Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 3

by KFFL Staff on August 2, 2012 @ 10:51:06 PDT


Pages 1 | 2 | all's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2012 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.

1) Doug Martin, running back, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Martin might look like a reach right now, but he should rise into the third round before too long. The rookie from Boise State is already hogging first-team snaps from LeGarrette Blount. Martin can catch the football and pass protect very well - two major holes that kept Blount off the field for stretches of time last year. The Bucs beefed up the offensive line and the receiving corps during the offseason but Martin figures to be the focal point under new head coach Greg Schiano, who oversaw the rise of Ray Rice at Rutgers. Mark it down: Martin will outproduce Trent Richardson, who plays on a terrible offense in a division that includes the Ravens and Steelers, and likely claim Rookie of the Year honors.

2) Marshawn Lynch, running back, Seattle Seahawks
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This is a boom or bust pick: Lynch, in Beast Mode, provides me with plenty of power at running back if the NFL doesn't nail him for his off-the-field shenanigans. He had at least 19 carries in each game from Week 9 on last year, and scored in all but two games during that stretch. If Seattle uses him like they did in the second half last year, he isn't suspended and he plays with the same sense of urgency, Lynch is good for 1,300 yards rushing, 12 touchdowns and another 20 receptions for 200 yards. Unfortunately, that's a lot of ifs to bank on, but the upside is worth the risk at this juncture.

3) Steven Jackson, running back, St. Louis Rams
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Jackson is 29. His team drafted his supposed heir apparent. The Rams don't get him near the stripe often enough. But he's in phenomenal shape, hasn't shown any signs of wearing down, has been one of the most reliable (and, in some ways, underappreciated) backs in fantasy, and will still be the centerpiece of an offense that should improve dramatically in 2012. The RBs still on the board all have more serious questions, and I'd rather not try to answer them.

Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots

4) Rob Gronkowski, tight end, New England Patriots
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This goes against everything I've been telling my friends. Taking a tight end this high has been unheard of in the past. However, Gronk is coming off a giant year, and there is no reason to believe he won't post strong numbers again in 2012. Will he post 90 grabs and 17 TDs? Probably not. But in a PPR league, he is more valuable than everyone else on the board at this point, so tradition is thrown out the window. I picked a tight end in Round 3!

5) Ahmad Bradshaw, running back, New York Giants
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Bradshaw has dealt with foot injuries the last few seasons but remains the Giants' top rusher entering this season. He also had to share carries with running back Brandon Jacobs, but now with Jacobs gone he likely will receive an increase in playing time despite the addition of running back David Wilson. Bradshaw is expected to be in the passing game this season and could also receive some goal line carries, which is a bonus. He probably is not the best No. 1 running back but has shown he can be successful.

6) Victor Cruz, wide receiver, New York Giants
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I don't feel comfortable with all the health and playing time questions surrounding the lot of running backs at this juncture - not yet, anyway - so I'll settle for a No. 2 wideout that many are taking as their No. 1 this year after a stellar 82-1,536-9 line last year. Cruz has excellent chemistry with Eli Manning and should see plenty of decent matchups, providing Hakeem Nicks is healthy. Not that big a fan of Cruz, but as my No. 2 pass catcher, he's much more appealing.

Round 3 has six more picks to check out.

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