Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 5
KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2012 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!
A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.
Fantasy football analysis: Put a healthy Maclin together with a healthy Michael Vick and you have, at the very least, a fringe No. 1 fantasy wide receiver. Maclin is the top receiver in the Eagles' passing attack and (unlike the risky, big-play WRs on still the board) can be used across the entire field. Setting the bar at 85 catches and 1,200 yards sounds reasonable in Maclin's fourth season after reviewing his solid production from the first half of 2011 and what he did in 2010.
Fantasy football analysis: I could have went a lot of directions here, but shoring up my running back position to cover against a potential Marshawn Lynch suspension was critical considering I expect a big run on backs before I come up again. Redman is a bulldozer and should see the strong majority of carries for the Steelers all season. Provided he does well with his opportunity and Rashard Mendenhall's knee issues keep him sidelined the majority of the year, I expect 250 carries, 1,000-plus yards and close to double-digit touchdowns.
Fantasy football analysis: Call me a sucker for believing that the 20 or so pounds Gates dropped will be a big difference-maker in his ability to stay healthy. He'll miss V-Jax? Didn't seem to matter in 2010, when Gates average 5, 78 and 1 per game. I expect something like that to go down again in 2012.
Fantasy football analysis: Brown should lead this team in receptions, taking the role of retired WR Hines Ward. He will be the go-to guy for the gains across the middle, while Mike Wallace, if he settles his contract situation, is the downfield threat and big gainer. Brown is a fine No. 2 fantasy option capable of 1,200 yards and eight TDs.
Fantasy football analysis: Jackson played well last season before getting injured and showed that he can be a weapon in the passing game in addition to the running game. He will be losing some reps to fellow running back C.J. Spiller, but there will be times when both will be on the field at the same time. I expect Jackson will still be a key figure in the Bills' offense this season; I would be happy with 1,100-1,300 total yards and seven to nine touchdowns.
Fantasy football analysis: Turner, heading into his age-30 season, isn't what he used to be, but he managed 1,300-plus rushing yards last year, and he's still the unquestioned go-to back in Atlanta. The Falcons' offense will open it up this year, which will hopefully create more running room for Turner, too. He averaged 4.5 yards per carry last year, matching that number from his career-best 1,699-yard rushing performance back in 2008. I'm not too worried about him wearing down just yet, and I like the value I'm getting for him as my No. 2 rusher.
Fantasy football analysis: Sometimes you have a feel for a player. I believe New England will continue to feature this pass catching monster, who is poised to enter his prime. I believe he will be a top-five TE this year and after what he did last year, believe that 80 catches for 900-1,000 yards and six to eight TDs is quite possible. Yes, Brandon Lloyd joined the Patriots in the offseason, but Tom Brady will find a way to involve Hernandez heavily in their elite passing game anyway. Lloyd may draw defenses away from the TEs, helping Hernandez get open.
Fantasy football analysis: Jackson was wildly inconsistent last year and cashed in during the offseason. Some of that may have been the Chargers' struggles, some may have been bitterness over his contract. He has a fresh start with up-and-coming QB Josh Freeman at the helm in an offense that is dedicated to the run. That could open things up downfield. I'm looking for another 65-1,100-8, and there's upside for more.
Fantasy football analysis: I was really hoping Michael Turner would fall to me. Greene represents the best gamble for a huge season. The coaching staff wants to give him 300-plus carries, and that is when Greene will be at his best. I am fearful of Tim Tebow scarfing a lot of goal line looks. Mark Sanchez even scored six times on the ground last year. Greene is capable of 1,300 rushing yards and at least eight touchdowns.
Fantasy football analysis: Operation Get Backfield continues: Ryan Williams will be thrown in, but Wells will remain top dog as long as his knee holds up. All I'm looking for is 1,000 ground and 10 touchdowns - a repeat of what he did last year. I have enough sources of receptions to take this chance.
Fantasy football analysis: My strategy in the fifth round was to take the best wide receiver remaining on the board. Bowe is currently holding out, but I have confidence that he'll be ready to go in Week 1, especially since this is his contract year. I expect similar production in 2012 to the 81 catches, 1,159 receiving yards and five touchdowns he posted in 2011, although the numbers could improve slightly if Matt Cassel remains healthy for the entire season.
Fantasy football analysis: I am not expecting any kind of breakout season from the "Law Firm" now that he is the primary back in Cincinnati, but I am expecting him to do some damage around the goal line. He has combined for 24 touchdowns the past two seasons, and he is a downhill, strong runner that can finish off drives. As the main back in an improving Bengals offense, Green-Ellis should approach double-digit scores once again and be a serviceable No. 2 back for me team.
How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.
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