NFL Preseason - Fantasy football thoughts: Week 1
August 15, 2012 @ 00:22:55 PDT
Fantasy football players start to become anxious with the kickoff of NFL preseason games. Which players will stand out? Which players will suffer a potentially cheat-sheet altering injury? Which players will simply look fat, out of shape or rusty?
The next few weeks will answer a lot of those questions, some of which will change the fantasy football landscape from where we know it today.
Each week during the preseason, I'll be going through each game with an eye - even two at times - on a variety of players and key situations that impact fantasy value entering your fantasy football league draft.
The first week of NFL preseason, unless you ask Ryan Mathews, is typically meaningless. Starters only see a few series, while players recovering from injury often don't even suit up. There are, however, some things worth taking away from the games.
Yes, that's drool on my chin. Julio Jones is the reason why. Matt Ryan loves him, which is clear on the field. Jones quickly posted a 6-109-1 stat line Thursday. IF he can stay healthy, he has WR1 written all over him.
If Jones plays like that this season, Ryan is going to have no problems being a top-10 fantasy football quarterback. Tough to not like his ADP of 79th overall, too.
I may never become accustomed to seeing Peyton Manning in a Denver Broncos uniform, but he looked a lot like the Manning we're used to seeing. In limited snaps, he hit 4 of 7 passes for 44 yards and was picked once, which came from a great defensive effort more than a Manning error. His arm strength appeared fine. He's back. Don't be surprised to see him start climbing draft boards because of it.
Manning's replacement with the Indianapolis Colts, rookie Andrew Luck, did not disappoint in the slightest. His first pass was a dump off to running back Donald Brown, who took it 63 yards to the house. Luck finished with 188 yards and two scores, while hitting 10 of his 16 attempts. He showed some veteran poise, looking off the safety on his second touchdown pass (Austin Collie came up with it). A weak running game and poor defense should lead to plenty of Luck showing off his arm this year. Even with more than a few grains of salt thrown in, Luck looks to be every bit the part he was billed at. Can't count on him as a QB1 by any means, but he should have a fine rookie campaign worth of backup fantasy value and spot starts.
I was already high on wide receiver Randall Cobb going into the preseason. I liked seeing him lead the Green Bay Packers with four catches for 58 yards and one score. He saw a lot of time with the second-string offense, though. He's a reserve player on draft day, ideally no higher than your fourth receiver taken. I expect the Pack to find ways to get him on the field often, which could lead to making him an interesting flex play with some pop this year.
Willis McGahee is poised for a big year. He looks stronger than he has in awhile and having Manning keeping defenses honest won't hurt. Definite RB2 material; he has the potential to be even better than that.
I'm quietly buying on the Law Firm. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is going to rush for 1,200 yards with the Cincinnati Bengals this year. You can take it to the bank. Loved the aggression he ran with Friday; clipping along seven times for 22 yards and catching one pass for another 18 yards. Snag him as your third RB and he'll be a weekly flex option.
San Diego Chargers tight end Antonio Gates looks like a slimmer, quicker version of his old self. If he stays healthy, he's in for a huge season. Great high-end tight end potential you can snag in the middle rounds this year. He had two catches for 29 yards, including a 23-yard score.
Rashad Jennings looked sharp for the Jacksonville Jaguars, who remain without Maurice Jones-Drew at tailback. His 56 yards on 12 carries was a nice outing. If he keeps it up, we may see a regular role this year for him even when MJD returns to action.
If Ben Roethlisberger is injured, he didn't show it Thursday. He hit all but one of his eight attempts; but only threw for 49 yards. The offense clearly missed wide receiver Mike Wallace. Either way, Big Ben is coming at a bargain rate in fantasy football drafts. I'd still prefer him as a backup over starting option.
The chip on LeGarrette Blount's shoulder is almost as big as he is. He rushed seven times for 30 yards, including a short touchdown. Rookie Doug Martin had 21 yards on seven totes, as well as a short touchdown run, too. It's early in the battle for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but don't dismiss Blount on draft day. I love him as a fourth running back; and his late-round value provides plenty of value.
New York Giants rookie David Wilson showed some of the spark he has shown in training camp, ripping off a 26-yard run. He finished with seven carries for 43 yards while adding two receptions for 26 yards. Ahmad Bradshaw, based off history, won't make it the full season. Tuck Wilson away for future glory as a RB4.
The Kansas City Chiefs are going to have a dominating running game this year. Major props to Peyton Hillis, who I was down on a lot last year; he ran with authority on his four carries and 41 yards, with one touchdown. Jamaal Charles, the sparkplug, looked like he's very close to full speed in his recovery from last year's ACL injury. He only had three carries for 12 yards, but he took a big hit on his previously injured knee and didn't seem to have any issues with it.
If you draft Adrian Peterson this year, you're a fool if you don't handcuff Toby Gerhart to him. I'll go on record now saying Gerhart leads the Minnesota Vikings in rushing yards this year. He piled up 31 yards on five carries against the vaunted San Francisco 49ers defense.
About Ryan R. Bonini
Founding KFFL in 1996, Bonini serves as VP of technology for KFFL's parent company, USA TODAY SPORTS. Bonini was named the 2009 Fantasy Football Writer of the Year by the FSWA and received honors with the Best Fantasy Football Series in '10.
His work has been found in USA TODAY Sports, Yahoo! Sports, FOX Sports, CBS Sports, NFL.com, and many others. He has also been featured on numerous radio programs around the country. Bonini is a member of the PFWA, FSWA and FSTA. Follow @RyanBonini
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