Fantasy Football Blitz: Randall Cobb's value, Week 10 RB risers

      November 8, 2012 @ 14:49:01 PDT


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@OTI518

How legit is Cobb ROS?

Randall Cobb is the No. 1 wide receiver in terms of point-per-reception fantasy points (79.0) over the last month. His five touchdowns in his last three games have spiked his value, but he hasn't been utilized fewer than seven times in any of his last four contests. In the Green Bay Packers' offense, that's all you need to sustain WR3 value for most leagues, especially when you've caught a whopping 76.3 percent of your targets.

Luckily, his role doesn't depend on Greg Jennings' hernia or Jordy Nelson's ankle. James Jones remains most likely to suffer with a Jennings comeback.

GB schedule
WR PPG over last 4 wks
Wk
Tm
WR PPG
Rk
11
@DET
37.8
6
12
@NYG
36.8
7
13
MIN
30.5
20
14
DET
37.8
6
15
@CHI
32.3
18
16
TEN
36.3
9
17
@MIN
30.5
20

Cobb, meanwhile, has carved out his own niche by making all the midrange noise that Jermichael Finley and Donald Driver can't while giving Aaron Rodgers his upfield game breaker.

This makes Cobb Green Bay's best running back, too. Get the ball in his hands, and he goes. Targets won't be a problem; he'll continue serving as an explosive extension of this ground game.

He's Percy Harvin in a cheddar hat.

The only problem I see with his schedule following their Week 10 bye is the Chicago Bears clash in Week 15; they've at least contained this aerial game in recent seasons. Last time Green Bay faced the Bears (Week 2), Cobb didn't have a big role yet, so a comparison in output wouldn't be appropriate.

Still, the rest of that schedule is tasty, and he should aid your postseason push.

Don't worry about the statistically daunting Minnesota Vikings matchup; the numbers are a tad skewed. They've faced John Skelton. Running slingers Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson don't have amazing receivers and got the better of the Norse in their own styles. Josh Freeman and Wilson each threw for three scores, and RGIII totaled a trio, as well (two rushing). Green Bay's versatility will have a similarly detrimental effect on Minny.

With this in mind, expect Cobb to hover around top-20 PPR wideout numbers, with the upside for more.

I'll throw in some quickie Week 10 predictions:

  • If he stays recoups from his illness - and if Chase Blackburn (hamstring) has to sit out - the Cincinnati Bengals' BenJarvus Green-Ellis will rattle off 100-plus yards.
  • Shonn Greene will be the latest running back to put up numbers against the Seattle Seahawks' ground wall. Sure, he's no Adrian Peterson, and he doesn't have the San Francisco 49ers line paving the way, but the challenges being faced by their young linebackers and safeties should carry over against a capable New York Jets front five. This potential multiplies if K.J. Wright (concussion) is absent or less than a full go. Plus, Gang Green wants to avoid putting the game in Mark Sanchez's hands in such a hostile road environment. Coming off a bye should help ease some of the Jets' cross-country travel fatigue, though.

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About Tim Heaney

Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum, who competes in the prestigious LABR and Tout Wars, has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.

He appears frequently, including every Sunday, on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, as well as every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore.

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