Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft: Round 3

by KFFL Staff on March 13, 2013 @ 09:45:12 PDT

 

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1) Edwin Encarnacion, 1B, Toronto Blue Jays

Team: Josh Shepardson, Baseball Prospectus | Roster

I nearly pulled the trigger on David Wright, and Clayton Kershaw was considered, but ultimately I couldn't pass up Encarnacion. His power is legit, and his fly-ball-driven swing should assure him over 30 homers this year. Being part of a bolstered Blue Jays' lineup should also aid him in runs and RBIs, where he'll be a monster contributor.

Arizona Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt
Goldschmidt golden at 3.2?

2) Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks

Team: Mark Bloom, RotoExperts | Roster

After Buster Posey and Edwin Encarnacion went before me, I thought that Goldschmidt was the last stud 1B left on the board. Sure, I could get an Eric Hosmer-type guy later, but Goldschmidt has 40 HR potential and stole a few bases too. Now with my first three picks I have about 100 HR and 60 SB projected.

3) Starlin Castro, SS, Chicago Cubs

Team: Ray Flowers, Baseball Guys/SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio | Roster

I really wanted to take David Wright here. However, with a 3B (Miguel Cabrera) and another 3B eligible player (Hanley Ramirez) already on my roster with my first two picks, I couldn't justify locking up my corner infield spot this early with a third 3B eligible player.

4) David Wright, 3B, New York Mets

Team: Bill Macey, Baseball HQ | Roster

I was surprised both Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg were still available at this point in the draft and was sorely tempted to take one of them, knowing neither stood much chance of coming back to me in round 4. However, third base gets ugly quickly so I decided to grab one of the few remaining stars at the position in what was probably my last chance to do so.

5) Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox

Team: Jeff Paur, RTSports | Roster

I almost had a no brainer here, but David Wright goes the pick before me. I was shocked to see him fall that far. Instead, I have a tough call between several players. It came down to Ian Kinsler and Ellsbury. Since I already had a second baseman, I went ahead and took Ellsbury, looking for him to rebound in a big way from his shoulder injury. He can be a five-category elite player when all is going well, which I'm hoping for from him this season.

6) Ian Kinsler, 2B, Texas Rangers

Team: Michael Stein, The Hardball Times | Roster

I struggled with this pick because there were several top SP's still on the board such as Kershaw, Price and Strasburg. I committed myself to waiting at least 4 rounds before taking a pitcher, and I honored that by grabbing Kinsler. He had a down year in 2012, but I expect him to rebound now that he must make up for the production lost by Josh Hamilton's departure.

7) Clayton Kershaw, SP, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Steve Gardner, USA TODAY/Sports Weekly | Roster

Although I wasn't planning on taking a pitcher this early, the opportunity to get the No. 1 starter on my draft board with the 31st overall pick was too good to pass up. Three straight seasons with 200 strikeouts and a sub-3.00 ERA show his consistency. A better Dodger team around him will boost his win total.

Baltimore Orioles OF Adam jones
Jonesing for more from Adam?

8) Adam Jones, OF, Baltimore Orioles

Team: Mark Chamberlin, Baseball Sharks | Roster

My backup plan to Evan Longoria fell all the way to round 3? Yes, please. 2012 was no fluke, as he enters his prime years he truly broke out in a big way. There's no reason to expect that to change. Five category players usually don't slip this far, but in this case I am happy he did.

9) Curtis Granderson, OF, New York Yankees

Team: Tim Heaney, KFFL | Roster

Thought about Yoenis Cespedes, Jay Bruce and Matt Holliday here, but the solid BA foundation I accrued allowed me to buy one of the most secure remaining sources for home runs, who's a relative bargain here. If he corrects vision and approach problems, he could be a 35-homer, 10-steal, .260 BA player. Three outfielders in the first three stanzas? Never thought that would happen; goes to show what adapting to the player pool does for your squad. [Ed. note: Tim would have to adjust even more. This draft took place in early February. Tim would not have picked Grandy here if he were drafting today. Read the late rounds for how he adapted midstream.]

10) Jay Bruce, OF, Cincinnati Reds

Team: Nicholas Minnix, KFFL | Roster

I ended up being pretty certain that I would go with an outfielder here, because Bruce, Yoenis Cespedes and Matt Holliday were the choices. At this point, no infielders are worthwhile, but plenty of outfielders have the earning potential. I went with Bruce because, thanks to GABP, he should hit as many as 10 more bombs than either of the other two. In hindsight, one of the other two would've been a better-rounded pick, though.

11) Ben Zobrist, 2B/SS/OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Team: Howard Bender, FanGraphs | Roster

Being a second baseman with 20 home runs and 15-20 stolen bases stands well enough on its own, but adding in the fact that he qualifies at both shortstop and the outfield is huge for my roster flexibility, especially with an injury-prone Tulowitzki already on the roster.

12) Adrian Gonzalez, 1B, Los Angeles Dodgers

Team: Pasko Varnica, Mastersball | Roster

The assumption was the power outage was due to shoulder surgery before coming to Boston, but Gonzalez has continued to hit for average and knock in runs. Perhaps another off-season removed from shoulder surgery, Gonzalez can get some pop back. If so then Gonzalez is the last value 1B left on board.

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