Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 12

by KFFL Staff on February 20, 2013 @ 14:59:13 PDT


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1) Ian Kennedy, SP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

Projected for Kennedy are 14 wins, 200 innings and around 200 Ks. He belongs to the high tier of pitchers.

Milwaukee Brewers OF Norichika Aoki
Aoki A-OK here

2) Norichika Aoki, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

Team: Howard Bender, FanGraphs | Roster

Needed to fill up the outfield soon and could use some plus-speed. Aoki platooned for almost the entire first two months of last year and still hit 10 HR and swiped 30 bags. He's full-time headed into this season and even just a repeat of last year's totals makes him a solid pick.

3) Kendrys Morales, 1B, Seattle Mariners

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

One of the players I was bummed I didn't get with my last pick was Paul Konerko, whom Tim drafted one spot before mine. I want a dangerous, high-upside corner man, and that will almost certainly be a first-base-eligible player and not a third baseman. Morales missed 2011 but was pretty productive in 2012, nonetheless. He should be at full strength, now, and approach 2009 levels of output. I was set on taking someone at the position and was confident that Morales would make it around the turn based on the composition of the rosters of owners behind me.

4) C.J. Wilson, SP, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

Luckily, despite Brandon Morrow and Ian Kennedy falling in the last handful of picks, one of my targets was available. Wilson, despite his sometimes shaky control, should rebound. I'm glad I got another SP capable of 8.00-plus K's per nine to back up Strasburg, especially so late in the process.

5) Jake Peavy, SP, Chicago White Sox

Team: Mark Chamberlin, Baseball Sharks | Roster

I did not plan to take 3 starting arms in the first 12 rounds, but this is too good of a value to pass up. He hasn't had a xFIP above 4.00 since 2003 and while the K's are going down so are the BB's; skills still there ... but is health? Only issue, albeit a big one.

6) Jeff Samardzija, SP, Chicago Cubs

Team: Steve Gardner, USA TODAY/Sports Weekly | Roster

Although I think Samardzija will have a decent year, I didn't really care for this pick after I made it. He'll give me some of the strikeouts I may lose with Cueto, but his track record of success as a starter is limited to last season. I considered Josh Johnson of the Jays, who went next.

7) Josh Johnson, SP, Toronto Blue Jays

Team: Michael Stein, The Hardball Times | Roster

With only three pitchers on my roster at this point, I wanted to take another before the options really started thinning out. There is obviously a lot to be concerned about with Johnson and his extensive injury history. But after a relatively healthy 2012 with a bad Marlins team, Johnson gets a fresh start north of the border and will be the #2 guy behind R.A. Dickey. Johnson will be pitching for a contract which is usually good news for fantasy owners. The risk/reward is well worth it in the 12th round.

Colorado Rockies OF Dexter Fowler
Too many Coors

8) Jayson Werth, OF, Washington Nationals

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

His power production going down is a concern but he still hits for average and will steal a few bases. If he can get his power back some, Werth will be a steal in the 12th round. This pick was an easy choice for me as I looked to build my outfield.

9) Alexei Ramirez, SS, Chicago White Sox

Team: Bill Macey, Baseball HQ | Roster

Alexei doesn't offer much upside, but he's averaged approximately 15 HR and 13 SB over the last 3 years and I expect him to put up similar numbers in 2013. I'm happy to grab a reliable MI here allowing me to speculate on a breakout pick later.

10) Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

Will he ever learn to hit on the road? His BABIP was league leading last year so the average might fall a tad, but I think there could be a 20/20 season here.

11) Chris Davis, 1B/OF, Baltimore Orioles

Team: Mark Bloom, RotoExperts/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

I knew that I wanted to get a closer in either the 12th or 13th round. There were two on the board I liked in Rafael Soriano and Sergio Romo. Since I didn't care which one I got, I took Davis first to make sure I didn't lose him. With a little more plate patience, Davis has an outside shot at 40 HR this season.

12) Josh Reddick, OF, Oakland Athletics

Team: Josh Shepardson, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

Ideally I wanted to kill two birds with one stone with my 12th round selection, and I did just that. I added more power to my squad while also filling my third outfielder roster spot.

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