Burning Fantasy Baseball Questions: New York Mets
Who's the real Ike Davis?
His 2012 followed a script that many fantasy prognosticators penned, but it was taken to an extreme in the beginning: Overcoming Valley Fever contributed to his .170 clip and a .524 OPS when the calendar flipped to June.
Then, things clicked after the organization reassured him he wouldn't be demoted. Plus, he worked on things. From a June 21 Hot off the Wire post:
New York Mets 1B Ike Davis made some mechanical adjustments after going through a horrendous early season slump that left him hitting below .160 by late May. He now stands with his feet farther apart, his head is moving less and his body is carrying more forward momentum during his swing. Some changes are temporary until he feels comfortable going back to an older stance, though.
From June on, the 27 times he left the yard say he felt something better, even if he didn't keep all these modifications. For him to hit .253 in that time was a relative plus, even if he was much better away from Citi Field. A pull tendency may still haunt him, but he looked more comfortable overall.
He was still fooled by left-handers, but the 50.4 percent grounders he hit against them say he could eventually improve his BA. Plus, he still takes plenty of walks and, to a degree, he cut down on his whiffs as summer ended. In the second half, 24.3 percent of his connections produced ropes, and though these fluctuate frequently for sometimes long-swing hitters like Davis, it's clear he figured out what he was doing and has a legit shot at continuing it.
Late-season reports surfaced that the Metropolitans believed Davis was enjoying the metropolis a bit too much, often staying out late between games. Whispers also said he wasn't receptive to changes in his procedures. This seems like it could make things salty, but it didn't appear to hinder his game or the Mets' commitment to him occupying the cleanup slot.
If these turn out to be mere rumblings (likely) and he's over his health trials (likely), Davis, with a few tweaks and breaks, should return to yielding a competent, not season-killing, BA. His thump will survive even with his bland home digs. In rooms with superficial drafters, his 2012 numbers should set up his top-shelf ceiling as one of the biggest profit opportunities within a deep first base class.
About Tim Heaney
Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous publications, and recognized as a finalist in FSWA's awards. The Boston University alum competes in Tout Wars and LABR and has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.
During baseball and football season, he's on The Reality Check with Glenn Clark every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore. He hits the airwaves every Thursday at 9:30 a.m. ET on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, where he often crashes other shows, as well.
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