Pump the brakes, people!
I have read so many folks state online that Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III will have a great campaign in 2013 based on what Adrian Peterson was able to accomplish this season.
RGIII is getting a new knee
It is premature to make any kind of profound prognosis for Griffin, but we have some general guidelines to apply to his case. Recovery from a torn anterior cruciate ligament takes roughly nine months, and it can take up to 18 months before the player fully trusts his leg again. Griffin has torn the same ligament twice now. More worrisome, to me, anyway, is the full reconstruction of his right lateral collateral ligament. That can take eight to 12 months to completely heal, which doesn't even include the timeframe Griffin may need to get back into football shape.
While Washington's medical staff says Griffin should be ready for Week 1, I contend the difference between "ready" and "ready to play like himself" is so far apart it's not even funny. Peterson's miraculous recovery from a surgery so late in the year is a testament to his freakish nature. He has so much more strength and musculature than RGIII; the quadriceps muscle is the most important factor in strengthening a knee following reconstructive surgery, and AD has extra to give.
What I see happening: Griffin is active for Week 1 but doesn't look like himself for at least the first month or so of the season. He knows what it takes to rehab an ACL tear, which is a big plus, but so much of his fantasy football value comes from his mobility. He clearly struggled in that area of his game late this year while wearing a knee brace, and it is fair to presume Griffin will have to sport one again in the early going of '13.
Expect a more cautious, less likely to gamble and/or freelance version of RGIII next season. He should be considered a low-end No. 1 fantasy quarterback, but you will have to draft him earlier than I would be comfortable taking the dynamic signal caller. Make sure to back him up with someone capable of starting all year. Personally, I will pass on him in the first eight rounds of 2013 fantasy drafts. There are far too many good quarterbacks that come with less risk.
About Cory J. Bonini
Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.
Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.
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