Another fantasy baseball mock: Allen Craig, Justin Morneau, more

      December 28, 2012 @ 13:05:55 PDT


Minnesota Twins 1B Justin Morneau
Why you ignoring Morneau, eh?

Another mock, another high pick - this one for the RotoWire Online Fantasy Baseball Championship, to go into their upcoming mag. Appreciate the invite for what turned out to be an exciting process.

Not much changed from my strategy in my recent USA Today pick 'em. In the first three rounds, I aimed to balance out track record and earning potential with positional scarcity, then fill in the blanks.

I picked second and, in a word, my team was ... volatile. My depth skewed young - not sure if I'd take this many chances on a played-out team. But herein rests the debate of mocks: I used this one to point out potential difference-makers you should take chances on in the late rounds, and which commodities that frighten others that you should pounce on. Enjoy.

Bats
RD
POS
Player
TM
Notes
C
9
C
Jesus Montero
SEA
Shorter distance to fences, DH AB preserve HR upside. An optimal midrange backstop grab
C
10
C
Jonathan Lucroy
MIL
Top-5 mixed C upside. Added power to stellar BA profile last year. Will be forgotten by your competitors. Don't fall into that trap.
1B
7
1B
Ike Davis
NYM
One of the slew of midrange 1Bs which, if you're patient, will win you your league. I'm sure my ranking of them will vascillate until March.
2B
2
2B
Dustin Pedroia
BOS
His down year was still excellent. Not straying from him.
3B
1
3B
Miguel Cabrera
DET
Come on. Please say I should've taken Mike Trout. It gets a bit quiet before January around here.
SS
5
SS
Ian Desmond
WAS
Inflation wasn't as responsible as many will claim. Even with HR/FB drop, holds above-average pop for a SS. SBs cement him as a top option.
CI
16
3B/SS
Trevor Plouffe
MIN
Needed a pop grab. That's Plouffe's singular skill to cement in your expectations.
MI
14
SS
Jean Segura
MIL
SB will make him profitable immediately. And he's not Dee Gordon or Jemile Weeks!
OF
3
OF
Jason Heyward
ATL
Even if power doesn't take another step, nearly a guarantee for elite HR-SB balance to add to my notable first two selections.
OF
4
OF
Allen Craig
STL
Originally had him as 1B (was tempted by value buy Mark Teixeira), but beauty of Craig's dual eligibility let me change plans. Stud when healthy
OF
8
OF
Shane Victorino
BOS
One of his best possible landing spots, especially with the way they're reloading.
OF
18
OF
Ryan Ludwick
CIN
BA safety? Hardly. But in this lineup, should continue producing in every other column.
OF
19
OF
Peter Bourjos
LAA
After Kendrys Morales trade, he's free! OF-DH rotation keeps him in lineup nearly every day. 20-20 potential
UT
20
1B
Justin Morneau
MIN
Glad he fell, again. Contract year, full offseason of health. Low investment, big pay-off.
Arms
RD
POS
Player
Tm
Notes
P
6
SP
Matt Moore
TB
Continuing my quest to boost his ADP and the notion that he'll be a top-10 mixed SP.
P
11
SP
Ian Kennedy
ARI
His 2012 was almost the same as 2011, but HRs were bloated. That's a warning sign, but not enough to avoid him.
P
12
RP
J.J. Putz
ARI
Putz is in control, as long as he stays on the field ... and ARI doesn't trade him.
P
13
SP
Jeff Samardzija
CHC
Not worried about IP hangover. As SP3, still a nice K buttress.
P
15
RP
Tom Wilhelmsen
SEA
If I had known Joel Hanrahan would've been confirmed as BOS closer, he'd have been the pick. But Wilhelmsen should be solid again.
P
17
SP
Lance Lynn
STL
Volatile SP continues, but similar situation to Samardzija.
P
21
SP
Shaun Marcum
FA
Wherever he winds up, has skills for rotation buffer. Preferably, however, because of his fly follies, he winds up in P-friendly digs.
P
22
SP
Jason Hammel
BAL
Still driving his bandwagon. Breakthrough was real, and regression won't be violent.
P
24
SP
Hyun-Jin Ryu
LAD
David Wells/Ted Lilly clone set for immediate success, especially at home
Bench
RD
POS
Player
Tm
Notes
BN
23
SS
Hiroyuki Nakajima
OAK
There's HR hidden in his frame. Don't overlook them.
BN
25
SP
Trevor Bauer
CLE
Fresh start should recharge this highly intelligent, mega-talented 22-year-old. At least he's in a pitcher's park if he has to be in AL.
BN
26
C
Mike Zunino
SEA
If John Jaso is shipped, this pick could turn out even better. Mature makeup, if not elite skills, but means quick path to bigs.
BN
27
OF
Brett Jackson
CHC
HR-SB combo. That BA downside is mitigated as a bench player.
BN
28
RP
Brian Wilson
FA
Still worth a SV flier.
BN
29
SP
Erasmo Ramirez
SEA
Pristine BB/9 an alluring building block for depth sleeper SP.
BN
30
RP
David Robertson
NYY
Are we sure Mariano Rivera will come back like his old self? Why not take this chance with an already-skilled closer-in-waiting?

The spots where I netted the candidates for negative regression wasn't all that frightening, so they should meet those prices. This team would either finish in the top three or crash and burn near the basement. Guess that's the way you have to play it.

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About Tim Heaney

Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum, who competes in LABR and Tout Wars, has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.

During baseball and football season, he appears on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio on Thursdays and Sundays, and every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore.

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