A closer look
New opp for Nunez
Did I meet my Mayberry goals? Yes; all benchmarks were met. In particular, this team should have excellent speed and ERA. But the main contributor to success here is playing time - 12 of my 14 hitters are projected to have over 450 plate appearances; all six of my starters are projected for more than 180 IP. Plus, five of my six reserves are starters. Playing time is a critical component of the MM scores, since it is not only a component but a multiplier as well.
How's that reliability? Pitching, it's very good - my first five starters all qualify for Tier 1 with no reliability score lower than B. Relievers are not as reliable.
On offense, I've taken on more risk than would be acceptable under Portfolio 3. While my core players (Encarnacion, Beltre, Reyes, Melky Cabrera) all have playing time/experience grades of A or B, there are some health questions (A-C grades) and a lack of consistency (B-F). In fact, this offense seems to "embrace volatility" like my Xtreme Regression Drafting team from last year.
How about the reserves? Very happy with this lot. Five starters with high skills, but a lot of injury or inexperience risk. I can park them on the bench and wait to see if they have any value.
Have I peeked at the projected standings yet? The point of Mayberry is to downplay imprecise projections and focus on the skills - which worked well.
But, of course I still looked at the standings after the draft. Human nature sometimes overrules common sense.
There's such a small range in some categories (for instance, the WHIP category ranges from 1.25 for 1st to 1.33 for 12th) that it's a silly exercise. But if these imprecise projections have some accuracy, the team should do well in BA and SBs, and put up decent power numbers as well. Wins are middle-of-the-pack, behind the teams that spent money on the stud pitchers.
What's next? I'm pleased with the team I put together, but I know that it means nothing until they start playing the games. Now, it's time to play out the season to see if I can take home a title.
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