Where do Aaron Hill and Jason Kubel go from here?
Hard to say up, but the downfall won't be drastic for their respective prices. Each recaptured owned skills at an inflated level.
Hill showed signs of life while donning D-backs threads post-deadline in the summer of 2011; steals came through more prominently to close out that year - thanks, Kirk Gibson - but Hill's bat woke up thanks to some mechanical changes. Power followed through last year when health and approach lined up as he matched his 2010 homer output (26).
He hits too many fly balls to warrant confidence for back-to-back .300 seasons, but a tempered bid will account for the clip dip. Considering the make-or-break nature of the second base class this year, if you don't land one of the top three, Hill seems like a desirable target. That's true, to a degree; history reminds us of his post-2009 overvaluation.
Optimal return would come from a middle-rounds mixed snag or moderate NL-only bid as his risk drips away. Under those circumstances, all systems go; he should contribute similarly in some form across the board, give or take a few homers and steals off his 2012 line.
Kubel remains a bane in the BA column, thanks to issues versus southpaws and his dropping rate of connections. These hang-ups strip some allure from his homer column. For a single-category player, basically, that might be at the mercy of an outfield rotation, don't make him a priority; in the late mixed rounds, where doubt will probably push him, plenty of profit-offering alternatives stare you in the face.
What's the state of the rotation?
About Tim Heaney
Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum competes in Tout Wars and LABR and has won several industry leagues in both baseball and football.
During baseball and football season, hear him every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore. On Thursdays, he visits 106.1 FM WMTI in New Orleans and Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, where he often crashes other shows, as well.
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