Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 1
KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes on all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they took the player they did. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2012 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!
A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.
Fantasy football analysis: Arian Foster may have stopped eating meat but he's the filet mignon of fantasy football. The other playmakers on the Texans have a thing for getting dinged up, which gives Foster a hefty load to carry each week. Matt Schaub is coming off a foot injury, Andre Johnson already has a mild groin sprain and Owen Daniels is made of glass. Foster is an elite back and the secondary receiver on a team that needs him to touch the ball 20-plus times a game. If Jason Peters wasn't out for the season I'd give LeSean McCoy a lot of consideration for the No. 1 spot.
Fantasy football analysis: McCoy doesn't have a metric ton of mileage on his legs and is young. He is on a very deep, balanced Philly team that works him in on the ground and through the air. Securing my RB1 at the top of the draft was important, and only a couple of backs have as few questions surrounding them as McCoy does. He won't share many touches, he'll catch at least 45 passes, and he'll see the work in the red zone. I expect 1,300 yards rushing and 14 touchdowns to go along with at least 300 yards receiving and another couple of scores.
Fantasy football analysis: Ray Rice is about as safe as you can get at this spot, and more often than not, I'd take him here. True year-to-year consistency is a rarity, however, and that's probably true of no position more so than RB. I'll use Rice's possible decline in TDs as one more little reason to go big or go home with Mathews, 2012's breakout candidate extraordinaire, who has a better schedule and sounds much more prepared, physically and mentally, to be the type of back San Diego expected him to be when they drafted him.
Fantasy football analysis: I thought hard about taking Aaron Rodgers here, but Ray Rice is really the only elite level fantasy back remaining, even at this early juncture. I worry about MoJo's contract situation, I don't like Matt Forte as much with Michael Bush also on the roster, and Darren McFadden is too brittle for my liking.
Fantasy football analysis: I decided to take arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL in Johnson instead of taking a running back since I am not sure any of them are a safer bet than Johnson. Johnson is playing in an offense that throws a lot and he has been the beneficiary of that style of offense. With continue improvement from quarterback Matthew Stafford, I think Johnson can at least match his 2011 stats.
Fantasy football analysis: I know this is a big risk, but McFadden is 100 percent healthy from the foot injury that caused him to miss nine games last year. The new offense in Oakland will further utilize his open-field prowess. When healthy, he can easily be a top-five rusher. Don't forget, he was the leader in fantasy points before he was injured last year.
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