either.

8) Joe Mauer, C, Minnesota Twins

Team: Harold Nichols, Baseball HQ | Roster

Top-10 offensive potential and a gigantic drop in projected performance to the next catcher makes him an easy pick at this position. Numbers could regress some this season, but he's still the best catcher on the board.

9) Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit Tigers

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys | Roster

Minnesota Twins C Joe Mauer
Mauer first backstop chosen

It came down to the power of Prince Fielder, the speed of Carl Crawford, and the all-around excellence of Miguel Cabrera. Ultimately I went for the most well-rounded option in Cabrera. He is working on 6-straight years of hitting at least .292-26-103 (Teixeira has five), and the difference between Cabrera and everyone else at the position not named Albert Pujols is his batting average which sits at .311 in his brief career.

10) Prince Fielder, 1B, Milwaukee Brewers

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

Miguel Cabrera being picked before me made this decision easier. I was tempted to go with some positional scarcity-themed options but chose the most well-rounded home run option remaining. Fielder's batting eye dwarfs Ryan Howard's, and Fielder's average, while not amazing, won't hurt. Good start in compiling beef.

11) Ryan Howard, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

There are five 1B among the top 10 or so picks. The ADP of the next two 1B after Howard is around 30. Howard was the last of the top tier. I had no choice but to go with him. I wish Prince Fielder were available, though. I expect pretty much the same production as last year, 45 HR, around .280, close to 100 runs and over 130 RBI.

12) Matt Holliday, OF, St. Louis Cardinals

Team: Eriq Gardner, The Hardball Times | Roster

Holliday seems very comfortable in the National League and has the pleasure of driving in Albert Pujols on a regular basis. He makes contact sufficiently, gets on base regularly, and has enough power and speed to be a reliable five-category contributor. I won't make the mistake of expecting double his '09 second half output in 2010, but for my first pick, I wanted to grab this certain premium contributor.

Rnd: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28
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