What happened to the cinch that was supposed to be Brett Lawrie?
As is often the case with highly skilled players who have very little major league experience, expectations were just far too great. With a number of potentially emerging options at third base, fantasy owners put too much faith in a then-22-year-old with all of 171 MLB plate appearances under his belt. For some reason, the skepticism that accompanied most numbers produced for Triple-A Las Vegas failed to follow Lawrie's 2011 marks, too.
Frankly, some of Lawrie's preseason 2012 buyers probably didn't learn much of a lesson from the results of their excessive enthusiasm and will make similar mistakes in the future. Thankfully, you're not any of them. Right?
It has nothing to do with the player. Lawrie can be that good - and, in fact, probably even better ... eventually. He has 25-homer, 25-steal upside. It could've happened last year, in fact. But his price point last spring hardly factored in the high degree of likelihood that he would face adversity in his first full big league campaign. A bruised calf and a strained oblique only punched and twisted that rusty spoon.
Lawrie is, in a way, a better pick at 35th overall in a mixed league this year than he was last year because of the opportunity he had to learn from his trials of 2012. This isn't by any means an endorsement of such a high selection of him, however; he won't cost quite that much. Instead, recognize that 2013 presents a more reasonable buying opportunity, as long as you don't play the part of a rotisserie owner scorned.
About Nicholas Minnix
Minnix is baseball editor and a fantasy football analyst at KFFL. He plays in LABR and Tout Wars and won the FSWA Baseball Industry Insiders League in 2010.
The University of Delaware alum is a regular guest on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio and Baltimore's WNST AM 1570.
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