Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 21

by KFFL Staff on February 25, 2013 @ 14:20:31 PDT


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Toronto Blue Jays 2B Emilio Bonifacio
More late-rounds speed

1) Bruce Rondon, RP, Detroit Tigers

Team: Josh Shepardson, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

Back-to-back rookie selections join Wil Myers to make rookie triplets on my squad. If not for concerns about Ryan Madson's elbow, he'd have been the selection. If Rondon doesn't poop the bed in the spring he and his triple-digit heater should be closing games for the Tigers when they break camp.

2) Russell Martin, C, Pittsburgh Pirates

Team: Mark Bloom, RotoExperts/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

There is no way Martin hits under .220 again. In fact, I think he goes 15-15 this season and hits closer to .255.

3) Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C, Boston Red Sox

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

For literally the fifth time in this draft, the guy I wanted (Martin) was taken one pick before me. Salty could go for 25 HRs, so not an awful consolation prize.

4) Emilio Bonifacio, OF, Toronto Blue Jays

Team: Bill Macey, Baseball HQ | Roster

I was surprised that Bonifacio fell this far - there aren't many players that match his SB potential and certainly none this late in the draft. While he only qualifies at OF for now, he'll likely play a majority of his time at 2B, eventually giving me a solid backup at MI should Uggla's decline continue. I wanted a SP here but couldn't pass up the profit potential with Bonifacio.

5) Logan Morrison, 1B/OF, Miami Marlins

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

After thinking of taking him last round, I get Morrison with my next pick. The Marlins are a mess, but Morrison will be a mainstay in that lineup from day one. I could use some homers and feel Morrison has 20-homer potential if he can stay healthy.

6) Ryan Vogelsong, SP, San Francisco Giants

Team: Michael Stein, The Hardball Times | Roster

I was debating between Vogelsong and Trevor Cahill, but ultimately went with Vogelsong who has more of a track record. It took awhile for the former prospect to figure things out, but he has become a mainstay in the Giants starting rotation that has produced two championships in the past three years. His numbers aren't sparkling, but he is consistent enough across the board to be relied upon.

7) Trevor Cahill, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Team: Steve Gardner, USA TODAY/Sports Weekly | Roster

Needing another starting pitcher, I was torn between Cahill and Josh Beckett. The difference is that Cahill is 24 and has an improving strikeout rate while Beckett is 32 with declining velocity on his fastball. That outweighs Beckett being on a better team.

8) Ernesto Frieri, RP, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Mark Chamberlin, Baseball Sharks | Roster

With Ryan Madson all but certainly starting the year on the DL, Frieri will handle 9th-inning duties. On the heels of Tommy John surgery, there is no reason to believe Madson will assume the job upon return, so if Frieri continues to pitch like he did in 2012 there is a very good chance it is his job for good.

9) Drew Stubbs, OF, Cleveland Indians

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

The batting average hit he brings means less in Round 21. The 25-plus swipes he'd add to my lineup, however, stand out. If he and Lorenzo Cain, my 20th-rounder, combine for 20ish homers and 40ish steals, this outfield-capping pair will pay off.

10) Ryan Madson, RP, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

OK, I may still have a shot in the saves category! Here, there's no risk in taking Madson, who missed 2012 because he had Tommy John surgery prior to the start of that season. The Halos signed him to bring in a strong candidate for their backend role and increase their 'pen's depth. I think the setback Madson had this spring is a good sign; it's far from unusual that players recovering from TJS have setbacks. The plus: He's gotten one out of the way. There'll be performance bumps, but this pick could really pay off.

11) Brandon Belt, 1B, San Francisco Giants

Team: Howard Bender, FanGraphs | Roster

All he's been waiting for is a consistent opportunity to play, and he finally has it. He has modest power potential and a splash of speed, and should achieve added eligibility in the outfield by no later than midseason.

12) Matt Harrison, SP, Texas Rangers

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

A low strikeout rate and hitter-friendly park make Harrison a tough choice. I am going with his 15-win projection.

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