Fantasy Football Mining: Week 5 sneaky plays
October 5, 2012 @ 15:08:28 PDT
Here is a sneaky-play lineup for Week 5 that may help you with deciding on some of those midrange plays.
Note: All statistics are four-week averages, unless noted otherwise.
Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts: Green Bay shouldn't have much problem hanging points on Indy's suspect defense in this one, which leads me to believe Luck could be in for a lot of garbage-time or keep-up points. Emotional energy is a factor to consider, as well, since the team is dealing with the recent cancer diagnosis of their head coach. The only major concern I have with this recommendation is Green Bay's pass rush.
Packers vs. QBs: 59.4 percent, 228.3 passing yards, 2.00 touchdowns, 1.00 interceptions, 3.5 sacks
Ben Tate, Houston Texans: A toe injury has prevented him from participating in practice this week, but having the Monday night game gives him time to heal up enough to play. Head coach Gary Kubiak hopes Tate will practice later in the week. I can see the New York Jets being down big and Houston relying heavily on the ground attack late in the game. He's worth taking a chance on if it appears he will indeed play come Sunday morning lineup time.
Jets vs. RBs: 31.3 attempts, 141.3 rushing yards, 29.3 receiving yards, 1.50 total TDs
Bernard Pierce, Baltimore Ravens: Much like with the Texans-Jets matchup, I can see Baltimore clobbering the Kansas City Chiefs. Pierce doesn't touch the ball much, but that could change if the Ravens are up big against KC. Bye weeks and injuries can call for desperate measures.
Chiefs vs. RBs: 24.5 attempts, 102.5 rushing yards, 58.0 receiving yards, 1.25 total TDs
Jonathan Baldwin, Kansas City Chiefs: The Ravens could force KC to chuck the ball a lot, and Baldwin is slowly coming around. He had a great offseason but disappeared once the pads went on. Wideouts Steve Breaston (knee) and Dexter McCluster (elbow) aren't quite 100 percent yet after being banged up most of last week. This recommendation is for owners in deep leagues (14-teamers and larger) or someone in position to take a total flier with their flex play.
Ravens vs. WRs: 16.25 receptions, 211.3 yards, 0.50 touchdowns
Harry Douglas, Atlanta Falcons: This slot receiver could be the recipient of extra work against the Washington Redskins while their secondary focuses their attention on Roddy White and Julio Jones (hand). PPR owners should consider him a flex play and a safe bet to find the end zone against the league's worst pass defense against receivers.
Redskins vs. WRs: 15.25 receptions, 259.5 yards, 1.75 touchdowns
Andrew Hawkins, Cincinnati Bengals: The Cincy slot receiver has a quality matchup against the Miami Dolphins this week ... a defense that will have its hands full trying to stop A.J. Green. Hawkins' volume of touches probably won't be high, which is fine when you have the dynamic open-field moves like he does. Looking to go big or go home? Hawkins has a spot in your lineup.
Dolphins vs. WRs: 14.00 receptions, 191.3 yards, 1.25 total touchdowns
Marcedes Lewis, Jacksonville Jaguars: Blaine Gabbert's weapons on the outside will be draped by Chicago Bears corners Tim Jennings and Charles Tillman, which should turn his attention to working the middle of the field. Lewis is an imposing target and a red zone threat. If this defense has a weak spot, it's keeping tight ends in check.
Bears vs. TEs: 7.25 receptions, 70.8 yards, 0.50 touchdowns
Billy Cundiff, Washington Redskins: The Atlanta Falcons will look to limit Robert Griffin III's damage, but the offense should still put Cundiff in plenty of field goal situations. He missed three last week before making the one that counted most, but it's all about opportunities. He had an off-day. This matchup outright stinks, on paper, although I think the game flow will make it much more appealing.
Falcons vs. PKs: 0.75 FGAs (0.50 FGs), 2.50 XPAs (2.50 XPs)
Minnesota Vikings: Matt Hasselbeck will start for the Tennessee Titans, whose offensive line has been shaky. His top receiver, Kenny Britt (ankle), is hampered. Hasselbeck threw two interceptions, lost a fumble and was sacked three times last week. Minnesota's run D should stifle Chris Johnson, while their so-so secondary really doesn't have much to worry about. Oh, and that Percy Harvin guy is a dangerous return man, if you are rewarded for such at thing.
About Cory J. Bonini
Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.
Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors. Follow @CoryKFFL
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