Fantasy Football: Andrew Luck vs. Robert Griffin III

      July 24, 2012 @ 17:21:09 PDT

Is it really a foregone conclusion in the fantasy football world that Robert Griffin III will have to outperform Indy's Andrew Luck?

The argument drawn in favor of RG3 revolves around his supporting cast and the team's coaching stability. That is kind of a crock, if you ask me. Pierre Garcon has to learn a new offense and isn't a No. 1. Santana Moss is 432 years old. Fred Davis is a Pink Floyd album away from another suspension. Remind me again, just who is Joshua Morgan? Chris Cooley can't stay healthy. We don't even know if one of Washington's backs will live up to their potential. The offensive line is mediocre, which may be a kind remark.

Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington Redskins
Closer than you think

Griffin is immensely talented, but isn't Luck supposed to be the NFL's next star passer? Sure, his head coach is a rookie, too, but offensive coordinator Bruce Arians knows a thing or two about creating competitive offensive attacks. The offensive line is on par with Washington's, and their running game could be just as competent - maybe better if Mike Shanahan meddles with the Redskins'.

Reggie Wayne has to be better than he was last year, which can be blamed on Dan Orlovsky, Kerry Collins and Curtis Painter more than anything. Austin Collie, when healthy, is talented enough to contribute in a meaningful way. Someone out of Quan Cosby, T.Y. Hilton, Donnie Avery and LaVon Brazill should become a capable No. 3. It really doesn't matter, because the No. 3 target will be tight end Coby Fleener, if he isn't the No. 2. Luck's familiarity with Fleener will turn the heads of onlookers. Dwayne Allen will be worked into the tight end-heavy offense, as well.

Indy's defense is going to be way worse than Washington's. The 'Skins may actually surprise on D this year. The Colts are moving to a 3-4 defense and have almost nothing proven working for them. Just look at those cornerbacks if you don't believe me!

While so many owners are gaga over Griffin's ability on the ground, it is easy to forget how athletic Luck really is. He may have to run a lot behind that line. I don't think RG3 will have a long leash in 2012; he'll be asked to not screw up. Luck ... well, he will be given every opportunity to air it out, because Indianapolis will need him to. Griffin's wild running ways could easily open him up to injury. He's much closer to Michael Vick in stature than he is Cam Newton.

I am going with Luck as a backup in 2012 over Griffin. Maybe the biggest reason I want to endorse him is because of Griffin's nauseating average draft position of the early eighth round. Really, people? Really? I'll build out my RBs and wide receivers while you're drafting a backup quarterback at the price of a starter. The only way I could see drafting RG3 that early is if your first quarterback comes off the board the round before and you're nervous about the selection.

Luck's late 10th-round placement is tough to swallow, but it goes down easier than 88th overall. The reality is, from a fantasy perspective, both quarterbacks will probably stink it up as rookies.

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About Cory J. Bonini

Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.

Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.

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