Gray Skies Ahead in Jacksonville?

by Fraser Lovat on October 30, 2007 @ 15:08:02 PDT


Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Quinn Gray was signed as an undrafted free agent from Florida A&M by the Jaguars and is in his fourth season in the NFL, all of them with Jacksonville. Gray made his first-career start in Week 8, completing just seven passes for 100 yards and a touchdown. All that matters for him though is he got the 24-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and threw, what proved to be, the game-winning score.

He replaced quarterback David Garrard (ankle), who could be out up to a month with an ankle injury. Garrard injured the ankle in the team's 29-7 loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7.

Gray played in relief of Garrard against the Colts. He completed just nine of his 24 passes (37.5 percent) for 56 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. He also ran the ball twice for eight yards and lost a fumble.

In Week 8, Gray once again completed less than half of his passes. The touchdown toss was an eight-yarder to wide receiver Matt Jones, and it was Jones' only reception of the game.

Gray will likely start against the New Orleans Saints in Week 9 because of the injury to Garrard. He will be going up against a defense that has been allowing 246.8 passing yards and 1.25 touchdowns per game to its opponents over the last month.

He has played in three games this season, but really only two. In Week 6, he came in for one snap against the Houston Texans near the end of the game. In the two games he has actually played in, he has completed 16 of 40 passes (40.0 percent) for 156 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.

In the past two weeks, since Gray has been the quarterback, he has targeted wide receivers Ernest Wilford and Dennis Northcutt the most. Wilford has seen 11 plays (5.50 targets per game) and one play inside the red zone. Northcutt has been targeted 10 times (5.0 targets per game) and also once in the red zone. However, Gray's only touchdown pass was the game-winner to Jones.

Running back Maurice Jones-Drew has been targeted as a receiver five times in the past two weeks (2.50 targets per game), good for five receptions and 31 yards out of the backfield. He is averaging 132 all-purpose yards the past two weeks.

Fantasy Outlook

For fantasy purposes, Gray would be a No. 3 quarterback at best, and that's in leagues where you have depth in your roster. As for the ripple effect of Gray's insertion into the lineup, none of the Jacksonville receivers had much value to begin with, and they have even less now. Jones could move up a tick but that's not enough to make him worth owning. Northcutt is the lone receiver with some value, and even he is a spot play as best. Tight end George Wrighster could also experience a slight boost but is still a bench option. Jones-Drew is still a quality option and is also a possibility to gain a little more value based on more receptions out of the backfield.

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About Fraser Lovat

Fraser is a Hot off the Wire Analyst with KFFL and has been with the company since 2007.

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