37) Brandon Lloyd | New
England Patriots | 6-foot, 200 pounds | 10th year
Fantasy analysis: The sure-handed veteran followed offensive coordinator
Josh McDaniels, with whom he
has enjoyed his greatest NFL success, to the
Patriots this offseason. Lloyd
has considerable familiarity with the system and will benefit from Tom
Brady's precision. There are a lot of mouths to feed in this offense,
and Lloyd has to build chemistry with the star quarterback. Expect big-play
production that may come in spurts. Lloyd's ADP is the seventh round.
38) Anquan Boldin | Baltimore
Ravens | 6-foot-1, 220 pound | 10th year
Fantasy analysis: In 2011 Boldin posted a career-best 15.6 yards-per-reception
average. Always an injury risk, the vet could see fewer targets from Joe
Flacco with an emergence by Torrey Smith. Our expectations for Smith remain
tempered. You can find acceptable value in Boldin as a third fantasy wideout,
and he is a great fourth candidate. His best worth is in PPR leagues, and
he typically comes off the board in the 10th round.
39) Demaryius Thomas
| Denver Broncos | 6-foot-3, 229
pounds | 3rd year
Fantasy analysis: Peyton
Manning really hasn't had a weapon like Thomas at his disposal before.
Size, speed and physicality are the hallmarks of his game. Thomas hasn't worked
as closely with No. 18 this offseason as teammate Eric
Decker has, and we're hesitant to put a lot of weight into endorsing him,
or Manning, for that matter. Thomas probably will go earlier than we feel
is warranted, but if you want to roll the dice, his typical draft placement
is a spendy sixth-round choice.
40) Kenny Britt | Tennessee
Titans | 6-foot-3, 215 pounds | 4th year
2012 Projected NFL/Fantasy Football Statistics
Fantasy analysis: Britt is coming off an ACL tear after starting the
2011 season at a torrid pace. He had another procedure done earlier in the
offseason to help improve his recovery. The fourth-year receiver underwent
yet another surgery in the offseason. He had his other knee scoped in June;
Britt may not be on the field in time for the start of training camp, but
he has a shot at playing Week 1. Temper your expectations. Britt seems to
be a little overvalued right now (early seventh-round ADP), and you cannot
forget his lengthy history of off-the-field mishaps when assessing his risk-reward
ratio. Britt's latest altercation may result in a suspension. He may be back to form late in the season, but it is tough to recommend
taking a chance on him at this time.
41) Titus Young | Detroit
Lions | 5-foot-11, 174 pounds | 2nd year
Fantasy analysis: Young's rookie season was promising. He finished
with a 48-607-6 line in this high-flying offense. Nate
Burleson remains the starter opposite Calvin
Johnson, but Young could surpass him at some point. Young moves all over
the place, which helps create mismatches. He is an intriguing sleeper choice
as a potential breakout player because of his speed and the volume of single-coverage
he will see. Young's ADP is the middle of the 11th round.
42) Lance Moore | New
Orleans Saints | 5-foot-9, 190 pounds | 7th year
Fantasy analysis: Moore is a trusted target of Drew
Brees and should benefit from the loss of Robert
Meachem in the free agency. The smallish, injury-prone receiver has a
knack for finding the end zone through his ability to exploit soft spots in
zone coverage. New Orleans' already aerial-slanted offense could pass a lot
more this year if the defense suffers from personnel loses. Moore is a somewhat
undervalued WR3 with an ADP of the late 10th round.
43) Denarius Moore | Oakland
Raiders | 6-foot, 190 pounds | 2nd year
Fantasy analysis: The young Raiders
wideout caught five touchdown passes last year and displayed big-play ability
(18.7 average). A full offseason should help him gain chemistry with Carson
Palmer, but Moore enters a fairly complex West Coast offense. The talent
is there, and he could break out as early as this year. Look for him in the
middle rounds as a WR3, but he is a safer No. 4 fantasy receiver because of
his inexperience and big-play nature. He comes off the board in the early
ninth round, on average.Â
44) Brandon LaFell | Carolina
Panthers | 6-foot-2, 210 pounds | 3rd year
Fantasy analysis: LaFell will be asked to step up in his third year,
as Cam Newton needs more targets
that he can rely on. Offensive philosophy could keep his numbers in check,
however, and the Panthers traded
for Louis Murphy this offseason.
LaFell has downfield presence and could be a surprise standout in 2012. Draft
him as a No. 5 receiver gamble in the waning rounds of your draft.Â
45) Jonathan Baldwin
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-foot-4,
230 pounds | 2nd year
Fantasy analysis: If physical talent equaled instant success, Baldwin
already would be an NFL star. He has battled
maturity issues in recent years and will be playing in a mundane offense with
a pedestrian quarterback. The sophomore is a risk-reward pick and could be
a steal at the right price. His 13th-round ADP is about as early as conservative
drafters should consider him.
46) Chad Johnson | Miami
Dolphins | 6-foot-1, 188 pounds | 12th year
Fantasy analysis: Ocho is coming off his worst pro season and is hungry
for success in South Beach. At 34 years old, his best days are behind him,
but that doesn't mean he is as awful as what you witnessed last year. Miami
may have to throw a lot this year, regardless of the quarterback, and No.
85 has mild upside. He is a No. 5 or even sixth fantasy receiver - better
suited for reception-rewarding leagues. He a late-round flier pick.
47) Michael Floyd | Arizona
Cardinals | 6-foot-3, 225 pounds | Rookie
Fantasy analysis: Despite being a first-round pick, Floyd may not
begin the year as a starter. However, we expect raw talent to eventually win
out, and it is tantalizing to think what he could be against single coverage
opposite Larry Fitzgerald.
Watch Floyd's status throughout the preseason, as he may come down in our
rankings. Draft with caution. His 11th-round ADP is aggressive.
48) Brian Quick | St.
Louis Rams | 6-foot-3, 220 pounds | Rookie
Fantasy analysis: St. Louis desperately needs help at receiver, and
Quick could be first in line to step up. He will vie for a starting gig and
has a physical presence that should make him productive in the red zone. He
is coming from Appalachian State, which makes the transition to the NFL
likely a steep one for him. Draft him as a gamble late in the draft.
49) Nate Washington |
Tennessee Titans | 6-foot-1, 177
pounds | 8th year
Fantasy analysis: The veteran enjoyed a breakout season in 2011 by
snagging 74 receptions for 1,023 yards and scoring eight total times. He has
found the end zone 19 times in the last three years and displayed a lot of
chemistry with Jake Locker last
year. Washington is overvalued as a ninth-round pick, on average. It is rare
a wideout finally puts it all together in his seventh year. Kendall
Wright and an eventually healthy Kenny
Britt will keep Washington's numbers suppressed.
50) Laurent Robinson
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-foot-2,
205 pounds | 6th year
Fantasy analysis: We always knew Robinson had legitimate NFL-caliber
talent, but he was in an ideal situation to excel last year. As Dallas' No.
3, L-Rob had no pressure to succeed and developed into a great red zone target
for Tony Romo. He will have more
of the spotlight on him in Jacksonville, and Blaine
Gabbert is no Romo. The Jags have suspect and inexperienced targets around
Robinson, too. He is only worth drafting as a late value pick to fill out
your receiving corps.
51) Danny Amendola | St.
Louis Rams | 5-foot-11, 188 pounds | 4th year
Fantasy analysis: An elbow injury sidelined Amendola for 15 games
last year after a near breakout 2010 season put him on the fantasy map. He
is a great possession receiver and has sure hands for clutch situations. Finding
the end zone may be a problem for Amendola, and he now enters his third offense
in as many years. His value is much greater in point-per-reception leagues.
Draft Amendola as a WR4 in PPR and WR5 otherwise.
52) Davone Bess | Miami
Dolphins | 5-foot-10, 193 pounds | 5th year
Fantasy analysis: Bess is a classic possession receiver with little
big-play ability. He has natural hands and should benefit from the addition
of Chad Johnson. We expect a rebound
from the Hawaii product, but he remains nothing more than a low-end No. 4
PPR commodity. Non-PPR owners can land him as a fifth wideout, but his upside
is so limited we believe he should be reserved exclusively for PPR setups.
53) Randy Moss | San
Francisco 49ers | 6-foot-4, 210 pounds | 13th year
Fantasy analysis: Reports suggest Moss is the best receiver in Niners
camp and hasn't lost much, if any, of his trademark speed. We are concerned
about Alex Smith being able to
get him the football, and Moss didn't exactly look like his former self the
last time we watched him play. Draft him as a No. 4 fantasy receiver; he doesn't
come with much risk as a fifth. Moss' ADP is Round 12.Â
54) Doug Baldwin | Seattle
Seahawks | 5-foot-10, 189 pounds | 2nd year
Fantasy analysis: Baldwin came out of nowhere last year - well, Stanford,
to be fair - and hauled in 51 balls as a rookie. He may have a new quarterback
and a healthy Sidney Rice to contend
with. Nevertheless, we like his chances of being a WR4 in PPR leagues. You
can usually land him around the 11th round, but we recommend waiting on him
as long as you can because of the uncertainty in Seattle.
55) Stephen Hill | New
York Jets | 6-foot-4, 215 pounds | Rookie
Fantasy analysis: Hill is a gifted physical specimen, but he comes
from a spread offense and has little actual experience as anything other than
being a deep threat. Expect a few big plays, but the rook will probably be
too frustrating to play with any consistency. Draft him as a fifth fantasy
receiver in deep leagues if you're looking to gamble.
56) Golden Tate | Seattle
Seahawks | 5-foot-10, 202 pounds | 3rd year
Fantasy analysis: This very well could be a make-or-break season for
Tate if he wants to remain with the Seahawks
long term. He isn't a very good route runner, struggles with his hands at
times and has failed to gain consistent separation at the next level. Tate
is worthy of a speculative pick late in your draft, but we have little reason
to believe he will break out.
57) Santana Moss | Washington
Redskins | 5-foot-10, 189 pounds | 12th year
Fantasy analysis: The veteran receiver probably won't be on your fantasy
radar in 2012, but he deserves consideration as late-round roster filler.
Moss is just one year removed from an 1,115-yard season. He has a better quarterback
situation, in theory, and more help around him. Moss is a WR5 in deep formats.
58) James Jones | Green
Bay Packers | 6-foot-1, 208 pounds | 6th year
Fantasy analysis: The Packers
have a plethora of weapons at Aaron
Rodgers' disposal, and Jones could be the primary guy any given week.
Figuring out which week that is could be a nightmare for fantasy owners. A
great deal of Jones' production came in two games, including while Greg Jennings
was on the mend late in the year. Jones has potential for more work if something
happens to Donald Driver; consider
the former a No. 5 fantasy receiver.
59) Justin Blackmon |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 6-foot-1,
210 pounds | Rookie
Fantasy analysis: Blackmon has to learn an NFL
offense, build chemistry with a suspect quarterback, overcome off-the-field
issues, and prove he physically can do it in the NFL.
Gaining separation could be a problem for him. Erratic production probably
will be the story of his rookie effort. Draft him as a late gamble in deep
60) Devery Henderson |
New Orleans Saints | 5-foot-11,
200 pounds | 9th year
Fantasy analysis: The vet still has speed to burn and should benefit
from the loss of Robert Meachem.
Drew Brees is likely to rely on
those he has most comfort with, making Henderson a candidate for better-than-expected
production. He is a flier in very deep leagues as a No. 5 or, better yet,
sixth fantasy wideout.
Cory is KFFL's General Manager. In late 2002, he joined the KFFL staff as a research analyst and has been involved in fantasy sports since 1996. A member of the Fantasy Sports Trade Association, as well as Fantasy Sports Writers Association, Bonini has been featured in print, on radio and on scores of websites. Bonini co-hosted Big Lead Sports on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio from 2011 to 2012.
Bonini was recognized with the 2010 Best Article in Print Award from the FSWA and was a finalist for the same award in 2011. In '11, he finished first overall in the FSWA NFL experts challenge that featured 60 of the industry's best competitors.