7) Michael Crabtree, wide receiver, San Francisco 49ers
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: Crabtree was hot during the second half of 2011, which was his third season in the league. He is set to blossom in 2012 as one of the two starting WRs in San Francisco. In 2011, his line was 72-874-4. As Alex Smith and the rest of the offense mature in their second year under head coach Jim Harbaugh, look for those numbers to increase, making Crabtree a fine third level WR. I look for about 80-85 receptions, about 1,000-1,100 yards receiving and six to seven TDs.
8) Peyton Hillis, running back, Kansas City Chiefs
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: I feel this is a critical round for me, and I'm paying a tall price for an RB3. However, I feel like it's a crapshoot any way I go. Hillis arrived to camp in great shape, and he's motivated to land the big payday that eluded him following his breakout season in 2010. With Jamaal Charles coming off a torn ACL, Hillis could be the lightning in a bottle I need to get a leg up on my competition.
9) Donald Brown, running back, Indianapolis Colts
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: I had targeted Peyton Hillis here, but Dodson scooped me on the rebound candidate. Then I looked at C.J. Spiller, but I'd rather not venture down that road. Brown showed flashes of being worth the first-round pick Indy spent on him a few years back, and I am not worried much about Delone Carter stealing too many looks. Indy's OL is a concern, but if Andrew Luck lives up to the hype, Brown should get plenty of chances to be a reasonable flex play. I'm optimistically hoping for at least 1,200 offensive yards and a half-dozen scores, at minimum.
10) C.J. Spiller, running back, Buffalo Bills
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: Just the RB3/flex option I was hoping for when I set my strategy to wait on RBs. Fred Jackson is 31 and is coming off a broken fibula, AND Spiller is going to take a big part of the workload. At this point in the draft, I'm taking talent before "role" and aiming for 1,300 total yards, around 40 catches and upwards of seven total touchdowns from what could be the next big breakout carrier.
11) Brandon Pettigrew, tight end, Detroit Lions
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: I would have drafted Donald Brown or C.J. Spiller if either player had fallen to my spot in the draft but decided to go in another direction because the list of RBs remaining on the board wasn't impressive. I settled for Pettigrew, who had the most catches (83) and receiving yards (777) of anyone on the Lions not named Calvin Johnson in 2011. I expect him to post a line of 80-800-5 this year.
12) Brandon Pettigrew, tight end, Detroit Lions
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring
Fantasy football analysis: After totaling 20 touchdowns in the past three years as a toy for Drew Brees, the former first-round pick will step into a more prominent role in the San Diego offense. Meachem has the speed to stretch the field, and I see him filling the role of the departed Vincent Jackson. While Meachem may not get me 100 catches, being one of Philip Rivers' top targets should result in 1,000 yards and double-digit scores.
How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.
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