Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 12

by KFFL Staff on August 8, 2012 @ 17:37:31 PDT


Pages 1 | 2 | all's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2012 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.

1) Davone Bess, wide receiver, Miami Dolphins
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: He is never going to be a big yardage guy or catch a lot of touchdowns, but in a PPR league, Bess makes a nice bench option. Lining up mainly in the slot, he has topped 75 catches in two of the past three seasons. With Brandon Marshall now in Chicago, Bess might even see his role increase a bit. He isn't flashy, but he has great hands and will get his share of catches.

2) Ryan Fitzpatrick, quarterback, Buffalo Bills
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: My game plan in the 12th round was to grab a backup for Cam Newton. Fitzpatrick's performance during the second half of last season was greatly hindered by several cracked ribs that he suffered a few days after signing a six-year contract extension. Now healthy, I expect him to exceed 3,500 passing yards and 20 touchdowns.

3) Andy Dalton, quarterback, Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I smell a backup QB run, so I'll grab mine now. I'm not expecting a giant breakout from the sophomore, but he showed enough with A.J. Green to give hope he can be useful for what I'm hoping will be a few games - really, only one. Jermaine Gresham and Mohamed Sanu should give this West Coast offense some more potency, too. If Dalton finishes with something near 3,750 yards, tears through the Miami Dolphins in Week 5 with Romo on a bye, and offers a few solid performances (if it comes to that), I'll be pleased.

4) Santana Moss, wide receiver, Washington Redskins
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This pick will catch a lot of flak, but Moss is ready for a resurgent season. He shed 16 pounds this offseason and is hungry. I'm not worried about Joshua Morgan, and the inexperienced Leonard Hankerson is coming off a scary hip injury. Moss lost four games due to a broken hand and finger last year. I'm expecting around 70 receptions for 850 yards and five touchdown receptions. Maybe, just maybe, he can surprise like he did in 2010.

Owen Daniels, TE, Houston Texans

5) Owen Daniels, tight end, Houston Texans
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I've considered taking Daniels a couple of times, but I can't pass him up again. He was a bit of a bust last season with a 54-677-3 line as the team focused more on the running game due to injuries. He provides security if my previous TE selection, Dustin Keller, doesn't pan out and also makes a nice late-round flier. It's a make-or-break year for him. Maybe this is the year he puts out a 65-800-5 season.

6) Rueben Randle, wide receiver, New York Giants
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Yes, he is a rookie and a highly speculative pick, but this is late in the draft and time for hunches. My belief is that Hakeem Nicks, who seems to miss games every season with injuries and who is currently injured (broken foot), will be replaced in the lineup by Randle if need be. Randle will probably be a good fill-in player as a hedge against injuries and bye weeks. The Giants have turned into a passing team and he will probably be their third WR, so I took him for depth and to guard against another Nicks injury. I hope for a line of 40-650-5.

7) Pierre Thomas, running back, New Orleans Saints
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Knowing that my RB depth is rather suspect, I wanted to do a little handcuffing of my last pick (Mark Ingram). Thomas is healthy and although he'll compete with touches in this three-headed moster of a RB committee, he did manage 50 catches and six total touchdowns last year in the same arrangement. Not bad for an RB5.

8) San Francisco 49ers defense/special teams
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: The 49ers defense had another strong season in 2011 and has all of their starters coming back this season. Aldon Smith will now start at outside linebacker, which could help add to his impressive 14 sacks he recorded last season. Wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr. has the ability to score on kick and punt returns if he makes the final roster. Even if their forced fumble and inception totals drop a bit, they still have the ability be a top fantasy defense.

Jake Locker, QB, Tennessee Titans

9) Pittsburgh Steelers defense/special teams
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Being a Browns fan, it is hard for me to cheer for anything black and gold. However, we must be objective, DSTs are going to start coming off the board, and I don't want to miss the boat. Plus, with a rookie QB and rookie RB for my Browns, the Steelers' D will get to tee off against those inexperience orange helmets twice. Should be good fantasy production, at least when Cleveland is on the schedule.

10) Jake Locker, quarterback, Tennessee Titans
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: If this draft were two or three weeks from now and there was still no clear winner in the Titans' QB battle, I'd either draft Carson Palmer or wait a little longer. But it's my pick, and a lot will happen between now and when the season begins. Tennessee installed some spread looks last season and has put in some run 'n' shoot elements for this one. Locker could fall flat on his face, but there's a ton of upside in the mobile, strong-armed passer.

11) Carson Palmer, quarterback, Oakland Raiders
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This wasn't who I was hoping to back RG3 up with, but when surveying the rest of the options at quarterback it's time to pick the lesser of the evils remaining. Once Palmer shook off the rust after a few games last year, he was a top-12 fantasy quarterback down the stretch. The Raiders have some young receivers starting to come into their own, and Palmer is going to have to chuck the ball a lot. Hopefully he keeps the interceptions at a minimum. I'm looking 3,800 yards passing and 26 scores, which just might make him my No. 1 QB if RG3 doesn't live up to his high billing.

12) Evan Royster, running back, Washington Redskins
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I haven't taken a running back since selecting three in a row to begin my draft. While I'm confident with those guys it's dangerous to go any further without adding some depth to the position. Just about every Mike Shanahan backfield looks messy during camp, so Royster's chance to be named the starter is very much alive. In fact, he'll get the first look in preseason while Hightower, who wasn't an explosive runner before blowing out his ACL, isn't ready for action yet. At the very least Royster will keep the seat hot under Helu, the assumed Week 1 starter.

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.

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