Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 22
If he can hold the leadoff spot for the Braves all season, he'll have massive totals for runs scored and stolen bases. He's a good contact hitter who should be able to provide decent totals from a weak position.
My glaring needs were outfield (position) and stolen bases (category), and I felt that none of my options for them warranted this pick. I aimed for profit here. There are several improving aspects for Alonso that make double-digit dollars possible in 2013 - the moved-in fences at PETCO, his previously displayed power and the work he's done with Phil Plantier this past offseason chief among them.
I've gathered enough SP depth to take on Hanson's high-risk, high-reward makeup. Maybe Anaheim can fix his woes, but even if he doesn't go back to a mid-3.00 ERA to complement his big K potential, it won't cripple my staff at this cost.
Risky 4.00+ ERA, 1.20+ WHIP, 6.0 K/9 types of starting pitchers can usually be found in-season on waivers, so why did I pick Miley? Be careful with autodraft.
By this point in the draft, it's time to take some chances. Beachy isn't likely to return from Tommy John surgery until after the All-Star break, but he has a career 9.5 K/9 rate and 3.07 ERA. He could be this year's Kris Medlen.
To fill out my pitching staff, I am taking a chance on a 40-year old who has not pitched a full season since 2010. But when he was healthy in 2012, he looked as good as ever. Pettitte came into camp this spring in great shape and felt he could pitch 200 innings and win 20 games. That may be a bigger stretch than the legitimacy of Alex Rodriguez's statistics, but I'm willing to take the chance for my 9th pitcher.
I really wasn't thinking closer with this pick but couldn't pass up the value with Marmol. He is erratic and will be on a short leash this season, but I like having him as my third option at closer to start the season, giving me some solid depth.
When I selected Bonifacio in round 21, I did so hoping that either Trevor Cahill or Tommy Milone would make it back to me here in round 22. Sadly, neither did. Dempster isn't a bad consolation prize - he should post a K/9 of 8.0 or better while getting plenty of run support from a rebuilt Red Sox offense.
Injuries have sapped his value in some folks' eyes, but since 2008, an average Marcum season: 11-7, 3.57 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.44 K/9, 2.91 K/BB in 168 innings.
Jackson is like the Rodney Dangerfield of pitchers - he gets no respect. I respect him (and his K rate) enough to make him my 5th starter without any hesitation.
I was ecstatic to find Iwakuma still on the board at this point. I'd considered selecting him as early as Round 18. After the Mariners moved him from the bullpen to the rotation, he won eight games in 16 starts spanning 95 innings with a 2.65 BB/9, 7.4 K/9, a strong groundball rate, and a 2.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP.
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