Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 1

by KFFL Staff on August 1, 2012 @ 18:26:50 PDT


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7) Aaron Rodgers, quarterback, Green Bay Packers
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: The safest running backs were gone and also the best wide receiver, so it was a good time to select the top-rated quarterback. Rodgers has a plethora of weapons to throw to on a team that likes to air it out. He is 28 years old and just starting to hit his prime. He should be able to at a minimum meet last year's totals of 45 passing touchdowns for 4,643 passing yards. He also takes care of the ball, as evidenced by a mere six interceptions in 2011. The sky is the limit.

Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars

8) Maurice Jones-Drew, running back, Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I don't like taking players early with question marks, but here's hoping his holdout doesn't turn into a CJ2K down year. MJD has rushed for 1,300 yards three years in a row and has been pretty healthy throughout his career. His 4.7 YPC average was his largest since his rookie season, and I feel if I don't snag a bankable running back here, it may be tough to find one later. I expect another 1,300 yards and maybe 9 or 10 TDs.

9) Chris Johnson, running back, Tennessee Titans
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Johnson is the most intriguing running back choice left for me with this pick, because he represents boom or bust. I am not a fan of Matt Forte or Trent Richardson this early, and the only wideout to cross my mind was Larry Fitzgerald. I'm not one to draft a quarterback in the first round. CJ2K will rush for at least 1,300 yards and score nine or more ground touchdowns. I think he can catch 40 balls for 350 yards and score twice through the air, too. Picking ninth this year kind of stinks.

10) Wes Welker, wide receiver, New England Patriots
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This part of the first round frightens and confuses me. But wait, Unfrozen Caveman Drafter, here's a PPR security blanket, a highly touted member of one of the league's best offenses who's a 100-reception bet over a full season. He failed to register 10 PPR points in a game just twice last year. With the mess left at RB and my stubborn refusal to take a QB or TE this early, why not go with under-appreciated consistency?

11) Matt Forte, running back, Chicago Bears
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Keeping in mind that this is a PPR league, I wanted to use my first-round pick on a running back who also happened to be a pass-catching threat. The 26-year-old Forte appeared to be on the way to the best season of his career in 2011, with 1,487 all-purpose yards in only 12 games, before being sidelined with a knee injury. However, he has fully recovered and won't be distracted by his contract situation after recently signing a four-year deal. I predict that Forte will have 1,100 rushing yards, 550 receiving yards and 60 receptions in 2012.

12) Trent Richardson, running back, Cleveland Browns
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: There aren't many workhorse running backs left in the NFL these days, but Richardson is pretty much the only weapon Cleveland is going to have on offense this season. He is going to get plenty of touches, get the ball at the goal line, and catch passes out of the backfield. Playing in the AFC North won't be easy, but Richardson more than held his own in the SEC. In a world of running back committees, Richardson is the only show in town for the Browns. I expect a big rookie season.

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.

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