NFL Draft fantasy football analysis - Rounds 2-3

      May 9, 2014 @ 22:05:16 PDT

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The second day of the NFL Draft offered considerable fantasy football talents and scenarios to keep an eye on. Here is my blurry-eyed snap-judgment on what has transpired.

Round 2

36) QB Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

Fantasy football analysis: The Fresno State product gets to sit for a year and learn behind veteran quarterback Matt Schaub. The Raiders will pay Schaub $8 million in guaranteed money in 2014, but the $5 million he is owed for 2015 is not secured. Carr has no immediate fantasy value and should do well learning from the sidelines. Disregard the disaster that was his brother David Carr; Derek will only benefit from the tutelage of David. The younger Carr has considerable value in full-retention keeper leagues.

38) TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Fantasy football analysis: The Bucs are doing everything they can to get vertical, adding their second receiving target of at least 6-foot-5 in as many rounds. The 6-foot-6, 262-pound Seferian-Jenkins should see limited playing time out of the gates. He'll have to contend with veteran Brandon Myers, among others, at the position. Look for the Buccaneers to move TE Timothy Wright (6-foot-4, 220 pounds) to wide receiver. Seferian-Jenkins is an intriguing talent with a bright future, but he will be difficult to count on as a rookie for fantasy purposes.

39) WR Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars

Fantasy football analysis: Lee will play flanker and likely start from the onset. The Jaguars do not expect to have WR Justin Blackmon on the field in 2014. Cecil Shorts should lock down the split end position, while Ace Sanders will use his elusiveness to create mismatches from the slot. Lee has serious upside but a lot of bad tape to raise red flags. Someone has to catch the ball in Jacksonville, so Lee could have a bigger impact this year than expected. My knee-jerk response pegs Lee as a WR4 with No. 3 PPR potential. That's probably a little too aggressive.

Edit: Now knowing about the WR Allen Robinson selection, I am even more hesitant to say Lee is a starting receiver for this team. There will be a lot of evaluation by this coaching staff between now and Week 1. All bets are off for Lee being a substantial fantasy provider as a rookie.

TE Jace Amaro, New York Jets

42) WR Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles

Fantasy football analysis: The 6-foot-3, 212-pounder should play out of the slot as a rookie, with WRs Riley Cooper and Jeremy Maclin (knee) on the outside. There will be plenty of balls to go around in Chip Kelly's system, but Matthews' fantasy production figures to be erratic and matchup-driven, barring an injury putting him into a more prominent role.

45) WR Paul Richardson, Seattle Seahawks

Fantasy football analysis: Richardson can open up a defense with speed in the 4.3s, which certainly is needed in Seattle's passing game. Richardson will be too all or nothing to count on as a rookie, assuming he even gets into the mix. He has to learn more routes and fit into a run-first offense in a tough defensive division. I can just see him breaking free for a huge catch after Russell Wilson scrambled around for seven seconds to keep a play alive. Nevertheless, avoid him on draft day in single-year formats.

49) TE Jace Amaro, New York Jets

Fantasy football analysis: This was an interesting addition. The Jets re-signed tight end Jeff Cumberland this offseason, but Amaro is the better talent. Blocking is a bit of an issue, so the Jets could choose to use him as a slot option. I see a Brent Celek-Owen Daniels blend here, and the Celek side is notable given that Marty Mornhinweg is New York's OC. Still, rookie tight ends notoriously struggle to post consistent fantasy-relevant numbers. Amaro is barely draftable even in deep leagues for 2014, but he is a name to tuck away for 2015 and beyond.

52) TE Troy Niklas, Arizona Cardinals

Fantasy football analysis: Niklas is more of an inline tight end but can get upfield well enough for a 270-pounder. He probably will have to contend with TEs Rob Housler, John Carlson and Jake Ballard for playing time. Barring several surprise cuts, Niklas is a long shot for fantasy owners in 2014, even in Bruce Arians' tight end-friendly offense.

53) WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

Fantasy football analysis: What a great pick for the Packers and fantasy owners! Adams has a ways to go as a route runner, but he simply knows how to make big plays. He is likely to replace James Jones, perhaps not right away, but you can tell general manager Ted Thompson knew what he wanted, because Adams is a Jones clone. Adams is a big-time playmaker and will probably vie for playing time with Jarrett Boykin in this pass-happy system. Depending on how the offseason plays out, Adams could be worth a late-round roll of the dice.

54) RB Bishop Sankey, Tennessee Titans

Fantasy football analysis: Arguably in the best fantasy situation so far in the draft, Sankey certainly enters the conversation of a high fantasy pick. He has almost no competition, sans maybe some work around the goal line from Shonn Greene. Sankey is a three-down back and will touch the ball a lot. Tennessee improved their line and has an offensive-minded head coach. Sankey should be in the RB3 neighborhood for standard leagues and a chancy No. 2 in reception-rewarding setups.

WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers

55) RB Jeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals

Fantasy football analysis: Hill is a load to bring down but has surprisingly soft hands for a 6-foot-1, 233-pounder. Purely an educated guess: I believe RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis will stick around. He is going to count $3 million versus 2014 cap and will result in $500,000 in dead money if he is cut. While that isn't a lot, saving $2.5 million when Cincy has roughly $25 million in space is not great motivation for releasing a player who will be a free agent after the season anyway. Hill could learn behind BJGE for a year before pairing with the exhilarating Giovani Bernard. If BJGE is cut this summer, Hill is an RB3 or fourth back.

56) WR Cody Latimer, Denver Broncos

Fantasy football analysis: Peyton Manning has his Eric Decker replacement, but it will be a year or longer before Latimer comes into his own and even gets a chance at decent playing time. If all goes as planned, he won't see the field much as a receiver in Year 1. In 2015, however, Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker are unrestricted free agents, so Latimer is almost assured a larger role. Remember Latimer's name for '15 drafts and as a stash move for deep full keepers.

57) RB Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers

Fantasy football analysis: This pick wasn't exactly a surprise. The 49ers added another smash-mouth ball carrier. Frank Gore cannot do it forever, and who knows what San Fran has in powerful RB Marcus Lattimore (knee). I am guessing the brass is not overly encouraged by what they have seen after his two catastrophic knee injuries. RB LaMichael James, while a totally different style of player, has yet to report to the team. Hyde could be in no man's land for Year 1, but training camp should tell us most of what we need to know for determining his value. He is a late flier at this point, but Hyde is likely the future rather than the present of this backfield.

61) WR Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars

Fantasy football analysis: Yet another wideout for the Jags in this round, Robinson brings size (6-foot-3, 220 pounds) to what is a pretty smurfy receiving corps without Justin Blackmon. He should duke it out for playing time, but his size alone could make him a viable fantasy contributor as a rook. Pay close attention to this team's receiving corps throughout the offseason.

62) QB Jimmy Garoppolo, New England Patriots

Fantasy football analysis: Do I really need to write anything here??? Just in case you were wondering, don't draft him this year. One day, the Eastern Illinois product could be a quality fantasy passer ... one day.

63) WR Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins

Fantasy football analysis: Landry will be a quality addition to fantasy rosters down the road. He is a great fit for this offense as a possession guy. Expect him to battle for playing time with Rishard Matthews and Brandon Gibson (knee), whose rehab is a few months ahead of schedule. Gibson and Landry are awfully similar players. You're unlikely to find a consistent contributor here. Remember the name and his potential as a PPR flier if Landry steps up in the preseason.

Round 3 notables

RB Tre Mason, St. Louis Rams: Intriguing pick ... probably better long-term value than anything meaningful from him in 2014. Have to think he is next in line if something happens to Zac Stacy, though. Handcuff and/or deep flier is the initial recommendation.

RB Terrance West, Cleveland Browns: West has legit potential to be a fantasy contributor this year, especially around the goal line. He could directly back up and even share some touches with Ben Tate, whose injury-prone ways make West even more appealing.

RB Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings: A former option quarterback moved to RB ... Adrian Peterson (groin) needs a spell and a change-of-pace, which is exactly what you will find in the dynamic McKinnon. He has tangible fantasy value as a flier in PPR leagues.

RB Tre Mason, St. Louis Rams

RB Charles Sims, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Only draftable in 2014 if he beats out Bobby Rainey ... one-trick pony as a big-play specialist.

RB/WR Dri Archer, Pittsburgh Steelers: Super fun to watch but extremely limited because of his size and undefined role ... likely a slot WR and splash weapon for the Steelers.

WR Donte Moncrief, Indianapolis Colts: He may not get a shot this year but has awesome potential in 2015 if Reggie Wayne retires and Hakeem Nicks doesn't return. Tuck away his name or remember him for the waiver wire if Wayne's knee reconstruction is too tough to overcome and Nicks is, well, Nicks.

WR John Brown, Arizona Cardinals: While he fits Arizona's need for a slot wideout, the small-school product may need extra time to produce. Exciting and fast. Avoid him for now.

WR Josh Huff, Philadelphia Eagles: Unlikely to have immediate fantasy value but will give a good effort to win a role as a deep threat in an offense he is quite familiar with from his time at Oregon. Huff is a name to remember for 2015 and beyond.

TE Richard Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: Rodgers to Rodgers, eh? While he isn't a burner, the rook will likely compete for a starting job. He has pro-style experience but a few talented guys ahead of him. Ignore him heading into drafts.

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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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