Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 14

by KFFL Staff on August 9, 2012 @ 17:05:11 PDT


Pages 1 | 2 | all's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2012 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.

1) Houston Texans defense/special teams
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Last year, Houston finished fourth in the NFL in points allowed and were sixth in sacks. Those numbers are solid, and I love the fact the Texans will get two games against an Indianapolis team with a rookie QB, a Jacksonville team that basically has no QB, and a Tennessee team that is likely going to transition to a young QB. Brian Cushing, J.J. Watt and Johnathan Joseph are just a few of the stars of this improving unit.

2) Heath Miller, tight end, Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Both of the TEs (Brandon Pettigrew and Jason Witten) that were already on my roster share the same bye week, so I drafted Miller here. I'm expecting roughly 50 receptions, 500 receiving yards and three touchdowns out of him this year.

3) Terrell Owens, wide receiver, Seattle Seahawks
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I'll be that guy. This is most likely a throwaway roster spot for me anyway. Old WRs are hardly alluring, but I don't know, everyone thought the same about TO two years ago. There's upside beneath all the outsider hate (on him and his QBs). When he's motivated, he plays. I'm merely hoping he'll be WR3-worthy, something like a full season of 50ish receptions, 700 yards and six TDs. If not, I'll move on to someone else from the endless WR pool.

4) Laurent Robinson, wide receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I'm a sucker, I guess. This defense stinks, so Robinson should be in line for a reasonably decent amount of targets. Whether Blaine Gabbert can get him the ball is another story, but at this point, I'll take some upside at the position after drafting two AARP members. L-Rob will keep me content with 45-700-5 in the stats sheet.

Andre Roberts, WR, Arizona Cardinals

5) Andre Roberts, wide receiver, Arizona Cardinals
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I had to dig deep to pluck a late-round flier at receiver. Roberts is running as the starter opposite of Larry Fitzgerald and is entering his third year. He actually had a 51-586-2 season last year with hardly any kind of consistency at QB. In a PPR format, there is potential. He'll have to hold off first-round pick, and superior athlete, Michael Floyd. But, the early reports are the rookie is having trouble adjusting to the pro game.

6) Kendall Hunter, running back, San Francisco 49ers
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Hunter was selected as a handcuff for Frank Gore and because of the three men vying for backup RB in San Francisco, he is having the best camp and is the most familiar with the system. Plain and simple.

7) Golden Tate, wide receiver, Seattle Seahawks
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: What the heck. Why not take two former Notre Dame stars with flier picks? Tate has been a disappointment in his pro career to this point, but with Matt Flynn slinging the pigskin around in Seattle now, I'm hoping this flier can turn into something. I realize the receiver stable is crowded with the addition of Braylon Edwards and Terrell Owens, but I don't expect either of those aging vets to give Tate much resistance.

8) Shane Vereen, running back, New England Patriots
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Vereen is the pick here in case running back Stevan Ridley does not play well this season or is injured during the season. He did not have much of an impact last season but there is playing time available with no clear cut starting running back on the team. Since he is a handcuff for Ridley, I do not have big expectations for Vereen and will be happy if he has a solid season.

Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

9) Rashard Mendenhall, running back, Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Mendenhall (knee) could very well start the season on the PUP list due to a torn ACL late last season, in fact it might be a certainty. Either way, he provides depth at the position. If he can give me a week or two later in the season, it's worth stashing him away since his legs would be fresh. I wouldn't expect more than 400 yards and five rushing TDs, but that could come in handy in Weeks 10-16.

10) Rashad Jennings, running back, Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: The longer Maurice Jones-Drew holds out, the more Jennings endears himself to a coaching staff that has never even met last season's leading rusher since taking over the Jags. MJD has no leverage here. It's not just because two years remain on the RB's deal; Plenty of NFL personnel know that Jennings is more than starter-caliber (and a lot cheaper). Although Jacksonville will feel some allegiance to Jones-Drew once he's back with the boys, there's no telling how soon that'll be, which opens the door for an array of scenarios that don't favor him. Jennings' upside is far too great, especially if he gets 15 touches or more per game.

11) David Akers, place kicker, San Francisco 49ers
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Expecting a repeat of last year isn't realistic, as Akers averaged double-digit points per game and attempted 11 more field goals than the next closest kicker. While the 49ers added a lot of weapons to the offense during the offseason and should improve their proficiency for scoring, the system is still rather vanilla. I'm looking for 34 field goal attempts to go along with close to 40 PATs.

12) Buffalo Bills defense/special teams
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: There is simply no reason to reach for a defense in this format because points allowed are not scored. Fumbles, interceptions, sacks, safeties and scoring touchdowns are the only things that matter. If you look at last year's results the best fantasy defense averaged 9.6 points per game, which was less than Blaine Gabbert. The Bills' defense could become a big time fantasy unit and already features a strong return game. They signed defensive ends Mario Williams and Mark Anderson in the offseason and get Kyle Williams back from injury. Also, their schedule is among the easiest in the league. The final six games of the fantasy season will have the Bills play the Miami Dolphins, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, St. Louis Rams, Seattle Seahawks and the Dolphins a second time. Circle those wagons.

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.

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