Fantasy Football: Rated PPR

by Tim Heaney on August 8, 2013 @ 07:35:21 PDT

 


Upon learning your fantasy football league carries point-per-reception scoring, you should immediately re-align your draft philosophy. Rule No. 1 in winning: Know your scoring system.

The variance in valuation offered between standard scoring and PPR isn't quite as prominent in the elite positional tiers, at least those defined by Average Draft Position. Sure, Wes Welker shows more dominance in PPRs, but his typical placement doesn't vary all that much in standard parties.

Being in a reception-rewarding format, however, might change some of your priorities as you work your way deeper into your pick 'em. For example, you'd prefer having Wes Welker in a PPR but might want to tab Eric Decker first in normal games because of his big-play ability.

One-dimensional rumblers who aren't in on many passing downs, like BenJarvus Green-Ellis, won't be as helpful in reception-registering formats and are therefore, all things equal, downgraded as opposed to a comparable option such as Ahmad Bradshaw.

Player touches don't translate as directly to more points in non-PPRs than they do the opposite games. The fact that every catch counts makes it more operative to focus on players with more presumptive opportunities to touch the ball as often as possible.

Targets and touches

Danny Amendola, WR, New England Patriots
Wealth of points in PPR

Non-explosive catch compilers often fail to deliver bigger payoffs in yardage-oriented leagues. Increased work augments value in any situation, but the statistical impact is more drastic in PPRs compared to non- with those instant points. The more times someone is sought out by their slinger, the more chances he'll get to record a point per grab. It's a sturdy tiebreaker when debating between two players.

Of course, explosive wideouts don't necessarily have to be the most targeted to finish among fantasy football's best -- especially in standard scoring -- but it usually helps more often to be a more frequent earner of QB attention. Does a particular QB or system frequently check down or settle for midrange outlets? Is someone entrenching as a permanent third-down back?

Our statistics analyzer and utilization tracker sort these statistics, both for historical and inseason perspective.

By position, some difference-makers:

RB PPR boosts

Player
Team
Notes
Darren Sproles, Pierre Thomas
NOS
The biggest beneficiary of this format, Sproles deserves selection in the first three rounds. PT starter in name will mix in
Reggie Bush
DET
Became more of an inside runner last year but still reliant on receptions
David Wilson
NYG
Andre Brown will vulture GL spots, but Wilson has explosiveness to assume Ahmad Bradshaw role.
Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead
SD
Mathews hardly has the job locked up but should catch enough to reward cautious investment. Woodhead could earn consistent PPR flex duties as SD's new Sproles.
Montee Ball, Ronnie Hillman
DEN
Top two options to protect Peyton Manning's keister
Ahmad Bradshaw
IND
Closest thing to a well-rounded back in this lot -- best at pass protection
Shane Vereen
NE
Stevan Ridley doesn't stay in on passing downs, and Vereen could be the lead in many backfields.
Giovani Bernard
CIN
Will change pace from BJGE and has upside to become lead back.
Johnathan Franklin
GB
Eddie Lacy will control the clock. Franklin will be on for explosiveness and pass protection
Isaiah Pead (SUSP-1)
STL
Best fit for third-down, changeup work in somewhat open backfield
Bernard Pierce
BAL
Baltimore's expected increase in pass plays should give him more reps.
Bryce Brown
PHI
Chip Kelly may divvy touches more equally with Brown and LeSean McCoy than Andy Reid did.
Joseph Randle
DAL
Brittle DeMarco Murray will be conserved, and speedy Randle already solid in QB shielding.
Roy Helu
WAS
Never know.... Alfred Morris safer than most top Shanny backs, but he should see a drop in carries.

WR PPR boosts

Player
Team
Notes
Wes Welker
DEN
Complicates WR corps as risky top-shelf investment. But in PPR, at least he'll meet demands.
Percy Harvin
SEA
Overvalued, but at least this format gives him a chance to break even, if healthy.
Reggie Wayne
IND
New system will limit his yardage, but catches will keep coming.
Danny Amendola
NE
Overpriced, but this is the preferred universe if you're forced to pay.
Antonio Brown
PIT
Possession receiver in his element
Mike Williams
TB
In Vincent Jackson, MWTB has competent field stretcher to let him cover the middle.
Greg Jennings
MIN
At least he'll be force-fed targets, even if it's unlikely he'll turn them into much yardage.
Lance Moore
NO
Doesn't break big plays, but NO throws plenty anyway. He's reliable.
Anquan Boldin
SF
He'll absorb many of Michael Crabtree's (Achilles') lost looks.
Justin Blackmon (SUSP-4)
JAX
Jedd Fisch's O gets the ball into the hands of playmakers quickly. Blackmon is tough to bring down after the catch.
Kendall Wright
TEN
Smart route-runner might help Jake Locker grow.
Vincent Brown
SD
Better fit to succeed in new offense than Malcom Floyd
Greg Little, Davone Bess
CLE
Need a possession guy, even in Norv Turner's system.
Mohamed Sanu
CIN
Halted by foot injury last year, he's the closest WR Cincy has to a chain mover.
Nate Burleson, Ryan Broyles
DET
Will lose catches to Reggie Bush, but desperation options could chip in 10 pts at a time
Emmanuel Sanders
PIT
He'll line up outside for majority of reps but can slide inside comfortably.
Austin Pettis
STL
Has wowed in camp, and if others aren't ready, could replicate Danny Amendola.

TE PPR boosts

Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski (if healthy), Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez stand so far above the TE class, but picking the right alternatives could leave you looking OK if you don't get one of the Four Horsemen.

Player
Team
Notes
Brandon Myers
NYG
Last year's receptions total will drop, but his target conversion rate was among the league's best.
Antonio Gates
SD
McCoy-Whisenhunt system will focus on quick release routes. Gates has one more solid fantasy year left.
Martellus Bennett
CHI
Marc Trestman's focus on quick releases from Jay Cutler could help Bennett improve on or repeat 2012.

Targets & Utilization | Stats Analyzer | Draft Guide

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About Tim Heaney

Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum, who competes in the prestigious LABR and Tout Wars, has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.

He appears frequently, including every Sunday, on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, as well as every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore.

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