Fantasy football busts and overvalued players

by Cory J. Bonini on August 12, 2013 @ 15:30:00 PDT


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Tight ends

Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: After what seems like 54 surgeries in about a year, Gronk remains the first or second tight end drafted in almost every league. He's a touchdown machine, but that doesn't help you if he cannot remain on the field. Monitor his status if you have a late August or early September draft.

Tony Gonzalez, Atlanta Falcons: Call me skeptical ... age (37 in tight end years is like 102) and the rigors of the NFL have to catch up with him sooner or later, right? Maybe not. Probably not until 2014 when he's on his couch. However, I'm cautiously drafting him only if he slides into the eighth or ninth round.

Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots
Way too scary for my liking

Jared Cook, St. Louis Rams: I'll be frank in that I really don't like Cook's style of play. He's too inconsistent and, at times, soft. He is fine at the value of a second tight end selection, but his potential is capped at average - not something worth investing in as a backup, where I like to find upside.

Place kicker

Garrett Hartley, New Orleans Saints: Every year someone drafts Hartley way too early, even being the general late-round selection of a place kicker. This offense scores touchdowns and doesn't attempt a lot of field goals.

Sebastian Janikowski, Oakland Raiders: Oakland's offense is going through considerable changes, namely at quarterback, and could take a big step backward. Janikowski is a fringe starting kicker or more ideally a matchup play.

Rian Lindell, Buffalo Bills: Lindell is in an offense that could take a step backward before it moves in the right direction. He faces competition from rookie Dustin Hopkins, too, and that may be enough alone to cost him his job.

Dan Carpenter, Miami Dolphins: Carpenter is a solid kicker, yet I'm sure he's going to lose his roster spot to rookie Caleb Sturgis. Watch this situation. Should Carp hang onto his job, he'll remain a viable fantasy PK.

Defensive teams

San Francisco 49ers: They have improved dramatically in the offseason, but most owners would be shocked to realize the Niners ranked 15th in fantasy points scored last year. Can they live up to their No. 1 DT draft placement in 2013? That's questionable if they cannot bolster their modest sacks total (38) of a year ago.

Baltimore Ravens: This inclusion is simply based on the wholesale defensive changes. That is a lot of turnover to weather in one offseason, and the Super Bowl hangover could linger. Weak DT1 value here.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Pittsburgh doesn't create enough turnovers (20 in 2012) to matter for fantasy purposes. They're the Troy Aikman of fantasy defenses: great real life importance to their team but little impact in the fake football world. Pass on this D living off its historic name value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tampa needs a stronger pass rush to matter as anything more than a potential waiver wire matchup play. The addition of Darrelle Revis (knee) won't help them in realm of meaningful statistics collection.

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Also see: Sleepers | Deep Sleepers | Undervalued Players

About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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