Fantasy football sleeper candidates for Week 10

by Cory J. Bonini on November 7, 2013 @ 08:37:19 PDT

 

Pages 1 | 2 | 3 | all

In this article KFFL breaks down the fantasy football sleepers of the week. We will avoid marquee names because players of that caliber are rarely benched, regardless of their matchup. Instead, we will focus on the players that make your fantasy lineup decisions stressful each week. Read on to learn which midrange to low-end players you wouldn't necessarily consider that you need to get into your lineup.

Note: All statistics are from Week 6 through Week 9, unless otherwise stated.

Quarterback

Eli Manning, New York Giants vs. Oakland Raiders

It's really easy to like a quarterback facing the Raiders after their defense allowed seven touchdown passes to a backup quarterback in 40 minutes of play last week. Manning has just two touchdown passes in the last month, and he has turned over the ball only three times -- all in Week 6. Manning is on the verge of breaking out, and facing Oakland gives him the best chance it happening sooner than later.

Raiders vs. QB position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Com
Att
Com%
PaYds
PaTD
Int
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
Sck
27
3
23.33
22
35
62.7
274.0
2.67
0.67
3.33
14.0
0.00
0.00
3.33

Jake Locker, Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Locker had a strong matchup in Week 9 but wasn't able to capitalize on it, largely because the Titans chose to run roughshod over the St. Louis Rams. Could we see that happen again in Week 10? Perhaps. However, taking a chance on Locker having a quality passing day is a worthwhile risk if you're faced with an injury or bye week (ahem, Tom Brady owners).

Jaguars vs. QB position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Com
Att
Com%
PaYds
PaTD
Int
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
Sck
26
3
22.33
20
28
71.8
252.3
1.33
0.33
5.67
16.0
0.67
0.67
0.33

Running back

Trent Richardson, Indianapolis Colts vs. St. Louis Rams

Richardson probably gets played every week because of where you drafted him, but this week should be the one in which he finally breaks out in 2013. St. Louis' run D has been atrocious, and their pass defense hasn't been much better. The Colts are rather limited with what they can do through the air (despite T.Y. Hilton's monster Week 9), so relying more on the ground game should be in the cards. Keep in mind, they couldn't do that against Houston last week because of a 24-6 third quarter deficit.

Rams vs. RB position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
RuAtt
RuYds
YPC
RuTD
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
FumL
27
4
21.5
25.5
111.3
4.4
1.25
4.00
46.5
11.6
0.00
0.00

Shonn Greene, Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans are hoping to get Greene around 15 carries in best-case scenario, which is a tad ambitious. However, seven to 12 carries is more than realistic (he toted the ball nine times last week). Moreover, it's Greene's goal line skills that will endear him to fantasy owners, and it should continue facing a team giving up more than a pair of rushing TDs per game.

Jaguars vs. RB position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
RuAtt
RuYds
YPC
RuTD
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
FumL
32
3
31.3
29.0
130.3
4.5
2.33
5.33
62.3
11.7
0.00
0.33

Joique Bell, Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

The versatile backup to Reggie Bush will not need a lot of touches to have an impact for fantasy owners in Week 10. He faces a Bears' D that has been trampled by backs, as evidenced by the clinic Green Bay's backfield put on even in a loss. Chicago is giving up big plays in chunks, which bodes well for Bell when he comes off the bench to replace Bush on occasion.

Bears vs. RB position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
RuAtt
RuYds
YPC
RuTD
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
FumL
31
3
28.3
28.3
149.7
5.3
2.33
1.00
5.7
5.7
0.00
0.0

Wide receiver

Brian Hartline, Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Hartline has seen at least five targets in each of his last four games and has 22 in his last three. He's consistently in the mix for the Dolphins and is often played by PPR owners, regardless of the matchup. This week he could be even better, with wideout Mike Wallace likely to face Darrelle Revis. Miami's running game has improved of late, too, which only helps keep the Bucs' defense honest against the pass.

Buccaneers vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
27
4
25.3
12.75
179.0
14.0
1.50
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.25

Rueben Randle, New York Giants vs. Oakland Raiders

A big fat zero. That's exactly how many fantasy points Randle posted in Week 8. Forget it happened. He was too good before that game to let it get into your head. Also, playing the Raiders offers a glorious matchup to help get back on track. Eli Manning is starting to do just that himself, and the Giants' passing game should click nicely after the extra preparation time.

Raiders vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
30
3
28.7
12.33
195.7
15.9
1.67
0.67
8.0
0.00
0.33

Chris Givens, St. Louis Rams at Indianapolis Colts

Givens has 13 targets in two games with Kellen Clemens under center, and he is starting to become a more consistent PPR play. The Colts were massacred by Andre Johnson a week ago, but removing those figures leaves you with a team that was still giving up 30.0 standard fantasy points per game in their prior month of play. Givens is a good bet for respectable Week 9 showing, regardless of the format.

Colts vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
32
3
36.7
15.00
257.3
17.2
2.00
0.33
1.3
0.00
0.33

Jerome Simpson, Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Redskins

Risky? Yup. Simpson is about as inconsistent as they come. Some of that can be placed on the quarterback carousel in Minnesota, but consecutive weeks of Christian Ponder as the starter is a good thing for Simpson. The Redskins have struggled to stop the pass all year, and they'll focus so much attention on Adrian Peterson that Simpson might be able to get free for a big play.

Redskins vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
RuAtt
RuYds
RuTD
FumL
24
4
24.3
14.00
181.8
13.0
1.25
0.75
5.8
0.00
0.00

Tight end

Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

Bennett has just five catches in his last two games and hasn't topped 70 yards since Week 4 -- against the Lions, a game in which he racked up 90 yards on eight grabs. Jay Cutler (groin) is expected to return to the starting lineup; he clearly has an affinity for Bennett. Make sure you don't let the last two weeks sway you from playing the veteran tight end in Week 10.

Lions vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
FumL
24
3
8.3
6.00
68.7
11.4
0.33
0.00

Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Everyone found their way onto the stats sheet in Philly's Week 9 drubbing of Oakland, including Ertz. More importantly, he has been targeted 21 times in the last four weeks, which is nearly twice as much as the previous five games. Nick Foles is likely to start again and has confidence in the rookie pass-catching line extension. You should, too.

Packers vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
Rec
ReYds
YPR
ReTD
FumL
25
4
8.3
5.25
56.5
10.8
0.50
0.00

Place kicker

Rian Lindell, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Miami Dolphins

Lindell has been solid lately but hasn't lit the fantasy world ablaze. The Bucs' offense has some life with quarterback Mike Glennon, and Lindell has knocked them through at an 84.6 percent clip on the year. Even if Lindell just matches the averages Miami is permitting, he is still a quality fantasy option.

Dolphins vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
FG
FGA
XP Made
XP Att
Max Kick Pts
27
3
9.3
2.33
2.33
2.33
2.33
11.0

Kai Forbath, Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings

The last month has been anything but kind to Forbath. He has gone 2-for-4 from distance and had two kicks blocked in Week 9. While that is anomalous, it's easy to pass over him on the wire until you note the matchup ahead of him.

Vikings vs. WR position (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

Rank
G
Avg Pts
FG
FGA
XP Made
XP Att
Max Kick Pts
29
4
9.8
2.00
2.00
3.75
3.75
14.0

Defensive team

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers

This one is all about what the Steelers have given up to defenses lately. Their offense cannot hold onto the ball and keep Ben Roethlisberger upright. Buffalo has reached the quarterback 11 times in the last month.

Steelers' offense (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

G
Int Thrown
Sacks Allwd
Fum Lost
TO/Gm
4
1.00
4.25
0.50
1.50

New York Giants vs. Oakland Raiders

New York started to show something on D in their two games before going on vacation for a week. The Raiders' offense has been hit or miss of late, but they are likely to be without running back Darren McFadden (hamstring) and possibly quarterback Terrelle Pryor (knee).

Raiders' offense (per-game averages, Weeks 6-9)

G
Int Thrown
Sacks Allwd
Fum Lost
TO/Gm
4
1.75
3.75
0.25
2.00

Facebook Twitter Google +

Pages 1 | 2 | 3 | all

About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

Don't miss these great reports....

What do you think? Sound off!



Recent KFFL releases