I had my first mock draft of the year for fake football last Tuesday. There will be many more to come, but after my first foray in the fantasy football draft world this year, I began cobbling together my list of players that I'm not ready to draft at their current price.
That and I noticed that the running back class is especially deep this year thanks to more teams adopting committee approaches in the backfield.
Now, back to some guys I think you should try to stay away from in 2013:
Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
Yeah, he's Tom Brady, but he's bound for regression in his age-36 season. It might be obvious to those that aren't blinded by the hoopla that his name brings along. Brady won't be working with much - Danny Amendola and a collection of unproven receivers. He'll be without Aaron Hernandez and possibly Rob Gronkowski (forearm, back) for as many as six weeks. New England will likely rely heavily on the ground game.
Reggie Bush, RB, Detroit Lions
He's been a bust before
Bush sees big things from himself and his new squad, but I'm not as optimistic. He'll be more valuable in point-per-reception leagues in Detroit's high-flying offense, but remember, Joique Bell is also an excellent pass-catching back that had over 50 receptions last year. Mikel Leshoure is still around, and Bush won't be used similarly to how he was in Miami the last two seasons.
Andre Johnson, WR, Houston Texans
He might still be one of the best all-around receivers in the game, but he's slipped up a little and will be 32. His injury concerns are well-documented, and for my money, I'm not willing to pay WR1 money on a guy that has a good chance of missing three or four games due to injury. I see Johnson having a tough time breaking 100 receptions if rookie DeAndre Hopkins lives up to expectations in his first year, too.
Tony Gonzalez, TE, Atlanta Falcons If Albert Pujols is the Machine of MLB, Tony G is probably NFL's equivalent. He shocked us by posting 90-plus catches and over 900 yards at age 36. Nobody can last forever, though, as Pujols is discovering, and Gonzalez soon will. Gonzalez should still be productive, but I'm willing to bet more on him fading than mirroring his 2012 numbers. Atlanta already started planning for Gonzalez to move on, so they'll be ready to phase him out. Maybe he should have stayed retired?
David Wilson, RB, New York Giants
There's a lot to like about Wilson, including his insane breakaway abilities, but therein lies the problem. He is a stark contrast in running style to Andre Brown, who has a great shot to be used often in red zone and short-yardage (goal-line duties?) situations. Wilson and Brown will compete for the lead role in training camp, but it's a virtual certainty that they'll both share a good amount of touches. Wilson comes with a high price for a dude that will probably need more carries to reach his full potential.
About Keith Hernandez
Keith, an editor with KFFL, joined the team as a Hot off the Wire analyst in 2008 and has been playing fantasy sports since 2005. He is involved in MLB, NFL and NASCAR content. He graduated from the University of California-San Diego in 2005 with a B.A. in Communications and was a four-year starter as a member of the baseball program.
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